A truly laughable attempt by @TracyBethHoeg to pretend the divisions this Nature article points to aren't between her and every other expert quoted. 🧵
Hoeg is first quoted saying the rates in schools aren't higher than rates in the communities a point the article is quick to distinguish from what actually matters: whether transmission is occurring in schools.
In a familiar move, Hoeg goes on to pretend the 2 *confirmed* transmission cases reported in a soon-to-be-published study, represent all of the cases that occurred in the schools. The article again is quick to call her bluff by bringing up the importance of surveillence testing.
Hoeg's bold claim that "American media" is perpetuating the falsehood that "Covid is dangerous", is quickly shot down by an entire paragraph devoted to Covid's dangers including how many kids it has killed, the possibility of MIS-C and Long Covid.
When Hoeg brings up her WaPo Op-Ed co-authored with @MonicaGandhi9, the article is quick to introduce us to an epidemiologist at the University of Texas "who found the op-ed unconvincing" because it "doesn’t give the full story”.
Even when the article does find someone for Hoeg to agree with, unsurprisingly @MonicaGandhi9, the article is nonetheless quick to point out the possibility that they are both wrong given the evidence out of the UK.
It would be nice to think Hoeg recognizes this "very well done article" is well done because it doesn't just point out Hoeg's cherry-picking, but demonstrates how not to do that: by presenting both the limitations of the data Hoeg relies on as well as the full body of evidence.
The Nature article is here.
nature.com/articles/d4158…

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More from @Loretta_Torrago

9 Jul
This CDC presentation of yet-to-be-published data shows kids:
* transmit as efficiently as adults
* are infected at rates similar to adults.
It's not getting the attention it deserves perhaps because it's only available as video. I've done my best to faithfully transcribe it.🧵 Image
"If you do not look for children outside of universal studies, you are probably going to miss them.

From various studies, when testing systematically for children exposed to SCV-2, children are as likely to have infection detected as adults. Image
However, one caveat to consider is that the risk of exposure for children relative to adults has changed dramatically during the course of the pandemic. For example, at the start of the pandemic a full societal shutdown likely benefitted children more than adults .....
Read 23 tweets
4 Jun
I have a question for people attempting to downplay the CDC report on hospitalized children. 🧵

WTAF is wrong with you?
First, it tells us that hospitalized kids get very, very sick indeed. 33% needed ICU care. 5% needed mechanical ventilation. So I ask again, if you are downplaying the CDC report:

WTAF is wrong with you?
Second, it doesn't imply "only" 204 kids were hospitalized. The CDC's data is from Covid-Net & is limited to certain states.

But kids aren't supposed to be hospitalized *at all* so if you are downplaying this again:

WTAF is wrong with you?
Read 7 tweets
2 Jun
By alternating between manufactured statistics and a breezy “Is that bad?” attitude @MonicaGandhi9, @TracyBethHoeg, @drlucymcbride and @KrugAlli
argue that protecting kids from a pandemic isn't really such a good idea after all. Who knew? 🧵
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2021/…
The article starts by considering risks and dismissing them because they are so low they don’t justify “the remaining restrictions [kids] face” by which they seem to mean masks. Image
Maybe it’s just me but freeing kids from the minor inconvenience of a mask so they can face the risk of Covid barefaced is like arguing the restrictions of seatbelts aren’t worth it because that’s outweighed by the joys of going through the windshield. 😱
Read 25 tweets

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