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Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
@prchovanec
Jul 10, 2021 • 16 tweets • 5 min read • Read on X
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The US reported +347 new coronavirus deaths yesterday, bringing the total to 622,329. The 7-day moving average rose slightly to 221 deaths per day.
The US had +24,460 new confirmed cases of COVID-19 yesterday, bringing the total closer to 34.7 million. The 7-day moving average rose to 16,767 new cases per day, its highest level since June 1st.
Five US states reported over 1,000 new cases yesterday. Florida led the pack with nearly 4,000 new cases, followed by Texas with over 2,000. Missouri and Arkansas are becoming a new hot spot of rising cases.
Arkansas had over 1,000 new cases yesterday, its highest number since February 9.
Missouri had over 1,600 new cases yesterday, its highest number since February 3.
The latest map of COVID cases from nytimes.com clearly shows the new hotspot centered in Missouri and Arkansas. nytimes.com/interactive/20…
Florida is also starting to see an uptick in new cases.
This is concerning: after a long decline, new hospital admissions in the US due to COVID-19 are up +10.5% from a week ago.
According to the CDC, almost 3/4 of new COVID cases in Missouri are due to the B.1.617.2 Delta (or India) variant.
More on the surge in the Delta variant in Missouri.
abcnews.go.com/Health/covid-s…
Missouri is one of the states with less than half its population vaccinated (43.7%). Neighboring Arkansas, also seeing a rise in cases, had only 39.0% vaccinated.

Nearby Mississippi (35.3%) and Alabama (36.0%) are noticeably vulnerable.
The US administered only 621,000 new vaccine shots today, bringing the total to 333 million, or 100.3 doses for every 100 people. The 7-day moving average fell to just 594,000 shots per day, its lowest level since January 10.
The number of Americans receiving their first vaccine shots continues to decline to levels not seen since the very beginning of the vaccine campaign in December, when vaccine supplies were severely limited.
64.7% are eligible Americans (ages 12 and up) have received at least one vaccine shot; 55.9% are now fully vaccinated.

Over 84 million American adults and nearly 16 million qualified children remain completely unvaccinated. Over 6 million of those >65 remain unvaccinated.
It appears that the race to achieve herd immunity via vaccination before the Delta variant got a foothold in the US has been lost. What the implications of that are remain to be seen.
For the moment, the US vaccination effort has slowed to a virtual standstill, not due to lack of supply but due to widespread vaccine skepticism.

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More from @prchovanec

Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Nov 7, 2024
I no longer feel like I belong in this country. On a deeply personal level, its values are no longer my values, as they once were. My persistence in it feels increasingly strange and unwelcome.
This is not some angry declaration. The feeling perplexes me, more than anything else.
I say this as someone who served in the military, worked in politics, and spoke proudly and fondly of our country while living abroad.
Read 5 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Nov 6, 2024
Well, so it has come to pass. I cannot say I am surprised, because I did see it coming, but it is saddening nonetheless. I will not say much, because I don't trust myself to. But I do think this nation has made a grave mistake. How grave, we shall only learn in time.
This is not the country that I spent a lifetime, at home and abroad, loving and defending. It is something else, and what exactly that means for me I cannot yet say.
I'm cautious about sayihg what I really feel right now, especially on this platform, because I know it would be mocked. And that, itself, is a symptom of what I see, the glee that many now take in other Americans' sadness and fear. We are remaking ourselves in his image.
Read 5 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Oct 29, 2024
Then you're a fool. We have a democratic republic. I've been a limited-government conservative Republican my whole life. In fact, some of my major criticisms of Trump are that he is too much a big-government interventionist in the economy.
This inanity about "the US is not a democracy, it's a republic" is getting way too prevalent. The US has a republican form of government - as does China and North Korea. Unlike them, it is democratic in that it derives its authority from the consent of the governed.
"The US is not a democracy, it's a republic" is a line that comes from the old John Birch Society (which was drummed out of the mainstream Republican Party because of its extreme conspiratorial views) based on a very ignorant reading of how the Founders used the term democracy.
Read 6 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Oct 25, 2024
If Musk tried to withhold Starlink services to aid a Chinese invasion of Taiwan, our Defense Dept should sit him down and tell him he going to restore it or the U.S. government is appropriating the company in the interests of national security. Full stop.
I’m usually for the U.S. government taking a hands-off approach to business, but we’re talking about a wartime scenario that would almost certainly involve the U.S. in a peer-to-peer conflict and there’d be no room for fooling around.
And quite frankly if he was having conversations with any adversary country about it that would be very problematic in and of itself.
Read 6 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Sep 11, 2024
1. There are times when a thread makes so many important mistakes and feeds into so many misconceptions that it's worthwhile to address it point by point. My apologies.
2. It is true that Trump's tariffs against China were ostensibly imposed for the purpose of forcing China to alter it own unfair trade practices - in large part because the President's legal authority to levy special tariffs requires him to cite this as the reason.
3. However, it was unclear from the start what the "ask" was from China - what exactly the Trump Admin wanted China to do that would allow the tariffs to be lifted. And Trump repeatedly talked about tariffs being good and beneficial in their own right.
Read 20 tweets
Patrick Chovanec Profile picture
Jul 27, 2024
This is a fundamental misunderstanding of the problem. As someone who used to analyze and “summarize” these bills for Congress, let me explain …
The reason the bills are “mammoth” is that they includes hundreds, even thousands of legislative changes on a wide variety of unrelated topics. Basically a “bill of bills”.
Where AI could help us by offering some context to what these often small changes actually mean, in terms of policy. Often it’s hard to understand what changing “and” to “or” in Clause 81 of Title II refers to or the impact it could have.
Read 6 tweets

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