Jan Rosenow Profile picture
Jul 14, 2021 19 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Finally it’s out - the EU’s Fit for 55 package. What’s in it? Is it ambitious enough? Find out more in this thread. The good, the bad and the ugly. Image
1. The purpose of the Fit for 55 package is to meet the EU’s Green Deal goal of climate neutrality by 2050 and a 55% reduction in emissions by 2030. This makes it a hugely important package. Picture 1.jpg Image
2. Probably the most far-reaching & controversial element of the proposals is the extension of the Emissions Trading System to the buildings & transport sector. Could have major ramifications for the existing policies, the price of fossil fuels & equity. raponline.org/knowledge-cent…
3. The proposal is for a separate ETS for buildings and transport but there is an expectation that the two systems might merge in the future. The cap on emissions is intended to be consistent with the 55% goal.
4. To address equity concerns the Commission proposes a Social Action Climate Facility. Much needed but far from enough. Only 25% of new revenues to be matched by Member States & begins to disperse funds in mid-2025, a year before price impact is felt. euractiv.com/section/energy…
5. All revenues from existing ETS must now be used for ‘climate-related purposes’. Good. Existing issues remain around: 1) definition of ‘climate-related purposes’ and MS interpretation 2) additionality 3) reporting and accountability as @WWFEU point out. wwfmmi.org/?uNewsID=38864…
6. The EU’s principle of Efficiency First is well-reflected in the revised Energy Efficiency Directive with and increased energy savings target and Article 7 (now 8) close to doubling the ambition level from 2024. Need to dig into flexibilities more to provide full judgement.
7. The current RES target of 32% by 2030 will be increased to 40% roughly doubling the share of solar, wind and other renewables in Europe’s energy mix by the end of the decade. The good news is that we can do even more and move even faster. climact.com/en/increasing-…
8. On heating and cooling the proposals are more disappointing. Whilst the revised RED makes the targets mandatory it still allows unsustainable bioenergy to continue being used and doesn't encourage electrification sufficiently. euractiv.com/section/biomas…
9. The definition of efficient district heating is still too unambitious allowing for large quantities of fossil fuels to be used well into the 2040s.
10. But fossil fuel combustion technologies are no longer eligible to count towards energy savings targets of the EED. Something @RegAssistProj asked for earlier this year. raponline.org/knowledge-cent…
11. Currently most EU Member States subsidise new fossil fuel heating systems and count energy savings as @ CoolproductsEU have shown. Those savings will no longer count under the proposals. coolproducts.eu/uncategorized/…
12. Electric vehicles receive a boost through revised CO2 standards for new cars and vans. Updated regulation requires a 50-55% cut in emissions from new vehicles by 2030 & the end of ICE by 2035. New credit mechanism for transport to support electrification from the RED.
13. Charging infrastructure for EVs including trucks will grow with binding targets for member states based on the fleet size with high power charge points every 60 km. Smart charging will become the norm as recommended in ‘Start with Smart’. raponline.org/knowledge-cent…
14. A Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism is proposed by the Commission. My colleague Zsuzsa Pato wrote about this instrument in an earlier article and concludes that an extended ETS outperforms carbon border adjustment in the power sector. euractiv.com/section/emissi…
15. Revised Energy Taxation Directive is intended to level the playing field and enable low carbon energy to compete with fossil fuels more effectively. This is laudable because current taxes and levies structures stand in the way of clean technologies. euractiv.com/section/electr…
16. But changes will need to be agreed with unanimity from EU countries. A previous attempt to revise the legislation started in 2011, but the European Commission withdrew the proposal in 2015 in the face of opposition from EU member states.
17. If you want a deep dive on equity and the Fit for 55 package I highly recommend reading this by my esteemed colleague @sunderlandlouis
18. And a deep dive on heat decarbonisation from @enfinnEU @e3g here.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jan Rosenow

Jan Rosenow Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @janrosenow

Sep 12
"Why are electricity prices so high if renewables break generation records and are so cheap?" I have been asked.

The main reason: Gas still sets the price 63% of the time in wholesale electricity markets in EU27 & >90% in some countries.

The graphic is from the Draghi Report. Image
For those wanting to understand why the most expensive generator dispatched sets the price I highly recommend this explainer by @LionHirth hertie-school.org/en/news/detail…
The same issue is also very prevalent in the UK market as recent @UCL_Energy analysis shows.

ucl.ac.uk/bartlett/susta…
Read 4 tweets
Aug 31
I love it when "experts" like Richard make sweeping claims that more wind and solar will result in more outages without ever looking at the real data.

Here's the data for Germany:

Wind + solar had a share of 33% of electricity in 2022. ➡️But there were 43% FEWER interruptions than in 2006 when wind + solar contributed only 5%.Image
1/ This is no different for other countries. Here's data from @CEERenergy on the minutes of interruptions per customer per year (SAIDI). Whilst wind and solar have seen record growth in Europe customer DO NOT experience more interruptions. ceer.eu/publication/7t…Image
2/ James Glennie also plotted grid reliability vs. wind & solar penetration in Europe and the US.

I struggle to see that places with a lot of wind and solar have more outages.

Why? Because the data doesn't show that. There simply is no correlation between grid outages and the share of wind and solar.

Image
Image
Read 4 tweets
Jun 25
NEW RESEARCH: What do we do with the gas grid when gas demand drops?

A new regulatory approach is urgently needed to ensure costs for gas grid do not spiral out of control.

@RegAssistProj @heatpolicyrich @CKemfert

Free copy here 👇


Key findings in 🧵. authors.elsevier.com/a/1jJcf9C%7EIu…
Image
1/ Modelling at EU level indicates that gas demand will decline by 71-73% by 2050 as part of the path to net zero climate targets.

Importantly this includes ALL gases including hydrogen and biomethane. Even after considering alternative gases overall gas demand still declines by more than 2/3.Image
2/ Similar modelling has been done for the UK by @NationalGridESO showing that overall gas demand will decline under all scenarios. Image
Read 10 tweets
May 27
How to reduce the vast amount of operational emissions from buildings from heating, cooling and appliances?

Today I delivered a scene setting presentation at a United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change event. Some key takeaways from my presentation in this 🧵 Image
1/ Until recently operational emissions from buildings were the elephant in the room. This is changing now with more attention being paid to them. Image
2/ In 2022, operational energy demand in buildings (for space heating and cooling, water heating, lighting, cooking and other uses) accounted for a whopping 30 per cent of final energy demand. 27% of total global CO2 emissions are from operational energy use in buildings. Image
Read 13 tweets
Apr 26
"Will we be warm?" I was asked last night by a friend thinking of installing a heat pump in an old not well insulated Victorian house.

My response: "Yes you will."

Heat pumps can work in any building if sized, designed and installed correctly. 🧵

carbonbrief.org/factcheck-18-m…
Image
1/ Many uninsulated homes and buildings are already heated to comfortable temperatures with heat pumps, as shown across multiple case studies, including an uninsulated stone church. isoenergy.co.uk/projects#sort=…
Image
2/ A building loses heat through the walls, the windows and the roof when it is colder outside than inside, as shown by the stylised arrows in the figure in the main post above. The upper panels show an outdoor temperature of 10C, coloured purple, and an indoor temperature of 20C, coloured red.
Read 13 tweets
Mar 16
Energy transition critics often point to primary energy use to demonstrate that it's going to be impossible.

But 72% of the global energy input is currently lost after conversion.

The problem we're trying to solve here is a lot smaller than primary energy use might suggest.🧵 Image
1/ The future energy system will be characterised by a lot more "electricity-only" renewables (mainly solar and wind). Many of the conversion losses are currently due conversion losses at the electricity generation stage. This will no longer be anywhere near as significant in a system dominated by solar and wind.
2/ All end-use sectors will use significantly more electricity. This will result in much higher end-use efficiency and globally could reduce final energy use by up to 40%.
Read 7 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(