New @BrightLineWatch on state of US democracy brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
-Experts: Overturning pop. vote key risk; legal changes to enable are grave/serious threats
-Public: Secession support ↑ in partisan strongholds but info on official AZ recount ↑ R trust more than "audit"
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-Experts: Overturning pop. vote key risk; legal changes to enable are grave/serious threats
-Public: Secession support ↑ in partisan strongholds but info on official AZ recount ↑ R trust more than "audit"
🧵
Hardball tactics like gerrymandering, packing the Supreme Court or blocking nominees, voter suppression, abolishing the filibuster, adding new states, or refusing to certify election results attract little support from public or experts (w/few exceptions) brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
Experts expect hardball tactics to be used more frequently, rating obstruction of Supreme Court nominations as highly likely and refusal to certify popular vote totals as a likely outcome as well. Hardball tactics more favored by Ds are seen as less likely brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
Experts overwhelmingly rate state bills that encroach on the independence of local election officials and restrict mail voting as grave or serious threats to democracy. Other changes were seen as less consequential, though still potentially harmful. brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
Information about the official audit in Maricopa County more than doubled GOP confidence in the vote count there. Surprisingly, news about partisan “audit” there also increased R confidence, though effect seems unlikely to persist if "results" claim fraud brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
A candidate choice experiment shows that Republicans continue to punish hypothetical GOP candidates for supporting Trump's 2nd impeachment or the certification of election results showing Biden's victory. Results are unchanged since Jan./Feb. of this year. brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
37% of Americans supported regional secession from the union - up from 29% earlier this year. Support was highest in the dominant partisan group in each region and increased most in partisan strongholds - Democrats in the West and Republicans in the South brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
Experts rate Trump’s continued refusal to accept the 2020 election results as the most abnormal and important event of recent months. However, unlike 2017-2020, most actions experts rated as both abnormal and important were taken by other Republicans. brightlinewatch.org/still-miles-ap…
@threadreaderapp unroll please
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