THREAD: We're dealing with the 'fog of war' right now as the looting/insurrection continues. Here's a small attempt at some context based on 904k tweets as of Wednesday 14 July. #ShutdownSA
Four main communities are driving the conversation. Most of them are anti-looting and anti-insurrection. This network map visualises the communities involved on Twitter. Caveat: community membership is a statistical process; it does not 100% confirm ideological alignment.
Here's the same map but with users that mentioned pro-Zuma terms and hashtags like "msholozi" and "FreeZumaNow" highlighted in GREEN. No surprises that it's centred on the RET community but also the Anti-looting Community 1.
Here are users in PINK discussing the idea of the unrest being an orchestrated insurrection or coup attempt on the part of the Zuma-RET faction.
Here's a close-up of the Progressives, Liberals & Conservatives Community which is basically a catch-all community for a bunch of disparate groups. They are talking the most about insurrection and a coup.
These were the most retweeted tweets within the Progressives, Liberals & Conservatives Community as of Wednesday.
This is the Anti-looting Community 2 as of Wednesday
This is what's resonating within the Anti-looting Community 2
This is a close-up of Anti-looting Community 1 which has some Zuma sympathies (see the amount of users tagged as green within this community in the earlier network map).
...and these were the tweets that resonated the most (i.e received the most retweets within this community) with the Anti-looting Community 1.
Finally, this is what the Pro-Zuma RET Community, where the most incendiary content is coming from, looks like.
These were the top retweets within the Pro-Zuma RET Community.
In addition, here are a few examples of popular posts within the Pro-Zuma RET Community that some might consider incendiary. Many seek to enflame Black vs. Indian vs. White racial tensions.
Some more potentially incindiary tweets that were popular within the Pro-Zuma RET Community on Twitter.
THREAD/ Here's a map of the main groups pushing #SouthAfrica's vote rigging "Big Lie" conspiracy on X. Note: not all users shown are pushing the conspiracy. Some, like @tshidi_lee are just doing their job and reporting on what politicians say. #SADecides2024 #SAElections2024
Let's look at the evolution of #SouthAfrica's "Big Lie" so far. Country's are at their most vulnerable during elections, and questioning elections integrity is an age-old tactic that's been used by Trump and Bolsonaro in recent years. #SADecides2024 #SAElections2024 #elections
First though, let's acknowledge that the biggest winner in this election, the MK Party, is the one saying it was rigged while the biggest loser, the ANC, accepts the results. #SADecides2024 #SAElections2024 #SouthAfrica #elections
THREAD: Here's a visualisation of the SECOND report from the @StateCaptureCom, focusing on Transnet and Denel. It was created by @thembani_p and myself 🧐🧐🧐
2/ You might also want to remind yourself about our visualisation of the first report in this thread:
3/ These networks look similar to the previous documents we’ve visualised (superlinear.co.za/visualising-th… & superlinear.co.za/the-presidents…). The Zondo Commission didn't highlight much that we did not know by 2017 but it added details & put things on a firmer legal footing. Justice takes time.
1/ It’s a bit late, but here’s a quick look at SONA discussions on Twitter. This is based on ~424,000 tweets by ~114,000 Twitter users between last Monday 10th until this morning (Friday 21st). The vast majority of the tweets were generated during the time of the SONA though.
2/ Here’s the network of users discussing SONA. The EFF and RET communities group together. They increasingly sing from the same hymn book esp. wrt to Gordhan. Almost a quarter (23%) of all tweets came from this community. All together now folks: “Twitter isn’t real life”.
3/ This chart shows the volume of tweets minute by minute. As mentioned, it spiked during the actual speech at ~2,500 tweets per minute (at least that's the max my systems were able to collect; could have been more). Conversation picked up a bit again the next morning.