#AngelOne Q4 results are as per expectation & superb. My key takeaways from the investor presentation in this mini 🧵
1. SmartStore is the joker in the pack. If Angel can build a successful engagement based platform for the users. We also see that they have initiated regulatory approval for AMC already
2. Some Details on how they are developing the platform for educating traders. Discussion forums are the primary variable to track IMO. I am HOOKED to ValuePickr.com I came for the knowledge, but stayed for the community.
3. ARQ Prime, their proprietary smart beta strategy is steadily outperforming midcap index. Would be interesting to see what kind of cos it picks (havent done that yet).
4. Good to see expanding market share of NSE active clients. Would also love to get feedback on whether angel indulges in any petty practices to inflate this number (the way ICICI direct and groww do).
As suspected, the bulk of the volume growth is coming from the tier 2 and 3 cities but interesting to see that there is an actual acceleration in growth as we go down the tiers.
6. The # of trades metric is most important for revenue (flat fee structure). Good to see ~15% QoQ growth in that. ADTO is also important in order to have an engaged client base. As suspected most of growth is coming from F&O segment with cash and commodity being flattish.
7. The margin funding book is growing nicely. Remains to be seen how much of this is sticky growth. Remains to be seen how fast India margin (~1B$ now) funding becomes as large as China
... (100B$) & US (800B$)
8. Interesting to see how their digital focussed talent pool has growth even though the overall talent pool hasnt. Shows the transformation in the thought process & focus on AI & ML enabled user experiences
9. Look at the strength of the independent directors on the board. Max life insurance, World Bank, LIC, SBI life insurance
Do read this thread to understand the biz of Angel if you haven't:
The one on CFO to EBITDA conversion (one has to look beyond CFO for high growth companies, look at quality of inventory, receivables, business execution cycle)
Saregama q4 was flat. I think i can understand now what the problem is
Stated guidance is to acquire 25-30% of all content released every year
In largest segment : Hindi : they acquired 5% of songs
In 2 other smaller segments : Telugu & Malayalam they acquired 20%
look at the music segment PBT (since it's dominated by streaming, carvan low margin)
Compare it to the YouTube views growth
Q3Fy22 to Q4fy23 :
Views: more than double
Music ebit : 64 cr to 58 cr ebit. No growth at all
What does that tell us about monetization per view
Part of the degrowth can also be due to the losses in events business. But at end of day it's a stangnant profit stream as far as Investors are concerned
Disclaimer: was invested, not invested any more. Definitely interested.
1. Working capital (inventory, receivables) 2. Capital expenditure (plant, machinery)
#1 is accounted for in operating cash flow
#2 is accounted for in cashflow from investing activities
Read each screenshot carefully, look beyond screener 🙏
When you do you will realise following: 1. 90% of receivables are not even due. They are essentially part of the payment terms 2. 100% of inventory is raw material & cwip (higher rm for growth & higher cwip due to longer execution timelines)
3. No finished goods inventory (except what is in transit to the clients) 4. No credit impaired receivables over last 2 years 5. Negligible inventory write down
A lot of you call me andh bhakt
You are missing the forest for the trees. Focus on the intent, the actions, look at the broader picture. If you get lost in the details, you are basically playing into hands of forces which act to break, loot & keep india poor
🧵 @AbhijitChavda
How many governments have the guts to implement gst? How many had the guts to take away something like old pension scheme so that poor people can benefit rather than govt employees (my own mom will lose but country before family)
How many governments had the chance to, but didn't implement direct benefit transfer. How many have worked tirelessly to create basic infra like toilets, electrification, roads, which should have happened in first 50 years of independence
My name is XPRO & i am not a packaging film maker.
A new 7% position for me. A company promoted by Birlas.
Do retweet if you find it useful. 🙏
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Disclaimer
I am not a sebi registered advisor. The reason i share about my learnings is to motivate everyone to do the same & build a sharing ecosystem. I firmly believe that knowledge multiplies by sharing
Nothing i share should be construed as a buy or sell reco
Outline
1. Business 2. Growth & Capex 3. Profitability 4. Industry Trends 5. Moats & Competitive positioning 6. Valuation 7. Position sizing 8. Risks & Anti thesis