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Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
@SubhadipNandy16
Jul 16, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read • Read on X
HDFCBANK trade opened with view on results :
View : Bullish
Strategy: CE Backspread
Sold 1*1520CE at 28 & bought 2*1560CE at 13
Net credit =Rs.2
Payoff diagram for Monday Image
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I will trade all the major results, expect to win max 40% of the trades. Will lose small if wrong, will win large if big. So I am looking at net payoff over at least 10 trades. A single win/loss does not matter. Trade will be sqedoff the day post results, so holding is 1 day
The first trade of this series was INFY, won a small amount . This is the next one.
Keeping max amount risk at 10k per trade

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More from @SubhadipNandy16

Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Mar 16
Positional analysis on Nifty. These are just pointers from charts and indicators which should be kept in mind for the rest of this March expiry
Negative divergence on RSI and MFI
Volatility divergence on Bollinger Bands
MACD is sell signal, raw MACD line sloping down Image
Breakdown of trendlines on price supported by breakdown on trendlines of RSI and MFI. Image
Read 8 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Mar 14
Nifty puts added OI from 22000-22000 which is normal as Nifty went up, so is the cut in the 22k ce OI.
What is abnormal is the cut in 22500pe, that should have added OI by the same logic.
So we now watch two strikes :
Nifty bullish if 22500pe trades below 310 and 22000pe trades below 80.

Nifty bearish if 22500pe trades above 392 and 22000pe trades above 150Image
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On BNF , two strikes stand out. The addition on the 47k ce ( thrice that of 47k pe) and addition in ITM 46500ce.

So we will watch these two strikes
BN bullish if the 46500ce trades above 1175 and 47000ce trades above 870
BN bearish if 46500ce trades below 850 and 47000ce trades below 580.

What's very interesting is the OI behavior on the 46500ce , the sellers kept on selling even when BN went up without any fear.

Makes me say they know something which makes BN much more bearish than NIFTYImage
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Last but not the least, my standard template on eod charts.
Make your own inferences, important to keep the broader picture in mind.
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Read 4 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 4, 2023
BankNifty had an almost 28% increase in COI today. This COI increase in a large range day ( up or down) would have been justifiable, not in a range day like today. The only logic can be the coming RBI MPC meet from which someone is expecting something very very big Image
So I went back for the last couple of years and tried to check how BN behaves after such and increase in COI
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Then went through the bhavcopy to check which month has seen the increase ( will give an idea / confirmation about these players when they are expecting the event). It's Oct expiry, so this is a near term game Image
Read 6 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Jan 23, 2023
Thanks to everyone who enquired about my well being. For the last almost 2 months, suffering from probable long covid symptoms.

1. I am a type 2 diabetic. Sugar etc was always under control. Now sugars, cholesterol etc have all shot thru the roof. HBA1C at 9 , ACR is 130
2. Joint pains at shoulder , xray-usg-mri does not find any physical reasons

3. Huge fatigue. Getting out of bed or going out is a chore.
4. Problems with short term memory. I am forgetting certain things , have been pointed this out by my near family members, I did not realise this myself. This is actually pretty scary.

5. Abcesses/styes out of nowhere ( one was solved by a twitter doc friend)
Read 5 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 24, 2022
Why am I saying this, the explanation 🧵
First, some basic statistics :

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/68%E2%80%…
The simplest way to check this is our common Bollinger Bands. 20 periods with 2 SD which generally contains 95% of all price action.

So if we increase the deviations to 3, that should contain 99.7% of all observations, a "near certainty"
Read 5 tweets
Subhadip Nandy Profile picture
Oct 21, 2022
One question which I often get asked is what is the minimum capital one requires to trade options .

Here is my take on this topic : A 🧵
The least notional value contract as of now is a lot of Nifty.
50*18000 = 9 lacs approx

investopedia.com/terms/n/notion…
Looking at this from an option buyer's perspective, the requirements for a seller are much higher as selling has unlimited risk.

Let us also assume the options buyer trades through bull or bear spreads with a debit which he knows is his max loss
Read 7 tweets

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