Thread by @tomiahonen

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 1/

CPAC met last weekend in Texas. They had a straw poll. Trump came on top of the straw poll (of course). When they asked if Trump is NOT on the ticket 2024, who do they want. Overwhelmingly CPAC straw poll picked this racist asshole bastard from Florida

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 2/

First. Let's be VERY clear. Florida's racist sexist mass murderer asshole Governor Death DeSantis #DeathSantis is a monster. He is Trump on steroids. He is living breathing proof of what becomes of GOP as they get ever more insane with the Maga sickness

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 3/

It is GOOD for us to consider the evil that is Ron DeSantis, so we see where the GOP is headed

But people are freaking out about the CPAC Straw Poll. As if Ron DeSantis is the 'front runner' of the 2024 GOP race for Presidential Nominee

Is LUDICROUS

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 4/

Ron Death Santis is many things. He may EVEN be one of the front runners for SOME national office, but he is MOST DEF not the front runner for GOP Nomination for President in 2024 (which is overwhelmingly Trump)

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 5/

Even if you take Trump OUT of the running for 2024 (maybe has heart attack, maybe has run into exile, whatever) - Ron Death Santis is NOT THE FRONT RUNNER in GOP. If Trump is out - the front runner BY A MILE is .. Ted Cruz

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 6/

The ONLY viable position Gov Death Santis is running for, is Veep. And it is HIGHLY unlikely that he gets it. Because both Trump and Cruz will prefer to take a token woman as the Veep, and for both, their woman of choice is Nikki Haley

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 7/

But Tomi, it is a poll?

No. It is NOT a scientifically relevant, or in any way accurate statistical tool even though it misleadingly uses that word. It is a STRAW poll. Straw polls are MEANINGLESS. Let me prove it to you. With CPAC own Straw polls

From the very first CPAC straw poll over 4 decades, there have been 15 years of the poll without an incumbent Republican, in a non-election year

The winners were:
Jack Kemp 3x
Phil Graham
Steve Forbes
Gary Bower
Rudy Giuliani
George Allen
Mitt Romney 2x
Ron Paul 2x
Rand Paul 3x

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 9/

The CPAC poll has 2 times in past 15 attempts of a genuinely open race, picked the winner. The were wrong 13 times. This poll has accuracy of 13%

CPAC poll has predictive ability of 13%

Or Veep? The Poll is slighly better: 20% chance (Kemp with Dole)

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 10/

To use the CPAC straw poll as a 'tool' to measure any candidate's support, is as silly as using your thermometer.

It will tell you SOMETHING (temperature). But will not tell you who is going to be the next Presidential nominee

CPAC Straw Poll Thread 11/

What CPAC is, is an opportunity for the garden variety racist Nazis to get together in the lazy summer months, to pretend to be inclusive, and come listen to their token black dude mumble at them. Wot? Did Herman Cain die of Covid? Ok get the other one