German president Steinmeier delivers a sombre speech about help for communities devastated by floods while in background CDU chancellor candidate Armin Laschet appears to laugh himself silly about some joke:

There are many CDUers, including on Laschet’s own centrist wing, who fear he’s ultimately a natural small-town mayor who is out of his depth as frontrunner to succeed Merkel. Others counter that his jovial, folksy style is his strength. This clip will strengthen the former camp.
Another theory this may strengthen is that Laschet has mixed feelings about being chancellor candidate at all. I understand he was talked into running to block right-winger Merz, and only after that point came to like the idea. Deep down, does he really want to be chancellor?
Laschet’s big sell was that he’s a down-to-earth unifier in a time of polarisation (he explicitly framed himself as an anti-Trump in his application speech at CDU conference). Moments like these horrific floods are *exactly* what he’s meant to be good at. And this is his region!
Yet Laschet’s response to floods has been marked by bland speeches, achingly slow progress towards a serious engagement with climate change, a patronising interview with a woman journalist and now mucking around on camera in what should have been a moment of national solidarity.
He has contrasted unfavorably with Malu Dreyer, the SPD minister president of the neighbouring state. I’ve long wondered why Dreyer has not been touted more as a possible chancellor and her emotionally resonant, serious response to the floods have only made me wonder more.
Whomever you’d like to see as chancellor, Germany needs a strong and moderate CDU/CSU. Laschet’s win over populist Merz to be its chancellor candidate was a good thing. He has some great people on his team. But it’s so disappointing to see him fail to rise to this moment. [ENDS]
PS: Only fair to share this of Steinmeier chuckling in background of Laschet’s own sombre statement. Clips are clips. But a chancellor (unlike Germany’s mostly symbolic president) wields power and with power comes a responsibility to rise to the occasion. Today, Laschet didn’t.

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More from @JeremyCliffe

11 Jul
Whatever tonight's result, the European Championship has been a seminal moment in the emergence of a liberal, progressive English identity.

That's a big step forward. The next question is how to make that progressive English pride less about the past and more about the future.
In 2015 I wrote a paper called Britain's Cosmopolitan Future about the "Londonisation of Britain" and how the capital's values were rippling out to the rest of the country, and what that might mean for the future of UK (but especially English) politics.

policynetwork.org/wp-content/upl…
Today I see what I described 6 years ago as the "emerging cosmopolitan majority" in polls showing that voters support the England team taking the knee.

Whisper it softly, as it doesn't fit the trendy narrative of national polarisation, but the UK and England are changing fast.
Read 4 tweets
7 Jun
A @NewStatesman exclusive: With the G7 summit just 4 days away, over a dozen members of Congress have written to Joe Biden urging him to stand up to Boris Johnson over the UK's foreign aid cuts.

newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
Sent to the White House yesterday, the letter notes that the £4 billion in UK aid cuts will have "negative impacts in at least 11 countries", will end all UK development work in Latin America and "undermines our collective global response" to the crisis:

newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
The letter is signed by @JoaquinCastrotx, @IlhanMN, @RepBarbaraLee, @RoKhanna & others.

"President Biden’s first diplomatic trip abroad is to the UK, which demonstrates... our special relationship but also our shared responsibilities", Castro tells us:

newstatesman.com/politics/uk/20…
Read 4 tweets
6 Jun
Despite feverish speculation about a neck-and-neck race between CDU and AfD in today's Saxony-Anhalt election, 1st projection puts CDU *13.5* points ahead. Results to come but looks like a triumph for Reiner Haseloff. Another reminder of perils of over-hyping the far right.
Yes, the AfD has stabilised as a significant and alarming presence in German politics, especially in the eastern federal states. Even on this projection (which might understate its final result) the party has taken more than 1 in 5 votes in Saxony-Anhalt today.
But narrative of AfD "surge" etc just doesn't reflect the reality. It lost seats at last 3 state elections and (if projection is right) may do so in Saxony-Anhalt today. It hasn't profited from Covid-19. It is on track for a flat or lower result in September's federal election.
Read 4 tweets
28 Mar
Revealing of current state of 🇩🇪's debate on pandemic measures: some 40 minutes into her big @DasErste interview, Angela Merkel still hasn't been asked about vaccinations. Focus overwhelmingly on lockdown policy and balance between federal & state responsibilities.
(Remarkably, Merkel just plainly acknowledged that Armin Laschet, her own CDU's new leader, is violating agreements on lockdown policy. She also intimated a need to revisit relationship between federal government and the states if latter continue to block tougher measures.)
Now (finally) onto vaccines. @annewill asks if she is "supporting or protecting" the Commission president. Merkel's reply: "I'm supporting her. Ursula von der Leyen doesn't need my protection."
Read 8 tweets
31 Jan
Watching Germany's top political talkshow @AnneWillTalk, I don't think I've ever seen a bigger gap between UK and German coverage (focus, angle, talking points) of a subject of common relevance. Including Brexit.
The UK debate is now overwhelmingly focused on vaccines. Here vaccines are still being treated as just one of several Covid topics, and with much less urgency. Similar story on @maybritillner (another top German politics talkshow) on Thursday and in daily papers.
25 minutes into the biggest German politics show of the week and vaccines have barely been mentioned at all. Main focus on ins and outs of lockdown policies. It's quite astonishing and *universes* away from the current UK debate.
Read 12 tweets
16 Jan
Thanks Stewart! Election day at CDU's conference is just beginning. Speeches by candidates Laschet, Merz, Röttgen start at 9:45 (Berlin time, so in 10 mins), then the 1,001 delegates begin voting at 11:10.
First up is Armin Laschet, the continuity candidate. Key messages: US example of dangers of polarisation; CDU can't take "Merkel voters" for granted; change requires experience, trust and teamwork rather than just big ideas; namecheck for his more-popular running mate Jens Spahn.
Verdict: not a bad speech tbh, nicely organised around theme of trust and teamwork that marked his father's work as a miner; the warning about the dangers of polarisation captured Laschet's own strengths and the risk of electing Merz
Read 23 tweets

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