Folks who do psychological parts work (Focusing, IFS, etc.),
Will the science of the future find that parts / subagents are neurologically "real"? (eg we'll be able isolate a neural structure that instantiates a given part)
Or are they merely helpful metaphors?
Another (maybe better?) way of operationalizing this:
Are parts distinct and persistent entities that exist when you're NOT doing parts work?
Or are they more like the handles for doing perspective taking, spun up for change work, but which don't persistently exist?
In that second hypothesis, parts have the same ontological status as _query responses_.
I can ask myself "If [some project] were going fail, how would it fail?" or "What's the most plausible story under which [my current theory of something] is false?" and my brain will return an answer.
(Those are both super useful cognitive moves, by the way.)
Similarly, I can ask "Suppose there was some reason why it made sense for me to get distracted. What would that be?" and my brain will return an answer.
"The part that wants me to get distracted" is just me, repeatedly taking the perspective or frame from which the distraction is good, and then having my brain fill in the details.
Maybe a part is just that kind of querying process, treated as if it is a persistent thing.
Of course, thoughts build brain structures and brain structures generate thoughts.
Thoughts that you regularly think become habitual, and there will be brain structures that instantiate that habit.
But "habits of thought" sound a lot less...active and agent-like, than parts or sub-agents.
Habits don't _choose_, or respond creatively to new situations.
If a part is a habit, that implies that, when I'm talking with a part, I'm doing a lot of narrativizing of intention / agency around a simple behavioral core.
In that case, when I "let a part decide to release a behavior or not", that isn't actually what's happening. The neurons that instantiate the part are not the ones that are making that decision (though that might still be a pragmatically helpful framework).
But there's another possibility, where "when I let a part decide", that is literally what is happening. There's a (probably distributed) network that instantiates a simple thing that is meaningfully _wanting_ something, and can meaningfully choose between options.
Granted, in that possibility, parts might be sharing time on specific hardwired brain structures. Like, they all need to use the hypothalamus (or something) to make decisions, and only one can use it at a time.
But that doesn't obviate the thought / structure distinction.
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Real frontiers, places were something new is happening are always filled with scams.
This is true of crypto, as it was of the internet bubble at the turn of the century, and it was probably also true of various gold rushes and oil-prospecting and land speculation schemes.
Basically, if there's something new and important, a wealth-creating engine, there's an opportunity to invest in that new thing, and reap big financial gains.
People are greedy, and so they want to get some of those gains for themselves.
This creates an opportunity for scammers and swindlers:
In _Diplomacy_, Kissinger points out that balance-of-power systems are rare in human geopolitics. A much more common international organizing principle is empire.
This leaves me with the impression that there are roughly two kinds of geopolitical orders:
1) Equilibrium / balance-of-power / or multi-state scenarios: in which there are many nations, no single one of which is powerful enough to dominate the others, and if any try the others gang up on it in self defense.
My eyes have been weird for like a month now: I’m not sure if they are having trouble focusing or what, but I can’t seem to look at screens without getting a sort of slight “cross-eyed” / eye strain feeling.
Maybe I’m getting near-sighted?
Anyway, this is making doing most of thing things that matter just slightly aversive, and I think I should see an eye doctor.
I'm trying to set up a personal dashboard for myself, and looking for the best way to do this.
My first attempt was the simple thing: with google sheets. But this is already proving to be a pretty big pain.
Doing the computations for even one metric (time-length of my main deep work session, each day), is using tens of thousands of cells across multiple sheets, and when I change something, it takes multiple seconds to update.
There's a bunch of extra complexity because often the only way or the only easily legible way to do something in a spreadsheet is to spend whole columns storing intermediate results, where, in contrast, if I was doing with with python, these would be simple composable functions.
There's a class of people who are something like pragmatists: they realize that academia has all kinds of problems, but they also recognize that it is where a huge majority of many kinds of intellectual work are done.
So in the same way that a real radical cut's his hair and puts on a suit, very smart people with serious ambitious agendas will join academia because that's where (many of the) intellectual big boys are, and where (much of) the, eventually, civilization-shaping discourse happens.
("Practical men who believe themselves to be quite exempt from any intellectual influence, are usually the slaves of some defunct economist. Madmen in authority, who hear voices in the air, are distilling their frenzy from some academic scribbler of a few years back.”)
It sometimes strikes me how primitive it seems that we elect INDIVIDUALS into positions of power, instead of some other kind of institution or epistemic process that might be better suited for making complicated decisions.
If feels silly that we have this hugely complex world, but governance is still mostly a matter of deciding which monkey should be the one in charge.
What if instead of electing a person to be president of the united states, we elected teams that are known to work well together and integrate into an effective whole, or even companies with all of their internal hiring and decision making practices?