#ElectionTwitter Here's a map that I made of Theodore Roosevelt's performance by county as the presidential candidate for the Progressive party in 1912. Roosevelt received 27% of the popular vote, which is the best showing for a third-party candidate in American history.
From comparing the 1912 results to the Free Soil Party's performance in 1848, it becomes apparent that Roosevelt won a lot of Yankee-settled areas in the Midwest that were Republican strongholds
Roosevelt also did very well with Scandinavian voters, enabling him to win over 50% of the vote in counties like Kittson and Marshall in northwest Minnesota that were majority-Scandinavian, while also winning pluralities in the heavily Norwegian Lake Superior lowland in Wisconsin
In the South, Roosevelt won a substantial amount of votes in Unionist areas like East Tennessee and southern Kentucky that were bastions of Republican strength in the region.
Roosevelt seems to have done well in Republican areas full of ethnic Germans, like Gillespie county in Texas and McIntosh & Mercer in North Dakota. Furthermore, Roosevelt did very well in areas with a substantial amount of Dutch inhabitants. Maybe his Dutch heritage helped him?
Notably, Roosevelt did poorly in Utah & southern Idaho, where Mormons backed the incumbent Taft. Also, Robert LaFollette's refusal to endorse Roosevelt caused many Wisconsin progressives to back Wilson instead.
#ElectionTwitter In this thread, I'll copare the 2012 and 2020 presidential elections to the 2023 abortion referendum in Ohio to examine how the two coalitions differed in their attitudes towards abortion.
In 2012, Obama won a number of working-class voters whose views were lukewarm on abortion, while Mitt Romney was supported by many college-educated suburbanites that were pro-choice.
By 2020, an educational realignment had occurred that led to many pro-choice voters without a college degree flipping to Trump. As a result, there are many working-class voters in Ohio that vote Republican but were willing to back Issue 1.
#ElectionTwitter In this thread, I'll discuss the impact that the World Wars had on German-American voting patterns (fyi, this is an extremely long thread).
German Catholics voted overwhelmingly Democratic at the time, and were concentrated in places like eastern Wisconsin, Stearns county MN, Dubuque IA, Clinton county IL, Dubois county IN, Ellis county KS, and Putnam & Mercer counties in OH.
Protestant Germans tended to be Republican at the time, especially pietistic ones like Mennonites. The GOP did very well with these voters in places like North & South Dakota. Also, Gillespie county in Texas was staunchly Republican as a Unionist stronghold in the Civil War.