⚠️ Arkansas has taken the new COVID case lead over Missouri. Here's their county-level vaccination rate (left) vs. new case rates (right):
⚠️ Missouri is still on fire, however. County-level vaxx rate on the left, new case rate on the right:
⚠️ Florida has switched to only releasing county-level data once per week, so these are already out of date, but the Sunshine state has leapt into 3rd place nationally.
⚠️ Louisiana.
⚠️ And no, it's not just red states: Nevada is in the top five as well, and there it's being driven almost entirely by Clark County.
⚠️ Texas by request. Note the R^2 is lower than I had it last week because I've switched *all* states to *fully* vaccinated only for consistency (previously TX, CA and a few other states were based on total doses administered):
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The Inflation Reduction Act is also the reason over 20 million #ACA enrollees are saving an average of $800/yr on health insurance premiums.
Unfortunately that provision is scheduled to sunset at the end of 2025 unless legislation is passed to make the savings permanent.
I’ve written up estimates of how much net premiums would jump for various households in every state starting in January 2016 if the IRA subsidy formula isn’t extended. It’s not pretty. Here’s the first 5 states: acasignups.net/24/07/09/state…
Folks, donating to #HarrisWalz2024 is fine, but we REALLY need to focus on DOWNBALLOT races as well!
Here's how much I've raised for Harris/Walz vs. ~70 House/Senate races & ~700 State Legislative races.
Pick a page, pick some candidates & donate at . Blue24.org
Here's my Senate page where you can donate DIRECTLY to @RubenGallego, @DebbieforFL, @AlsobrooksForMD, @ElissaSlotkin, @jontester, @RosenforNevada, @SherrodBrown, @Bob_Casey, @ColinAllredTX & @tammybaldwin, as well as up to 10 other Senate Dem nominees:
@RubenGallego @DebbieforFL @AlsobrooksForMD @ElissaSlotkin @jontester @RosenforNevada @SherrodBrown @Bob_Casey @ColinAllredTX @tammybaldwin Here's my House page where you can donate DIRECTLY to up to 50 Dems running for COMPETITIVE House races, including @DrAmishShah, @EngelForArizona, @AdamGrayCA, @RudySalasCA, @gtwhitesides, @WillRollinsCA, @YadiraCaraveo, @CurtisHertelJr & @McdonaldRivet:
🔥 Guys...donating to #HarrisWalz2024 is fine, but we REALLY need to focus DOWN BALLOT as well! 1/
As my followers know, I've set up a simple website at which contains pages to donate DIRECTLY to *hundreds* of Democrats running for *competitive* seats in everything from State Legislature to U.S. Senate. 2/Blue24.org
So far this cycle I've raised a staggering $5.4 MILLION for #HarrisWalz2024. I'm incredibly proud of this...but I'm STRONGLY urging people to also donate to STATE LEGISLATIVE races, where small donations go a lot farther.
My main concern wasn’t about her personally (I actually supported her over Biden back in 2019); it was more about whether they could make the transition without it turning into a mess. So far they’ve pulled it off nearly perfectly.
With early voting starting in just 65 days in a few states, David asked this very reasonable question. I'm not an expert, but my general understanding of the situation is this: 1/
There've been a number of polls claiming that Harris/etc. would perform a few points better...but that's all THEORETICAL.
We all know that the moment it became a reality the numbers could change dramatically...especially given all the other chaos which would surround it. 2/
The thinking seems to be that Harris has a higher ceiling but also a lower floor. If you're 100% certain that Biden can't win, it therefore makes sense to figure you have nothing to lose.
However, this would upset millions of Dems who voted for Biden in the primary... 3/
Thread. ~20 years ago, one of the minor controversies surrounding then-President George W. Bush was after being warned that something he wanted to do was unconstitutional, he allegedly angrily replied that the Constitution is "just a damned piece of paper!" 1/
I don't know whether this actually happened or not, but regardless of how appalling it my is, on the most basic level that's actually *correct*: The Constitution *in and of itself* *is* "just a damned peice of paper." It's not a talisman. It doesn't have any magical powers. 2/
The power of The Constitution is in the hands of whoever the American People happen to be at any particular point in time.
If those in charge *and* enough of those who aren't either actively want to ignore the Constitution or just don't care enough to defend it, guess what? 3/