On Trump 2024 stuff: I don't know what he is going to do. But say he's not going to run. The minute he says so, most of the GOP moves on. There's a candidate to choose. Trump is no longer front and center. (Big downside for him: That might happen even if if does run.) 1/6
Also, there are people around him whose livelihoods depend on Trump remaining at top of heap in GOP. The way to do that is to promote his being the 2024 frontrunner for as long as possible, regardless of his real intentions. 2/6
Also, there are legal considerations about disclosure of donors once he becomes a declared candidate. 3/6
Then there is Trump's age: 78 in 2024. Too old. But that's Biden's age now! you say. Yes, it is, and he was too old to begin a term that will end when he is 82. 4/6
Finally, there is question of whether Trump is really up for all the trouble of another presidential run and then, possibly, another term. He obviously loves being star of the show. That's huge. But it's also a lot of aggravation. 5/6
I've said all along I don't believe Trump will run in 2024. But I will add clearly: I don't know, especially since we're talking about a decision that has not yet been formally made. 6/6 End.

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More from @ByronYork

15 Jul
Why is Joe Biden using such extreme rhetoric--Civil War, Jim Crow, etc--to describe the non-extreme measures in some state GOP voting bills? There's a huge disconnect between rhetoric and reality. 1/4 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/column…
Biden has to show progressive constituency groups he is fighting for the Democratic Party's top priority, S.1, the bill to federalize elections on terms favorable to Democratic candidates--even though he and everyone else know it won't pass. 2/4 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/column…
That's why they call it a messaging bill. The more extreme the rhetoric Biden uses, the more those constituency groups will be satisfied that he is fighting for them, or at least making a good show of it. It's voting rights theater. 3/4 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/column…
Read 4 tweets
3 Jul
Just watched NYT video on Capitol riot--twice, once without sound, once with. Prefer without narration. In any event, a valuable compilation and timeline. A few thoughts: nytimes.com/video/us/polit…
1) Proud Boys did incite in a couple of places, notably Pezzola's initial breach, but overall there has been too much emphasis on them and Oath Keepers. The crowd that surged toward the Capitol was large, amorphous, and mostly un-led.
2) On the minority of Trump rally-goers who ended up inside the Capitol: Whenever they got where they were going, they didn't appear to know what to do then. Mostly milled around, took selfies, and yelled about being inside the Capitol. Then left.
Read 6 tweets
21 Jun
In Monmouth poll, 61% say Biden won fair & square, 32% say through fraud, 7% don't know. The 32% includes 57% of Republicans, 38% of independents, 4% of (confused) Democrats. Then Monmouth asked those who said Biden won through fraud... 1/4 monmouth.edu/polling-instit… Image
'Now that Biden is in office, do you feel it is time to move on or will you never accept Biden as president?' Overall, 16% say move on, 14% say will never accept Biden, on top of 61% who say Biden won fair & square and 7% who don't know. 2/4 Image
Among GOP, number is 23% who say it is time to move on, 31% who will never accept Biden, on top of 43% who say Biden won fair & square/don't know. 3/4 Image
Read 4 tweets
16 Jun
Where is the Biden administration's passion, intensity, anger in pursuing the origins of COVID? 1/7 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/byron-…
In 2016, Russia tried to interfere in US election. No evidence Russians ever touched any ballot or influenced votes. Yet US political/justice/media worlds became consumed by investigations. (And ultimately failed to find 'collusion.') 2/7 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/byron-…
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Read 7 tweets
24 May
On George Will's desire 'to see January 6 burned into the American mind as firmly as 9/11 because it was that scale of a shock to the system.' No, it wasn't. There is simply no comparison in scale or motivation between the two. For some perspective: 1/5
The 9/11 al Qaeda attacks killed roughly 3,000 people, brought down New York's tallest skyscrapers, destroyed part of the Pentagon, crashed four passenger jetliners, and changed U.S. foreign policy for decades. 2/5
The January 6 riot led to the natural-causes death of one Capitol Police officer, the death of one rioter at the hands of police, the 'acute amphetamine intoxication' death of another rioter, and the natural causes deaths of two more. 3/5
Read 5 tweets
17 May
US border officials report illegal crossers now coming from around world--160 countries in recent months. Leaving Mumbai, connecting through Dubai, Paris, Mexico City, then heading for US border. March was record, then April higher. 1/4 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/byron-…
US would never tolerate such a situation at its airports. Fly into ATL, ORD, LAX from overseas and every single person must present documents showing legal right to enter US. Would anyone advocate throwing that system out? 2/4 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/byron-…
Yet that is precisely what is happening on US-Mexico border. Thousands coming across. No right to enter US outside ports of entry. Biden is not trying to *stop* the flow. He is trying to *accommodate* the flow, arranging housing, transportation. 3/4 washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/byron-…
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