We’ve never seen a RB return to RB1 status from an Achilles rupture.
Best comparison (besides Marlon Mack) is Mikal Leshoure, who tore his at 21y/o and returned to 798/9 TDS and 34 rec for 214 yards.
Leshoure was replaced by Reggie Bush due to lack of explosion the next year.
This absolutely sucks for Cam Akers. I feel for him and his family and there is good evidence that he WILL return from the injury, but any advice to acquire him in dynasty right now is ignoring all evidence we have about this injury and his expected production.
Is Akers the exception?
TECHNICALLY we don’t know until we see it, but he’d be the first RB example in the history of the NFL to return to an elite level.
We went through this with other, less talented, RBs. Anyone remember D’onta Foreman? Same medical technology/protocols…
We will see what happens with Marlon Mack this year, but again the data all points to this being catastrophic.
I wish Akers the best of luck in his recovery, I really do hope he IS the exception, but I won’t be trying to acquire him in dynasty and you shouldn’t either.
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"Modern medicine has vastly improved in the last 10 years"
While in general, this statement is true, it's not all-inclusive. In the last 24 hours, it's been used by people who 1. Don't practice medicine and 2. Don't understand how "modern medicine" works
Let's discuss.
Let's start with the basics, what has changed with Achilles rupture repair surgery in the last 10 years?
I'll defer to one of the nation's top orthopedic surgeons, Dr. David Geier, to answer this.
When discussing Kevin Durant in April, Dr. Geier said this.
“The surgery is still basically bringing one end [of the tendon] up against the other and holding it together until your body lays down enough new collagen to rebuild it,” Geier said. “We haven’t really improved on that.”
Went back and found a Lions forum post Mikel Leshoure injury in 2012. Lmk if any of these quotes look familiar.
“None of this data is specifically relevant to a 21-year-old rookie in the best shape of his life”
“No elite running back in recent memory has come back from a ruptured Achilles at full speed, because no elite running back has recently ruptured an Achilles.”
“Mikel Leshoure has every possible indicator pointing to success: youth, a light previous workload, no prior Achilles pain, and a long track record of determination to succeed.”
Huge development in college football. Clemson's Justyn Ross expected to miss this year with a congenital fusion in his cervical spine. Surgery coming at the end of this week.