1/ Expertise Value Added in the Real Estate Market (Gay, Zhang)
"Realtor activity is correlated with higher-quality listings (based on listing photos/remarks). Controlling for house characteristics, listing quality is correlated with higher sale prices."
2/ "Waller and Jubran find that properties listed by experienced realtors sell for 2% more than those of inexperienced realtors and 32% faster.
"However, Munneke and Yavas find no difference in listing duration between realtors from full-commission firms and other realtors."
3/ "We construct a novel dataset of real estate listings and sales from publicly available data from a major real estate website. This dataset covers a total of 40,049 real estate sales from across Arizona, California, and Illinois.
"We restrict our sample to MLS listings."
4/ Listing quality = (1) number, resolution of photos and (2) the presence of objective ("cherry cabinets") and subjective ("cozy fireplace") descriptions
Realtor activity = total # of sales within a calendar year
Realtor experience = # days licensed (not available in CA & IL).
5/ "More experienced or active realtors may be more likely to represent (owners of) houses of higher quality.
"We partially address this confound using information about transactions where the seller’s realtor (whose expertise we are exploring) worked as a buy-side realtor."
6/ Listing quality is associated with realtor activity but not experience.
"Our measure for experience, time since first acquisition of license, is correlated with age. Older realtors may be less familiar w/ technology and unable to upload a large number of high-quality photos."
7/ "Activity & experience remain significant after controlling for photo quality, suggesting that expertise contributes to sale price in other ways. E.g. experienced realtors may be better negotiators, improve presentation of the house, or possess networks with buyers' realtors."
8/ Column 7: "The coefficient for activity changes; the price ratio coefficient is negative: conditional on observable characteristics, houses listed at lower prices sell for less.
"Realtors w/ large numbers of transactions may list at lower prices to facilitate quicker sales."
9/ "Having more photos is associated with longer time on market.
"Possible explanation: Sellers who post more photos choose to show more characteristics and are likely more confident in those characteristics. The seller might be more patient in waiting for an acceptable offer."
10/ "Using objective qualifiers to describe house characteristics is correlated with higher sale prices on average.
"Including property fixed effects in columns 2-4 controls for the effect of the characteristics’ physical existence & reduces the magnitudes of the coefficients."
11/ "With our full set of controls, having one (two+) characteristic(s) with an objective qualifier is associated w/ a 2.03% (3.83%) increase in sale price.
"Caution regarding further extrapolation: few observations in our sample had 3+ characteristics w/ objective qualifiers."
1/ Moneyball: The Art of Winning an Unfair Game (Michael Lewis)
"Baseball was at the center of a story about the possibilities—and limits—of reason. It showed how an unscientific culture responds (or fails to respond) to the scientific method." (p. xiv)
2/ "A small group of undervalued professional players & executives, many of whom had been rejected as unfit for the big leagues, turned themselves into one of the most successful franchises.
"How did one of the poorest teams, the Oakland Athletics, win so many games?" (p. xi)
3/ "Hitting statistics were abundant & had, for James, the powers of language. They were, in his Teutonic coinage, 'imagenumbers.' Literary material. When you read them, they called to mind pictures. He wrote... 'To get 191 hits in a season demands (or seems to) a consistency...
3/ "Value, momentum & defensive/quality applied to US individual stocks has a t-stat of 10.8. Data mining would take nearly a trillion random trials to find this.
"Applying those factors (+carry) across markets and asset classes gets a t-stat of >14."
2/ "The model's four terms describe different life stages for an individual who marries during the sample period. The intercept reflects the average life satisfaction of individuals in the baseline period [all noncohabiting years that are at least one year before marriage]."
3/ " 'How satisfied are you with your life, all things considered?' Responses are ranked on a scale from 0 (completely dissatisfied) to 10 (completely satisfied).
"We center life satisfaction scores around the annual mean of each population subsample in the original population."
1/ Short-sightedness, rates moves and a potential boost for value (Hanauer, Baltussen, Blitz, Schneider)
…
* Value spread remains wide
* Relationship between value and rates is not structural
* Extrapolative growth forecasts drive the value premium
… robeco.com/en-int/insight…
2/ "The valuation gap between cheap and expensive stocks remains extremely wide. This signals the potential for attractive returns going forward."
3/ "We observe a robust negative relationship between value returns and changes in the value spread.
"The intercept of ≈10% can be interpreted as a cleaner estimate of the value premium, given that it is purged of the time-varying effects of multiple expansions & compressions."