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Laura Rozen Profile picture
@lrozen
Jul 20, 2021 • 16 tweets • 7 min read • Read on X
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Barrack indictment involves UAE national security officials justice.gov/opa/press-rele…
and a high ranking Emirati diplomat
the Saudi official referred to here who Barrack told the UAE he had forced the WH to elevate for protocol purposes was then deputy crown prince Mohammed bin Salman (MBS), shortly thereafter made Saudi crown prince
“US Person 1,” a former US govt official, who was being worked by Barrack et al to benefit UAE with Trump.
Was the Barrack/Grimes/Malik AhShahhi track competing with the Nader/Broidy track to win UAE’s confidence/money to demonstrate their ability to influence Trump Middle East policy to UAE’s specifications?
👉🏼
justice.gov/opa/press-rele…
after reading previous 40 pages of indictment, this seems —gobsmackingly dumb.
more
one thing missing from the indictment unless i missed it was mention of UAE paying Barrack.
was struck by lines like this, re: possible competition between Barrack/AlShahhi and Nader/Broidy channels. p. 17, AlShahhi informed Barrack that UAE official #4 had confirmed that “Barrack would be the only channel to the candidate” Trump for UAE justice.gov/opa/press-rele…
I think “US Person 1” in Barrack indictment (left) may be Steve Bannon, who traveled to UAE in September 2017 and met with MBZ (pics of Sept2017 NYT report), & who had recently been fired from the Trump WH, so was an ex US official justice.gov/opa/press-rele… nytimes.com/2017/09/22/us/…
think the “congressman” in the Barrack indictment who the UAE may have favored in 2017 as an ambassador to UAE may have been Ed Royce. (appointment did not happen, but believe his wife got job in pompeo state dept) justice.gov/opa/press-rele… apnews.com/article/north-…
UAE wanted Tillerson fired for being one of the officials telling Trump two sides to Gulf Qatar dispute and replaced by Pompeo as Sec State, which they got
working backwards from reported Bannon MBZ meeting in UAE in Sept. 2017, that would suggest that “Emirati Official 1” in Barrack indictment is Abu Dhabi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Zayed (MBZ) (which others had previously suggested) justice.gov/opa/press-rele… nytimes.com/2017/09/22/us/…

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More from @lrozen

Laura Rozen Profile picture
Jul 3
🧵Iran Dep FM Ravanchi to NBC: “As long as there is no act of aggression being perpetrated by the United States against us, we will not respond again,” Takht-Ravanchi said when asked if more was to come.
“We are for diplomacy” & “we are for dialogue,” Ravanchi. But the US gov’t needs “to convince us that they are not going to use military force while we are negotiating. That is an essential element for our leadership to be in a position to decide about the future round of talks.”
“Our policy has not changed on enrichment,” Ravanchi said. “Iran has every right to do enrichment within its territory. The only thing that we have to observe is not to go for militarization.”
Read 4 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Jun 25
🧵Reporter: Mr. President, what's your reaction to the intelligence reports saying that the Iranian nuclear sites were only partially devastated, not entirely?

Trump: Well, …the report said it could have been very, they don't know.
Trump: I mean, if they did a report, I could have Pete [Hegseth] talk to it, because his department did the report. They really don't know.

I think Israel is going to be telling us very soon, because Bibi is going to have people involved in that whole situation.
Trump: We hear it was obliteration. It was a virtual obliteration.

When you take a look at the ground above, don't forget, the flame is all underground.
Read 4 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Jun 23
🧵Former State Dept official Dan Benaim: It seems like a moment for humility…. But it strikes me that there's so much more that we don't know than what we do know, including the very basics of the battlefield damage assessment.
Benaim: “It seems to me that despite some triumphalism, there's no once and for all solution here to the Iranian nuclear program, and we shouldn't expect one off airstrikes to eliminate the Iranian nuclear threat.”
Benaim: “One thing that I should say when it comes to regional integration, and the prospects for the region… in talking about perceptions of Israel,…is Gaza.

It's a major unresolved issue for the Gulf.
Read 11 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Jun 22
🧵Ken Pollack: First point, we don't know what the American strike accomplished. we've heard the initial briefings.
I did look at the satellite photographs of Fordo. There are a couple of holes, & it's clear that the surface Earth has shifted.
But I find it very difficult to tell what the extent of the damage that was done to Fordo,
And quite frankly, I am going to be surprised if the US intelligence community has a really good read on what happened to Fordo.
Read 20 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Jun 21
“On Thur., Trump responded as he often has when faced with difficult options: He bought himself time, declaring he would wait up to 2 weeks to make a decision. So far, those cautioning the president to avoid authorizing a strike ..appear to be breaking through.”
“On Thur., Trump had lunch with Steve Bannon” who opened his show that day “by decrying the faux ‘urgency’ that pro-Israel hawks were pressing upon Trump.”

Bannon & Jack Posobiec likened those speaking to Trump advocating for a US attack on Iran to used car salesmen who tell buyers they only have limited time to decide.
“Shortly after Trump’s lunch with Bannon”, press sec Karoline Leavitt told WH press briefing she had a statement said ‘directly from the president.’ The message was that Trump was going to let negotiations play out longer.”
Read 7 tweets
Laura Rozen Profile picture
Jun 16
Frmr Centcom chief ret. Marine Gen. Kenneth McKenzie sees mission creep in Israel war: I do believe that regime changes is on the table in Tel Aviv, & I think that represents a thing we should be very familiar with in the United States: mission creep
where you have astonishing initial success, and so your goals tend to expand as the horizon opens ahead of you.
So I think perhaps when they went into this, they were looking at a more narrowly targeted campaign, but the bringing the inability to defend themselves and the success the Israelis have had opens new vistas for you.
Read 35 tweets

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