1/ investing in bitcoin has historically been limited to passive exposure (long BTC)
yesterday, @viridifunds launched $RIGZ, the first publicly listed crypto mining ETF
as the bitcoin industry grows, so do opportunities to invest along the bitcoin value chain 👇
let's dive in!
2/ before bitcoin, i worked in the oil & gas industry.
investors who want exposure to oil & gas in their portfolio don't just buy contracts for WTI crude or nat gas.
they buy a diversified portfolio of companies and commodities across the oil and gas value chain
3/ an E&P company can produce oil at a lower cost than they sell it, and investors can realize significantly more upside than holding just the underlying commodity, oil
a refining company that converts crude into product and retails it can extract higher margins
4/ similarly, companies are starting to emerge along different parts of the bitcoin value chain
for example, my company @CoinSharesCo ($CS.ST) creates bitcoin-based financial products and services. so does @coinbase ($COIN).
miners are like E&P companies - they "produce" $BTC
5/ now, to "produce" bitcoin, you need
🖥️ a specialized semiconductor (ASIC)
⚡️ electricity
per the the economics of bitcoin 👇the real competitive edge is lowering the cost of "producing" bitcoin by (a) reducing the capex drag of hardware and (b) securing the lowest cost power
6/ $RIGZ is an actively managed ETF, with a mandate is to invest in semiconductor and ASIC companies and crypto mining operators who are getting the majority of their power from "clean energy" or renewable power sources
you may be confused 😕 isn't bitcoin boiling the ocean?
7/ interestingly, over 50% of north american bitcoin mining is done with renewable energy 🌿
note the current US energy grid only utilizes 19% renewables 😢
that makes bitcoin mining one of the greenest industries in north america, and a great sector for this type of product!
8/ as one of the world's largest digital asset managers, @CoinSharesCo is proud to be Viridi's lead investor, and to continue to expand the universe of crypto investment products with innovative partners like @ViridiFunds, @3iq_corp, and @InvescoEMEA
9/ for more detail on $RIGZ, see the link below!
disclosure: this is not financial advice, DYOR. CoinShares is an investor in Viridi, and an advisor to the management company. i personally own $RIGZ.
1/ quick rip on why @Polymarket matters and why the future of information is markets
markets are efficient at pricing information. if you have information or insight that others don't, there's a huge opportunity to generate alpha. alpha generation requires information edge.
2/ the last few months show distrust of main stream media (MSM) and formal, credentialed sources of information is at an all time high.
so where is information coming from?
- citizen reporters on X
- indie media / podcasts
and markets will price the signals generated
3/ not all markets are equal - liquidity is key. more liquid equals more better.
see the divergence in odds btw Polymarket and Kalshi. Polymarket had 10x the liquidity -> higher signal.
market microstructure also drives differences but the effect is more subtle imho
1/ melts and kaledora, sitting in a tree
talking about commodities
thanks to @EV3Research @MoneroMahesh @DAnconia_Crypto for hosting me and @kaledora @OstiumLabs for bringing the rizz
slides and commentary 👇 below the jump
2/ history of oil and what it can teach us about DePIN
standard oil - rockefeller started by horizontally integrating and rolling up refineries, and then realized operating leverage would come from controlling the upstream inputs and the downstream transport and retailing
3/ we are starting to see DePIN ecosystems repeating this playbook. @helium has gone from deWi to building generalized DePIN infrastructure. @hotspotty started with deWi optimization software and is now building a broader DePIN aggregation platform.
1/ quick notes and data points from the discussion @kellyjgreer and i had at @PubKey_NYC last night
'tis the season of the most hated rally - bitcoin is ripping and macro folks are not happy about it
jamie dimon and elizabeth warren seem especially mad 😠 max cope incoming
2/ bitcoin pricing is driven by FLOWS
it's tempting to get lost in piles of analysis but as we'll discuss later on, the key to understanding is looking at open positions, trade volume, inflows and outflows
sentiment doesn't matter until it's expressed as a trade
3/ bitcoin is highly reflexive
i had a moment of enlightenment a few years back. i used to believe narrative -> sentiment -> flows -> price but it's really much simpler
price drives action
this is what @saylor $MSTR has perfected. buy, price goes up, follow with narrative
1/ a short summary of a recent talk on silicon, satoshis, and superpowers
power in our world is changing. a decade ago, oil and gas companies and banks ruled markets. now it's tech companies and financialization runs rampant (>100x P/E ratios etc)
2/ as our lives become increasingly digitized, value creation is happening on a new frontier, and a handful of industries and companies are well positioned to capitalize on this shift
3/ this is also impacting the geopolitical landscape. we live in a multipolar world, and power has historically been dependent on the ability of a nation to secure access to natural resources, namely oil