A look at the xG stats of Tammy Abraham in comparison to Lacazette, Ollie Watkins, and Dominic Calvert-Lewin to see what Arsenal could potentially be getting from the young Chelsea Striker if a deal is struck.
to overview the recent rumors, Arsenal could be in for the 23-year-old striker in a potential 40 million pound deal after a year of loan. On paper, Abraham is a talented player and has proved that in the prem. The young striker has the potential to be special in the right place.
Tammy is good at finding good areas in the box to find shots, as shown on this goal chart from the last two seasons. He's clearly been a good player when the minutes have been given to him, especially in 19/20.
The first player I will be comparing is Alex Lacazette, now by taking a look at their xG stats from the last two seasons, 2 things jump out: 1. Tammy has been better at creating his own shots and goals, producing significantly more shots and goals per 90 minutes
The second thing is that Lacazette's eye test is confirmed. He is way better at setting up goals and playing deeper with his back to goal. However, as Tammy's xGChain90 shows, he is also very proficient at being a part of the more dangerous attacks in the final third.
These two strikers are very different players in how they operate within their squads, Tammy could be a significant upgrade when it comes to getting into dangerous areas to create good scoring opportunities. selling Laca could be a key part of a deal like this getting done...
The issue with that being Arsenal has not found a large market for the 30-year-old striker with one year left on his current deal
Here is Abraham's comparison to another young Englishman: Ollie Watkins. Ollie's xG stats remarkably sit right above the mean in every stat. Interestingly: Ollie edges out Tammy in the same areas as Lacazette
And finally here is Tammy compared to a player I've seen some Arsenal fans want instead of Abraham: Dominic Calvert-Lewin. The chart from the 19/20 season where they had similar minute totals, shows that Tammy was a better player than DCL.
In 19/20 Tammy also edged out DCL in xG goals with 18.08 to DCL's 16.11, as well as actual goals with 15 to DCL's 13. It is harder to gauge from last season just off of lack of minutes for Abraham, but if he had a similar amount of minutes he was on pace to equal DCL's total.
Going into writing this thread I was not exactly sold on the prospect of Tammy Abraham at Arsenal, the biggest hold up I had was his price tag, however as @TheShortFuse pointed out to me, given his price and goal-scoring ability the price tag is not far off of his expected price
In conclusion of this thread, I think that given Tammy Abraham's ability, goal stats and his xG stats make this the potentially solid signing for Arsenal.
Thank you so much for all that have read through this thread, I would love to hear your thoughts on this potential deal. Likes and RT's are very appreciated, all stats from understat.com

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh

Keep Current with Mitch🦦

Mitch🦦 Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!


Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @mitchcoyg

15 Jul
a look at xG stats of Houssam Aouar and James Maddison and how they could fit into Arsenal this season:
to start let's look at their positioning: Aouar is the more flexible of the two being able to play out wide as well as the 10 and as a CM, while Maddison also plays both the 10 and as an 8 and prefers to play there, both have played a lot more at that position than as a 10
this would be an interesting fit into arsenal's lineup. with either one likely lining up next to Partey most of the time with ESR in the 10 role. This will allow for Aouar or Maddison to play deeper with ESR in his prefered 10
Read 10 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!

This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Too expensive? Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal Become our Patreon

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us on Twitter!