Trump faces over 25 criminal & civil trials. These 5 paths are going to send Trump to prison for life (each)
1 - Weisselberg (NY Taxes)
2 - Giuliani (Ukraine)
3 - Matt Gaetz (Bribes for Pardons)
4 - Roger Stone (Jan 6)
5 - Tom Barrack (UAE)
Trump Scheduling Thread 2/
I was the first anywhere to publish a schedule for Trump paths to prison (initially 3, now 5)
The first of my timing calls turned out correct (Weisselberg, July or Aug)
We are awaiting my second timing call (Giuliani, also July or Aug)
Trump Scheduling Thread 3/
Next steps:
Weisselberg has first hearing Sept 20
Giuliani, awaits Special Master ruling. Then arrest Jul/Aug
Matt Gaetz, indictment around Nov/Dec
Roger Stone prelim late 2021, early 2022
Tom Barrack hearing Monday 26 Jul
Trump Scheduling Thread 4/
Allen Weisselberg, NY Taxes trial is FASTEST WAY to take Trump to prison
Allen was indicted, surrendered 3 weeks ago to Manhattan DA. Surrendered passport, awaits at home for hearing. DA tries to flip him (may have already flipped, we would not know)
Trump Scheduling Thread 5/
Manhattan DA is local NY tax crime. Even if Trump had a secret pardon, it would not help. Presidents cannot pardon local state crimes. And tax crimes never expire. Allen Weisselberg, the Trump Org CFO (Chief Financial Officer) is Trump's accountant.
Trump Scheduling Thread 6/
In this case Manhattan DA has Weisselberg's double bookkeeping (criminal and real). He is done. This is what any fax fraud wants as the ultimate evidence. They ALSO have testimony of number 2 bookkeeper, Jeff McConney testified under limited immunity
Trump Scheduling Thread 7/
The 'special' Grand Jury that indicted Weisselberg sits for 6 months rather than one month. It means Manhattan DA wants to indict more people. Likely 4-5 more. Who? Don Jr, Eric, Ivanka, Calamari & Trump. Calamari is an officer at Trump Org.
Trump Scheduling Thread 8/
The immediate next stage is to expect an indictment of someone else at Trump org. That is the ONLY reason the Grand Jury sits. And they meet every week
There WILL be more indictments. We MAY get another now at end of July (or could come in groups)
Trump Scheduling Thread 9/
Weisselberg's FIRST trial is tax fraud. Like Mafia trial, boss goes last
They flip these in sequence. Weisselberg is no longer necessary to flip (because of McConney)
Trump Scheduling Thead 10/
Trump has confessed to the tax fraud crimes on live video. Don Jr & Eric have both confessed to tax fraud crimes on Fox TV. These video confessions will be played to the jury if the defendant has not confessed (at least one of Don Jr or Eric will flip)
Trump Scheduling Thread 11/
Weisselberg faces about 12 years in prison, and pay back taxes of $1M and tax penalties of $2M = $3M
Trump kids face maybe 5 years prison, $3M back taxes & fines.
Trump himself faces maybe 12 years prison, $60 million back taxes & fines
Trump Scheduling Thread 12/
Weisselberg faces FIVE separate criminal trials:
1 - NY Taxes
2 - NY Money Laundering (US Mafia, Russian Mafia)
3 - Sanctions Busting (federal, his worst crime)
4 - Campaign & Inaugration fraud
5 - Emoluments & financial crimes when Trump POTUS
Trump Scheduling Thread 13/
The TOTAL criminal prison time Allen Weisselberg faces is about 132 years. When he flips, he has to confess to all his crimes. He also has to testify against all other criminals incl Trump kids, and incl Trump. I am very confident Allen will flip.
Trump Scheduling Thread 14/
Other Trumpomobsters going to prison from Weisselberg 5 criminal cases include:
Don Jr
Eric
Ivanka
Jared
Melania
Calamari
Tom Barrack
Donald Trump
Trump Scheduling Thread 15/
SECOND path to take Trump to prison is Giuliani rogue foreign policy & OTHER Giuliani crimes. There are at least 6:
1 Ukraine
2 Venezuela
3 Turkey
4 Georgia Big Lie
5 Arizona Big Lie
6 Jan 6th Insurrection
Ukraine is FIRST trial against Rudy Colludy
Trump Scheduling Thread 16/
Giuliani's arrest is near. I said it happens in July or August. His home & lawyer offices were raided by FBI. Evidence seized is with Special Master. When SP releases evidence to federal prosecutors, a few days/weeks after that Rudy is arrested
Trump Scheduling Thread 17/
Giuliani has confessed to this crime on TV. Like in Weisselberg case, there is a person who flipped (Lev Parnas). Lev handed a ton of evidence against Giuliani incl photos & videos
Trump has already confessed to Rudy doing his corruption on the crime
Trump Scheduling Thread 17/
Like with Weisselberg, Giuliani is Mafia trial, BOSS goes LAST
1 Lev Parnas
2 Giuliani
3 Pompeo, Bill Barr, Jared
4 Trump
I do NOT expect further INDICTMENTS until Rudy flips (I promise he will), and level 3 trials happen before Trump himself
Trump Scheduling Thread 18/
The notorious serial butt-dialer & ex attorney Rudy Giuliani is TERRIFIED of prison, for good reason. He was a prosecutor who sent Mafia murderers to life sentences. There is no prison where Rudy will be safe
He tried to blackmail Trump for a pardon
Trump Scheduling Thread 19/
Like with Weisselberg, Giuliani FIRST Trial (Ukraine) leads to MORE trials ALSO CONVICTING Rudy AND Trump
When Rudy flips & confesses, he has to confess ALL HIS CRIMES and agree to testify against ALL other co-criminals involved, incl Jan 6 Insurrec
Trump Scheduling Thread 20/
Rudy's cumulative prison sentence is about 120 years for the 6 criminal trial he faces. Trump's own part is significantly less, because some of Rudy's crimes were on behalf of Putin/corrupt Ukrainians. Trump's related prison time is about 75 years
Trump Scheduling Thread 21/
Other Trumpomobsters going to prison from Giuliani 6 criminal cases (excluding Jan 6, discussed later) include:
Igor Fruman
Jared
Pompeo
Bill Barr
Erik Prince
Victoria Toensing
Sidney Powell
Jenna Ellis
Don Jr
Donald Trump
Trump Scheduling Thread 22/
THIRD criminal case is OFF SHOOT of Matt Gaetz teen rape case. Trump has been selling Presidential Pardons, with at least Roger Stone & Jared involved
Matt Gaetz case was expected to see Gaetz indicted this summer. That date was pushed back to Nov because his indictment (likely arrest) is timed around when his fellow rapist Joel Greenberg is sentenced. Joel confessed. He is now cooperating with Feds
Trump Scheduling Thread 24/
Joel Greenberg was given 30 days to rat out his rapist pals (7 men incl Matt Gaetz). What Feds found, was that Greenberg knows MORE crimes, beyond this rape ring.
We do not know WHAT else, but Feds gave Greenberg 90 more days (120 rather than 30)
Trump Scheduling Thread 25/
Matt Gaetz will flip on Roger Stone & Trump because this is FEDERAL case (Florida Gov Death Santis cannot pardon him). It carries MANDATORY MINIMUM sentence of 10 years. Gaetz faces about 25 years. Child rapists do not have pleasant prison time
Trump Scheduling Thread 26/
Like with Weisselberg & Giuliani, this is MAFIA trial boss goes last:
1 Greenberg
2 Matt Gaetz
3 Roger Stone & Jared
4 Trump
NOTE there are 5 OTHER rapists in Florida who raped with Matt Gaetz & Greenberg. Expect surprises..
Trump Scheduling Thread 27/
Gaetz will not get us Trump directly
He gets us Roger Stone (who is in more trouble in the 4th path, see next). But Gaetz does have to confess to all his crimes & will add incriminating testimony against Trump
Roger Stone gets us Trump PARDON crimes
Trump Scheduling Thread 28/
Note Trump is TERRIFIED of Matt Gaetz case because if could unravel his lucrative crime of selling Presidential pardons. Remember he sold them to powerful people. Trump does not want to cross all those criminals and have the pardons revoked...
Trump Scheduling Thread 29/
Roger Stone was begging Trump to pay for Roger's legal fees. Trump is paying for part of Matt Gaetz, that much Trump fears this case. But Trump cannot AFFORD to also pay Roger. So Matt Gaetz is now paying part of Roger's lawyer fees. Yes. Is a mess
Trump Scheduling Thread 30/
Trump sold Presidential pardons. Roger Stone & Jared were middle men. This crime likely adds a decade per pardon sold. I estimated 700 years for Roger, Jared and Trump. Whichever Roger or Jared flips first, gets better deal. Still decades in prison
Trump Scheduling Thread 31/
Matt Gaetz own indictment is expected November. Roger Stone may be arrested around that time. Or they go in sequence, get Matt to flip (in support of Greenberg testimony) then go after Roger
This is drama for us around Christmastime, not yet
Trump Scheduling Thread 32/
FOURTH path to send Trump to prison for life, is his worst crime against America: organizing the terrorist attack of January 6th insurrection. This criminal case is in EARLY investigation, with first TRIALS expected in February 2022
(That is normal)
Trump Scheduling Thread 33/
The January 6th Insurrection was a terrorist attack on America, and an attempted coup d'etat by Trump, to overthrow the election and be declared king. 5 people died. 140 police officers were injured in the most evil plot by a US President against USA
Trump Scheduling Thread 34/
I was maybe first to give numerical estimate of how many will be arrested, immediately after the attack. I said expect 500 arrests. We are now past 550. Not bad for someone who was not there, and just estimated based on TV video that we all saw... :-)
Trump Scheduling Thread 35/
The sequence like in all above, is again a MAFIA trial. Boss is tried last
1 insurrectionists
2 their leaders (Proud Boys, Oath Keepers etc)
3 the planners of Jan 6 (Roger Stone, Don Jr, Giuliani, Gen Flynn, Erik Prince, Bannon, My Pillow Guy)
4 Trump
Trump Scheduling Thread 36/
We have had the first sentencing. A non-violent, protester who took selfies, did not vandalize or steal. Is first-time offender. Confessed. Got 8 months in prison plus 2 years probation. Will never own a gun, forever terrorist watch list & no fly list
Trump Scheduling Thread 37/
Separately, there have been at least 4 Oath Keepers who have confessed & are cooperating, against Roger Stone. This is a 'short cut' to the PLANNERS of Jan 6. When the trial of Roger Stone for Jan 6th comes, he will have to rat out all other planners
Trump Scheduling Thread 38/
January 6th TRIALS will not start until February 2022. This is normal. They will be LOWEST TIER of terrorists who did not confess. They will systematically be convicted and their sentences will be more than the 8 months depending on how severe
Trump Scheduling Thread 39/
Roger Stone will be indicted (likely also arrested) later this year or early next year on the January 6th related crimes (separate from the bribes pardon crimes in above)
Roger Stone is terrified of prison. He was blackmailing Trump for his pardon
Trump Scheduling Thread 40/
Roger Stone's pardon will not cover these new crimes (Jan 6th or selling pardons). So Roger faces multiple life sentences for the Jan 6th crimes and literally centuries of prison time for selling pardons. Of course Roger Stone flips
Trump Scheduling Thread 41/
Roger Stone's flip leads to the organizers of Jan 6th. It is at least:
Giuliani
Gen Flynn
Erik Prince
Bannon
My Pillow Guy
Mo Brooks
Don Jr
and of course
Donald Trump
Trump Scheduling Thread 42/
The CONGRESSIONAL Select Committee of January 6th will HELP find witnesses, evidence, testimony in the case against Trump and the organizers of the terrorist attack of Jan 6 Insurrection
This case may VERY WELL see SIGNIFICANT short cuts
Stay tuned
Trump Scheduling Thread 43/
The FIFTH path to take Trump to prison for life is Tom Barrack and UAE related foreign policy crimes, which lead to the successful extortion of Qatar by Jared and Trump on behalf of Saudi Arabia.
Tom Barrack was arrested on spying and is now in jail
Trump Scheduling Thread 44/
Tom Barrack was Trump's best friend, and is a genuine Billionaire (as opposed to Trump the pretend Billionaire who is so much in debt, he is a Debtonaire)
Barrack is a prominent Republican. Was just ARRESTED on spying for UAE (United Arab Emirates)
Trump Scheduling Thread 45/
Barrack also brings a SERIES of crimes:
1 UAE
2 Inaugration fraud
3 Saudi Arabia nuclear tech
4 Qatar extortion
Note, Barrack is at least partially a VICTIM of 4, Qatar, but knows it intimately, and will testify about it
Trump Scheduling Thread 46/
The UAE (United Arab Emiratees = Abu Dhabi + Dubai) crime is spying. It is not FARA crime (failing to register for being an agent of a foreign nation) which carries 5 years of prison. Spying carries 10 years. Feds are serious about Tom Barrack
Trump Scheduling Thread 47/
They have tons of evidence so Barrack knows he will lose this case. The Feds want him to flip and rat out the other crimes. The biggest crime here is Qatar, was extorted, blackmailed, by Jared, on behalf of Saudi Arabia. Qatar who paid bribe to Trump
Trump Scheduling Thread 48/
This is early stage of Barrack but others caught will include on foreign policy at least
Jared
Pompeo
and on Inaugration fraud
Ivanka
Melania
Weisselberg
Also Bill Barr corruptly intervened in this prosecution
And Trump of course
Trump Scheduling Thread 49/
Barrack was arrested and is now in jail, awaiting his first hearing on Monday. He was listed as a flight risk, so he is unlikely to get out on bail. He is being moved from California to Brooklyn where his trial will happen.
Trump Scheduling Thread 50/
Note Barrack & Trump friendship has strained (may be broken) and Barrack blames Jared for the Qatar extortion which caused Barrack hundreds of millions in lost business. There is a lot of bad blood. Expect Tom to flip fast and sing against all others
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On Monday Judge Chutkan in DC (Jack Smith 2) case will hold a hearing about putting a gag order on Herr Hezbollah, the nation's Terrorist-In-Chief. Trump was under protective order. He breached it many times. So this is now his 'final warning'
Let's do a Thread
GAG ORDER THREAD/2
Don't look at me like that! This is JUSTICE. It is EXACTLY the same legal standard that would apply to you and me. Nothing more, nothing less. Trump is a FIRST TIME OFFENDER; has NEVER been convicted of any crime (yet). He was put on a 'protective order' FIRST
GAG ORDER THREAD/3
Then Trump repeatedly broke that protective order. We WITNESSED IT LIVE on TV and on social media, REPEATEDLY
But the Judge CANNOT do anything about it. Until she is FORMALLY told by the prosecution. She CANNOT do anything yet. It would be same for you and me
We certainly feel it was taking too long. In reality this is about par for the course, in some ways FASTER than normal, for such a large criminal conspiracy. Timing is similar to Watergate
FIRST of PLANNERS of Jan 6 go to trial, in Georgia in two weeks !!!
So January 6th, 2021 was two years and 9 months ago. Over 1,000 of the violent mob have been caught, over half prosecuted, and prison sentences for those running up to more than a decade in prison. That is justice
The ORGANIZERS of the Jan 6th plot are Trump, the Seditious Six..
The ORGANIZERS of Jan 6 are
Trump
Seditious Six (Giuliani, Flynn etc)
Evil Eleven of Congress (Gosar, Gym, Gaetz etc)
and a handful others (Roger Stone, Bannon etc)
They are ALL CAUGHT
Jack Smith STARTED to prosecute the organizers. Look who he has as WITNESSES to this crime
Trump calls Hezbollah "very smart" for their terrorist attack? Same Senile Man called Putin smart for invading Ukraine. And called murdering dictators MBS and Kim Jong Un smart
Meanwhile Trump has called HIS OWN CABINET and HIS OWN GENERALS idiots & stupid
General Mattis: Trump's not mature, a 5th grader
General McMaster: he's a dope, kindergartner idiot
Colonel Esper: irresponsible
General Milley: crazy
General Hytin: an idiot
General Kelly: Trump's crazy, an unhinged idiot
Next...
Then let's ask Trump White House staff, people Trump selected:
VP Pence: Trump is reckless
CoS 1 Priebus: he's an idiot
CoS 2 (Kelly, in above)
CoS 3 Mulvaney: terrible human being, a clown show
CoS 4 Meadows: Trump is worthless
SoS Tillerson: he's a fucking moron
Trump was massively embarrassed in New York, and that trial still continues. But this incident (Trump sitting in NY court for 3 days and then bailed) exposes insight into how incredibly stupid, and self-destructive Trump is
Let's do a Thread
New York New York Thread /2
So what happened? Trump sat in the civil trial - he is NOT required to be there (he must attend all criminal trials which start in March 2024). He feuded with the judge, got hit with a gag order, then stormed out of New York. Let's see how dumb it was
New York New York Thread /3
Donald the Duck McTrump's whole brand is based on the carefully constructed fake illusion, that he is somehow a 'billionaire'. WE know he is not. That Trump is a fake, a con-artist, living on other people's money. But his SUPPORTERS believe that lie
What happens next? The House cannot conduct any other business until it has selected a new House Speaker. The GOP is in civil war. It may be chaos for a while. Most likely they find a suitable Republican Speaker
DEMs do not have votes for DEM Speaker
BUT DEMs could make a deal
If a slice of Republicans (as few as 6) ally with DEMs, then that alliance could select (a Republican) speaker
Realistically the most logical such choice is an EX House Republican, like Liz Cheney
Because of GOP civil war, DEMs have leverage now
This is the deal I suggest:
DEMs make deal for ANY Republican who they can trust (like Liz Cheney, Kinzinger) where promise is 2 House Votes every week. One vote on legislation provided by GOP, the other vote legislation provided by DEMs. Both will get a floor vote each week
With Friday's bombshell news in court filing by Jack Smith of 3 more prosecution witnesses - now just about as big as they come - let's do a Thread about the flippers in Trump's life, the rats who all testify under oath, in criminal courts, against Trump
Flipper Thread/2
Trump committed an act of insurgency against America. That word is rarely used. The legal EFFECT is the same as 'treason'. Trump committed a crime which is essentially as bad as treason
So who does Jack Smith have as a witness? Trump's OWN Attorney General Barr
Flipper Thread/3
Bill Barr was not just the nation's top lawyer, as Attorney General, when this plot was first hatched - Barr learned of the idea - and TOLD TRUMP IT IS ILLEGAL. That is what Barr will testify under oath. That Trump KNEW this plot is illegal