Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 25, 2021 17 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Political analysts who didn't understand what Trump meant when he said, in Phoenix, that certain legislators in Arizona want to go "several steps beyond" what anyone would expect them to do are AWOL from their jobs.

There is a plot afoot to try to "decertify" Arizona's electors.
Can Arizona decertify its electors? No—of course not. But was Arizona Senate president Karen Fann lying when she said the audit was about 2024—not 2020? Yes. Arizona legislators plan to decertify Biden electors—forcing a lawsuit to prevent other states from trying to do the same.
Trump's plan is to promote fake audits in every battleground state he lost that's controlled by Republicans, ending in a decertification of electors in those states. That'll force lawsuits that have to go to SCOTUS. Trump says SCOTUS can't overrule legislatures (which is insane).
So what we're headed toward is a SCOTUS decision on whether Biden is president, with Trump having convinced tens of millions that if the Court rules against him, it didn't actually have the power to do that—because *state legislatures*, not voters or SCOTUS, decide the president.
So you have an ex-POTUS trying to not just figuratively but literally delegitimize our government in the context of an ongoing insurrection and rise in Trumpist terrorism. He wants America to be in a state of civil war. But I just heard an analyst on MSNBC say he's "unconcerned."
The reason I call Donald Trump a "domestic terror leader" is because right now the only possible defense against what he's doing is action by law enforcement. Our politicians and our media—after 5 years of not understanding the threat this man poses—continue not to understand it.
He's not going to stop. Ever. The only thing that'll stop him is incarceration. Unlike him and his cult, I only want anyone incarcerated if a charge can be proven against them beyond a reasonable doubt. Here—based on years of writing and research—I know that a case *can* be made.
When Trump lauded legislators who want to go "several steps beyond" what anyone expects, those words should've been national news. We should've spent today unpacking a coordinated plot to illegally decertify Biden electors. But we're not. Because the threat isn't taken seriously.
You know what else wasn't taken seriously? Russian collusion, which we now know occurred. You know what else wasn't taken seriously? Collusion with the UAE, which we now know occurred. You know what else wasn't taken seriously? An attempted coup, which we all now know occurred.
At every turn, he does everything his critics say he'll do—and even worse. And yet he continues to be seen in media as something less than an urgent existential threat to America.

I fear—and millions of us fear—that we will soon understand the threat he poses in terrifying ways.
(PS) My—and other analysts'—understanding of what Wendy Rogers and her insurrectionist thugs are doing are based on their public statements, which indicate they want to go well beyond writing new election laws to decertifying electors.

Trump's statements confirm *he knows this*.
(PS2) What many don't understand—prompted by bad legal analysis in media—is that just because something is illegal doesn't mean it won't happen. You can do it, it just results in legal action. So decertifying electors being illegal has *nothing* to do with whether it'll be tried.
(PS3) The number of folks in the comments to this thread saying something along the lines of, "None of this matters, because you can't decertify an election" is terrifying. People don't understand that the danger we're facing has nothing to do with the law—it's about lawlessness.
(PS4) Anyone saying, "I'm not worried about Trump doing X or Y because it's illegal" is saying that they believe, after *six years* of watching Trump, that he can be stopped by someone calling his actions illegal. I'll repeat: only incarceration via legal process ends the threat.
(PS5) As a Trump biographer, I can tell you that his M.O. is to develop all his backup plans *in public*. He's already developed the narrative that legislators decide elections, not judges. Even if the decertification issue gets to SCOTUS and Trump loses, he will stoke civil war.
(PS6) Almost as bad as those who say Trump isn't a danger because "rule of law" are those who say he isn't a danger because it's all a grift. Of *course* it's part grift—but the trajectory of the grift is the *collapse of America*, so what's the point of dismissing it as a grift?
(PS7) Moreover—and again I say this as a Trump biographer—people misunderstand how Trump's avarice works. It exists alongside a deep anger and bitterness that manifests as a penchant for *chaos and destruction*. Trump's desire to destroy is—every time—the other side of his grift.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Seth Abramson

Seth Abramson Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @SethAbramson

Feb 1
Imagine being a 42 year-old pleading with a known pedophilic sex criminal to fly you to his island so you can party with girls he assures you will be 25 or younger.

Then imagine lying about it to hundreds of millions. Even after your lies are caught.

You don't hate Elon enough.
Instead of saying—as honor demands—"I made horrible mistakes for which there's no excuse, I'll take time away from public life to reflect on them," he's kept lying, attacked media, tried to distract, and obscenely said he worked harder than Epstein's victims to get the Files out.
Now imagine that this happens during the same 12-month period this man gleefully—without having any idea what he was doing, or even *caring* if he had any idea—cut a massive foreign aid program whose erasure is projected to cause *more than 10 million deaths* in the years ahead.
Read 4 tweets
Jan 30
This major report on the Greg Bovino-to-Tom Homan handover in Minneapolis at once reveals that the Trump regime hasn’t changed its plans for ICE *and* serves as a primer on the many aspects of the criminal justice system Homan lied about today.

🔗:

RT! sethabramson.substack.com/p/trump-border…Image
It can't be sufficiently emphasized that the Trump regime has at all points lied about every aspect of its immigration agenda, every aspect of how immigration enforcement works and every aspect of the justice system that touches upon immigration enforcement.

It's all a long con.
No one is saying that every American must understand the justice system.

That would be ideal, but it's impractical.

The problem is that our justice system lies at the center of our politics—which means ignorance about how it works is ripe for abuse by an authoritarian regime.
Read 13 tweets
Jan 17
I shouldn't even have to say this, but precisely *no one* in the independent journalism sphere is saying that Trump can *legally* cancel the midterms.

So corporate media should put on its thinking cap and ask themselves what independent journalists *are* saying.

Yes.... *that*.
It's Month 1 of a 10-month plan and they're already illegally invading countries, illegally occupying U.S. cities, posting Nazi memes from government accounts almost daily, and publicly saying there should be no elections anymore. You think their plan is to do *anything* legally?
So I've no idea why corporate media keeps sanctimoniously reminding us of something we already know—that Trump can't *legally* cancel elections. Because that's not where the debate or mystery is now. The question is whether he thinks he can wait until 2028 to declare martial law.
Read 9 tweets
Jan 15
The question media should be asking: if Minneapolis only needs 600 police officers to perform all general law enforcement activities in the city, why did Trump send 3,000 federal agents to execute a statutorily and constitutionally *much* smaller task?

Answer? He wanted a *war*.
Based on the size of the task and authority ICE actually has—merely executing judicial warrants for already-identified undocumented persons—we'd expect an ICE "surge" in Minneapolis to be about 100 agents.

Trump sent *30 times that*.

Because he wants to declare an insurrection.
So if you're an American paying only small attention to Minneapolis and wondering why things are crazy there, imagine *your* town being the target of an *unprecedented* federal op.

Big deal, right?

Now imagine the feds sending *30 times* too many men—most *virtually untrained*.
Read 8 tweets
Jan 6
(🧵) THREAD: There’s no purpose in debating Trump supporters on Venezuela. They lack the background to participate in a coherent conversation. Do they know Trump is backing a socialist despot over a capitalist who won the 2024 election by 34 points? No.

It gets worse from there.
1/ People without principles, like MAGAs, desperately alight on random anecdotes to try to “prove” points—as they don’t know how to *actually* prove a point, make an argument, hold a consistent position, marshal evidence, or maintain logical throughlines across diverse scenarios.
2/ So for instance, they’ll tell you that the justness of what Trump did is “proven” by how some Venezuelans reacted to it. But these are the same folks whose political ideology has long been grounded in denying international law and the sovereignty or interests of other nations.
Read 19 tweets
Jan 4
This is the tip of the iceberg.

As detailed in 2020 bestseller Proof of Corruption, Trump used Erik Prince, Rudy Giuliani and a megadonor to launch clandestine negotiations in Venezuela that would've effectuated some version of the deal. America is being lied to every which way. Image
What the NYT-bestselling Proof Series has shown—across 2,500 pages and over 15,000 reliable major media citations from around the world—is that what we think of as many different scandals is *one* scandal: the Trump-Russia Scandal. Ukraine, Israel, KSA, Venezuela... even Epstein.
The Trump-Russia Scandal, as a research topic, is so vast—it covers so many continents, decades, and scandals in various nations—that we can analogize being a scholar of it to being a scholar of the Cold War or the Gilded Age.

We keep speaking of trees without seeing the forest.
Read 8 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(