Seth Abramson Profile picture
Jul 25, 2021 17 tweets 3 min read Read on X
Political analysts who didn't understand what Trump meant when he said, in Phoenix, that certain legislators in Arizona want to go "several steps beyond" what anyone would expect them to do are AWOL from their jobs.

There is a plot afoot to try to "decertify" Arizona's electors.
Can Arizona decertify its electors? No—of course not. But was Arizona Senate president Karen Fann lying when she said the audit was about 2024—not 2020? Yes. Arizona legislators plan to decertify Biden electors—forcing a lawsuit to prevent other states from trying to do the same.
Trump's plan is to promote fake audits in every battleground state he lost that's controlled by Republicans, ending in a decertification of electors in those states. That'll force lawsuits that have to go to SCOTUS. Trump says SCOTUS can't overrule legislatures (which is insane).
So what we're headed toward is a SCOTUS decision on whether Biden is president, with Trump having convinced tens of millions that if the Court rules against him, it didn't actually have the power to do that—because *state legislatures*, not voters or SCOTUS, decide the president.
So you have an ex-POTUS trying to not just figuratively but literally delegitimize our government in the context of an ongoing insurrection and rise in Trumpist terrorism. He wants America to be in a state of civil war. But I just heard an analyst on MSNBC say he's "unconcerned."
The reason I call Donald Trump a "domestic terror leader" is because right now the only possible defense against what he's doing is action by law enforcement. Our politicians and our media—after 5 years of not understanding the threat this man poses—continue not to understand it.
He's not going to stop. Ever. The only thing that'll stop him is incarceration. Unlike him and his cult, I only want anyone incarcerated if a charge can be proven against them beyond a reasonable doubt. Here—based on years of writing and research—I know that a case *can* be made.
When Trump lauded legislators who want to go "several steps beyond" what anyone expects, those words should've been national news. We should've spent today unpacking a coordinated plot to illegally decertify Biden electors. But we're not. Because the threat isn't taken seriously.
You know what else wasn't taken seriously? Russian collusion, which we now know occurred. You know what else wasn't taken seriously? Collusion with the UAE, which we now know occurred. You know what else wasn't taken seriously? An attempted coup, which we all now know occurred.
At every turn, he does everything his critics say he'll do—and even worse. And yet he continues to be seen in media as something less than an urgent existential threat to America.

I fear—and millions of us fear—that we will soon understand the threat he poses in terrifying ways.
(PS) My—and other analysts'—understanding of what Wendy Rogers and her insurrectionist thugs are doing are based on their public statements, which indicate they want to go well beyond writing new election laws to decertifying electors.

Trump's statements confirm *he knows this*.
(PS2) What many don't understand—prompted by bad legal analysis in media—is that just because something is illegal doesn't mean it won't happen. You can do it, it just results in legal action. So decertifying electors being illegal has *nothing* to do with whether it'll be tried.
(PS3) The number of folks in the comments to this thread saying something along the lines of, "None of this matters, because you can't decertify an election" is terrifying. People don't understand that the danger we're facing has nothing to do with the law—it's about lawlessness.
(PS4) Anyone saying, "I'm not worried about Trump doing X or Y because it's illegal" is saying that they believe, after *six years* of watching Trump, that he can be stopped by someone calling his actions illegal. I'll repeat: only incarceration via legal process ends the threat.
(PS5) As a Trump biographer, I can tell you that his M.O. is to develop all his backup plans *in public*. He's already developed the narrative that legislators decide elections, not judges. Even if the decertification issue gets to SCOTUS and Trump loses, he will stoke civil war.
(PS6) Almost as bad as those who say Trump isn't a danger because "rule of law" are those who say he isn't a danger because it's all a grift. Of *course* it's part grift—but the trajectory of the grift is the *collapse of America*, so what's the point of dismissing it as a grift?
(PS7) Moreover—and again I say this as a Trump biographer—people misunderstand how Trump's avarice works. It exists alongside a deep anger and bitterness that manifests as a penchant for *chaos and destruction*. Trump's desire to destroy is—every time—the other side of his grift.

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More from @SethAbramson

Apr 11
This was a potential outcome discussed at length in my pinned report.

The Court demands signs of effort but not a result—a win for the Trump administration, as it appears to confirm its theory that Bukele has control over anyone on his soil.

This is bad. cnn.com/2025/04/10/pol…
Do be careful in reading analysis of this case. Casual observers who aren't familiar with it will tell you this was a win for Garcia—and it certainly will be if Trump and his pal in El Salvador decide to save his life. But as a matter of the law going forward, this is a disaster.
The legal question was whether a human body comes under the control of a foreign dictator the moment that body is put on a plane to that country and the plane leaves the ground.

The implication of this decision is that the answer is yes. Which means the disappearances can start.
Read 7 tweets
Apr 4
OMG... it was all AI.

They didn't even care enough about the American economy to do any of the work themselves.

It almost feels... impeachable?

How could sloppily using AI to create domestic policy, then hiding it, be consistent with the Oath of Office? theverge.com/news/642620/tr…
This explains everything. The bad tariff math, placing tariffs on uninhabited islands, the odd errors that keep popping up in administration texts, the fact that Musk has said he wants to replace the humans in our government with AI, the fact that he *runs an AI company*.... JFC!
So much makes sense now. The website deletions that seem based on the most imbecilic reading of search results, the bizarrely high number of EOs, the obsession with the idea that people don't matter because AI can do everything in government... few if any humans are at the wheel!
Read 4 tweets
Apr 2
Musk is now a bigger fount for toxic, self-aggrandizing bullshit than P.T. Barnum ever was.

He’s an utter 🤡—and that’s both a historical and provable fact. There’s nothing non-journalistic about observing when a man has become infamous for his rank nonsense and foolish gambits. Image
But that’s only the start of the story.

PROOF has outlined—with full sourcing—how Musk for years avoided politics on the advice of his father, and for years avoided revealing his far-right ideologies for fear they would destroy his business empire.

He was right. It’s happening.
In other words, he *knew* his far-right ideologies would be grotesque to consumers.

He *knew* that if he entered politics in America, those ideologies would cause him to become an instant target for hate from a majority of patriotic Americans—who unlike him believe in democracy.
Read 5 tweets
Mar 30
(🧵) A GROK THREAD on ELON MUSK AND MENTAL HEALTH.

This thread is limited to information provided by Elon Musk’s own commercial products.

Please RETWEET. Image
2/ Image
3/ Image
Read 6 tweets
Mar 29
Musk has been told—repeatedly—that this is a lie. The global population is rising and will continue to rise until 2100, then it’ll decline slightly. Many countries, JUST NOT MAJORITY WHITE ONES, have over-replacement birth rates. Musk focuses on a small number of white nations.
So no, there are NO experts in this field who agree humanity is dying. There are NO experts who have a longterm underpopulation concern. There are NO experts who agree with Musk. The ONLY people concerned are white supremacists who worry white nations may become SLIGHTLY smaller.
But his lie is worse than this. He KNOWS and has been TOLD that rich, developed, often—but certainly not exclusively—majority-white nations see a birth rate decline BECAUSE of their wealth. That’s normal. It does not mean those nations will collapse, just reduce slightly in size.
Read 6 tweets
Mar 29
(🧵1/3) Time to clear some things up.

1. Elon Musk has many biographers; none are “official.”
2. I’m a Musk biographer; I don’t use Musk as a source because he’s a known pathological liar.
3. My second Musk biography (first is below) arrives in 2026.

🔗: sethabramson.substack.com/p/proof-of-des…Image
Image
(🧵2/3)

4. Grok is aware I’m a Musk biographer, as is the world (see my bio excerpt below, from my website). But Grok, by Musk’s design, sometimes struggles to access Substack—which confuses it about my status.
5. I’m a multiple-time NYT-bestselling biographer of public figures. Image
(🧵3/3)

6. Elongelicals have a favorite Musk biographer—Isaacson—as Walt tells them what they want to hear. He just repeats what Elon says and is himself a fanboy. My methodology is different: I’m a curatorial journalist.
7. You want fan-fiction? Go with Walt. For the truth, me.
Read 6 tweets

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