Leaders have to come up with a new protocol for emerging diseases: how scientists communicate vital info to the WHO and the public (important!), how peer reviewed confidentiality should be waived in these crises, and how to keep these systems accountable. dailymail.co.uk/news/article-9…
What I’m worried about is that this pandemic will drive leaders and scientists in the opposite direction towards less transparency.
What if more scientists start using Protonmail, Signal, and burner phones for future communications regarding emergencies?
The recent FOIAs revealing highly confidential conversations (or redactions) are likely to cause more people to shift to secure, non-FOI’able channels.
If so, this may be the one of the last pandemics/outbreaks we can shed much light on via FOIA.
For the next outbreak that threatens to become a pandemic, which could happen anytime from a natural spillover or from a research-related accident, we need to already be implementing new policies and whistleblower mechanisms to enforce transparency.
Is anyone in leadership working on this or should the next pandemic also be tracked by internet sleuths?
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@BulletinAtomic Once we acknowledge that we don't know what other scientists know and have in their toolkit, then we can acknowledge that it is not possible to predict what they would engineer, regardless of intent.
@BulletinAtomic If we can access their databases, lab records, theses (including those that are classified), interview lab personnel under confidential conditions, provide a robust whistleblower channel, then we can talk about knowing what other scientists knew in 2019.
New book by the director of Wellcome Trust. @ianbirrell notes that it does not describe the story of the Daszak-orchestrated Lancet letter to "strongly condemn conspiracy theories suggesting that COVID-19 does not have a natural origin". #OriginsOfCovid unherd.com/2021/07/how-sc…
@ianbirrell The book reveals how several top experts in virology and infectious diseases had initially pegged the lab leak hypothesis as the most likely scenario. Ed Holmes was “80% sure this thing had come out of a lab”. Kristian Andersen 60-70%; Andrew Rambaut, Bob Garry not far behind.
Even after the Feb 1 call among international experts, Jeremy Farrar said “On a spectrum if 0 is nature and 100 is release I am honestly at 50... My guess is this will remain grey unless there is access to the Wuhan lab — and I suspect that is unlikely.”
Like Eban says, it's one of these stories where you feel like you can't even make this stuff up. peterattiamd.com/katherineeban2/
@KatherineEban@VanityFair@PeterAttiaMD There's a good discussion in the podcast about the difficulty of finding out who are the few people who know the origin of the virus (have evidence of it) and why finding a whistleblower may take decades or maybe even never. Related story:
I agree with @KatherineEban that the most credible sources on the #OriginsOfCovid are those that are asking for a proper investigation of plausible hypotheses, not the people on either side who insist that the virus is almost certainly natural or almost certainly from a lab.