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Stephen Connolly Profile picture
@connolly_s
Jul 26, 2021 • 5 tweets • 2 min read • Read on X
Scrolly
Did I summarise the argument that vaccination during a pandemic may promote “worse (for us) is better (for the virus)” mutations over the normal “more infectious but less deadly” mutations we expect? 1/5 Viruses replicate by infecting your cells Every time the vir
2/5 A virus is successful if it infects new cells and causes the
3/5 No effect (if the mutation is in a “junk” segment) Incre
4/5 A virus will be more successful if it: 1. Keeps its host ali
5/5 Suddenly a large proportion of mutations are eliminated from

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More from @connolly_s

Stephen Connolly Profile picture
Sep 15, 2022
Ireland 🇮🇪 PCR lab tests 2022-09-15

• Positives ↓25 to 271
• Tests ↓280 to 2628
• Positivity ↑0.1 to 10.3%

• Antigen data not currently available

• PROJECTED total ↓128 to 710

NOTE: Projection based on recent historical ratio PCR:Antigen of 1:1.618
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital general 2022-09-15

• Occupancy with +ve ↑3 to 236
• Admission with +ve ↑5 to 19
• Post admission +ve ↑6 to 17
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital ICU 2022-09-15

• Occupancy with +ve ↑1 to 14
• Admissions with +ve ↑1 to 2
Read 11 tweets
Stephen Connolly Profile picture
Sep 14, 2022
Ireland 🇮🇪 Antigen update thread

Another week another update of the antigen figures
Ireland 🇮🇪 PCR lab tests 2022-09-08

• Positives ↓40 to 287
• Tests ↓408 to 2745
• Positivity ↑0.1 to 10.5%

• Antigen +ve ↓81 to 415

• Total ↓121 to 702

Compare with
Ireland 🇮🇪 PCR lab tests 2022-09-09

• Positives ← at 287
• Tests ↓424 to 2321
• Positivity ↑1.9 to 12.4%

• Antigen +ve ↑19 to 434

• Total ↑19 to 721

Compare with
Read 9 tweets
Stephen Connolly Profile picture
Sep 14, 2022
Ireland 🇮🇪 PCR lab tests 2022-09-14

• Positives ↑22 to 283
• Tests ↑72 to 2635
• Positivity ↑0.6 to 10.7%

• Antigen +ve ↓99 to 542

• Total ↓77 to 825
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital general 2022-09-14

• Occupancy with +ve ↓24 to 233
• Admission with +ve ↓4 to 14
• Post admission +ve ↓1 to 11

NOTE: Occupancy is now the lowest it has been for 11 days since 2022-09-03 when it was 232
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital ICU 2022-09-14

• Occupancy with +ve ← at 13
• Admissions with +ve ← at 1
Read 10 tweets
Stephen Connolly Profile picture
Sep 13, 2022
Ireland 🇮🇪 PCR lab tests 2022-09-13

• Positives ↑75 to 249
• Tests ↑59 to 2241
• Positivity ↑3.1 to 11.1%

• Antigen data not currently available

• PROJECTED total ↑187 to 621

NOTE: Projection based on recent historical ratio PCR:Antigen of 1:1.494 ImageImageImageImage
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital general 2022-09-13

• Occupancy with +ve ↓7 to 257
• Admission with +ve ↑2 to 18
• Post admission +ve ↓4 to 10 ImageImageImage
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital ICU 2022-09-13

• Occupancy with +ve ← at 13
• Admissions with +ve ↓1 to 1 ImageImage
Read 10 tweets
Stephen Connolly Profile picture
Sep 13, 2022
Remember folks, science can *never* prove something is true, it can only prove something is false, and like Sherlock, whatever is left standing must be true (until we prove even that false)
@1000Frolly is saying that the data proves a hypothesis false… I see science at work
And if you want to explore some of the ways data can support @1000Frolly claiming a hypothesis is false, I suggest you have a look at the radiosonde data. Plot molar density against pressure and explain how you always get two linear regions (and sometimes a third)…
Also remember that the hypothesis @1000Frolly is claiming is false specifically requires that molar density vs pressure will be non linear as it critically relies on the absence of thermodynamic equilibrium vertically in the atmosphere, so linear regions are completely counter
Read 4 tweets
Stephen Connolly Profile picture
Sep 12, 2022
Ireland 🇮🇪 PCR lab tests 2022-09-12

• Positives ↑11 to 157
• Tests ↑508 to 1965
• Positivity ↓2.0 to 8.0%

• Antigen data not currently available

• PROJECTED total ↑28 to 392

NOTE: Projection based on recent historical ratio PCR:Antigen of 1:1.495 ImageImageImageImage
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital general 2022-09-12

• Occupancy with +ve ↑24 to 264
• Admission with +ve ↑1 to 16
• Post admission +ve ↓4 to 14 ImageImageImage
Ireland 🇮🇪 Covid Hospital ICU 2022-09-12

• Occupancy with +ve ↑2 to 13
• Admissions with +ve ↑2 to 2 ImageImage
Read 10 tweets

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