With their cynical approach to the People's Republic of China 🇨🇳 the four chancellors Schmidt (1974-82), Kohl (1982-98), Schröder (1998-2005) and Merkel (2005-21) have done Germany 🇩🇪 a disservice. There is much to be learned from their leadership failures. A short thread 🧵 /1
Chancellor Helmut Kohl is best known for his role in Germany's re-unification. Yet he also helped normalising the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) after the 1989 Tiananmen massacre. In 1995 he was the "first Western leader to visit a Chinese military base" /2 nytimes.com/1995/11/09/wor…
Kohl's visit to the People's Liberation Army 196 Infantry Division outside Tianjin was highly symbolic. It was a clear signal to the Chinese Communist Party that the atrocities of 1989 were no longer an obstacle to western business engagement with China /3 scmp.com/article/138269…
Under Kohl German China policy was increasingly driven by mercantilist considerations. Kohl helped to "[convince] a generation of German political and business elites that China held the key to Germany’s long-term prosperity." /4 politico.eu/article/german…
Kohl's successor Chancellor Gerhard Schröder went further. He relegated human rights concerns to a toothless 'dialogue'. In 2005 he lobbied to lift the European arms embargo, which he saw as an obstacle to deepening Germany's commercial ties with China /5 dw.com/en/schr%C3%B6d…
Schröder admired former Chancellor Helmut Schmidt. Despite retiring from front-line politics in the early 1980s, Schmidt exercised very problematic intellectual leadership in the early 2000s. Time and again Schmidt argued against China's democratisation /6 spiegel.de/politik/deutsc…
Schmidt argued that "in China all the prerequisites for a democracy were missing, there were no democratic traditions in Chinese history (author's translation)". He exaggerated the importance of Confucianism in Chinese political thought and practice /7 handelsblatt.com/meinung/kommen…
The German journalist Erling has portrayed Helmut Schmidt as part of the 'sceptic generation': Schmidt had grown up in the Third Reich; he was disillusioned, displayed a cynical attitude; rejected political visions and advocated pragmatism /8 welt.de/politik/auslan…
Erling critiqued Schmidt as an "authoritarian character dressed in the cloak of the sceptic. And therefore an admirer of all authoritarians in this world as long as they have power; and a despiser of anti-authoritarian democracy (author's translation)" /9
During a talk in 2012 "the former chancellor expressed his doubts about the export of Western democracy to the People's Republic". Gu Xuewu disagreed and told Schmidt that "a free system was always a better option than the naked exercise of power" /10 dw.com/en/magnet-chin…
Sieren has argued that "Germans should think hard about how to address [Schmidt's] legacy". Yet Schmidt's view of China was very problematic. He portrayed it in culturally essentialist terms. He also frequently gave the CCP the benefit of the doubt /11 dw.com/en/sierens-chi…
Following Schröder's election defeat in 2005 Angela Merkel began her long reign as chancellor. U-turn after u-turn revealed her lack of leadership. First she was in favour of nuclear energy, only to change her mind after Fukushima /12 dw.com/en/opinion-ang…
Merkel initially was critical of China and even met the Dalai Lama in 2007. Yet her biggest legacy will be the ill-considered Comprehensive Agreement on Investment #CAI. Merkel prioritised the bottom line of German conglomerates over any other concerns /13 spiegel.de/international/…
Under Merkel German China policy was effectively outsourced to the private sector. This opened the flood gates to corporate propaganda. In their blind pursuit of short-term profits economic elites distorted the German public discourse about China /14
Let me conclude with a brief summary. When the four chancellors exercised leadership they either normalised the CCP (Kohl), made the case against China's democratisation (Schmidt), or prioritised commerce over other enlightened values and interests (Schröder and Merkel) /15
There is now a lot to unlearn. Myths about the importance of China's market and misunderstandings about China's political system need to be busted. Academics and think tankers should help to inform a more critical public debate about China. Germany needs a reality check /16
The SPD foreign affairs spokesperson Schmid is right when arguing that “[we] need a real foreign policy for China — not just a business-oriented policy (...) We need to decouple our foreign policy from the commercial interests of big business” /End ft.com/content/0de447…
If you found the thread 🧵 about the four German chancellors’ cynical approach to China thought provoking please consider this thread from September 14, 2020. Here I write about the pitfalls of Germany’s single-minded pursuit of foreign trade promotion (Außenwirtschaftsförderung)
Five facts you need to know about 'Ilha Formosa' (美麗之島), the stunningly beautiful island-state also known as Taiwan. In this 🧵 I explain why it is in all of our interests that democratic 🇹🇼 is safeguarded against military annexation by 🇨🇳 - now and in the future /1
In the following I will assess Taiwan's turbulent history; offer reflections about sovereignty, trade, identity formation; and address the island-state's geo-economic and geo-strategic importance for the free and democratic world. But first let us rewind a bit /2
People in Taiwan have struggled against outside rule for centuries. The Dutch (1624–1662) had a colony in the south, whilst the Spanish ruled in the north (1626–1642). Uprisings by indigenous people (原住民; Lamey Island massacre) or Han settlers were violently suppressed /3
Annalena Baerbock oder Robert Habeck? Wer hat es geschafft, Olaf Scholz in der Chinapolitik zu einem realistischeren Kurs zu bewegen? Ein 🧵 mit meiner Bewertung nach drei Jahren Ampel-Koalition /1
In ihrem Buch 'Ende der China-Illusion' (Piper, 2023) hat Oertel darauf hingewiesen, dass es in der außenpolitischen Forschung eher unüblich sei, "Haltungsnoten für Entscheidungsträger:innen" zu verteilen. Ich halte das jedoch für notwendig, um politische Führung zu bewerten /2
In den letzten drei Jahren haben sich zwei Grünen-Politiker in der deutschen Chinapolitik besonders verdient gemacht: Habeck und Baerbock. Welche Akzente haben sie jeweils gesetzt? Wem ist es gelungen, die Konturen einer neuen deutschen strategischen Kultur stärker zu prägen? /3
Röttgen fragt zu Recht, wie eine Bundesregierung so eklatant beim Schutz unserer Demokratie versagen kann. Bei illegaler Einmischung in 🇩🇪 spielen das Ministerium für Staatssicherheit, Chinas Einheitsfront-Bürokratie sowie organisierte Kriminalität eine Rolle. Ein kurzer 🧵 /1
Warum ist die Kommunistische Partei Chinas (KPCh) bereit, deutsche Souveränität zu verletzen? Hier müssen wir uns klar sein, dass Staatssicherheit für die KPCh Regimestabilität bedeutet. Die Parteiführung sieht Gefahren sowohl im In- als auch im Ausland /2 prcleader.org/post/piercing-…
Das Ministerium für Staatssicherheit gehört zu einem Geflecht an Behörden unter Kontrolle der Kommunistischen Partei Chinas, die laut britischen Geheimdiensterkenntnissen damit beauftragt sind, im Ausland die sogenannten "fünf Gifte" zu bekämpfen /3 businessinsider.com/chinas-spy-age…
Merkel stellt sich in ihren politischen Memoiren einen Persilschein aus. Steinmeier ist trotz der krachend gescheiterten Russland-Politik immer noch Bundespräsident. Machen wir uns ehrlich: Unsere unterentwickelte Fehlerkultur gefährdet Europas Sicherheit. Ein etwas längerer 🧵/1
Um Missverständnisse gar nicht erst aufkommen zu lassen: es geht mir im Folgenden nicht darum, dass deutsche Spitzenpolitiker für Fehlentscheidungen Abbitte leisten müssen. Merkel und Steinmeier brauchen auch nicht den Gang nach Canossa anzutreten. Es geht um etwas wichtigeres /2
Helene Bubrowski hat in ihrem jüngsten Buch darauf hingewiesen, dass “Fehlentscheidungen und andere Verfehlungen” in unserem politischen System nicht vorgesehen sind, und das “obwohl sie Teil davon sind”. Daher das ständige “vertuschen, abstreiten, aussitzen” /3
Are we seeing the dawn of Communist Chinese Imperialism? Christopher Ford sees echoes of European imperialism in the Chinese Communist Party's Global South strategy. Join me to find out more /1 newparadigmsforum.com/call-it-by-its…
First, a few words about the author. Christopher Ford served as U.S. Assistant Secretary of State for International Security and Nonproliferation (2018-21). He has also written three books on China. He can be seen as a pracademic, a practicing academic /2 newparadigmsforum.com/about
I learned about Christopher Ford's excellent scholarship when doing research for my new book 'Germany and China'. I was keen to learn more about China's strategic culture. I found his theoretical and practical insights utterly convincing and compelling /3 nbr.org/publication/be…
Scholz will einen "großen Krieg" mit Russland verhindern. Und auf unfaire Handelspraktiken Chinas dürfe die EU nicht so reagieren "dass wir uns selbst schädigen". Jeweils kommt die gleiche defätistische Denk- und Redefigur zu Einsatz: bloß keine Eskalation. Ein kurzer 🧵 /1
Der Raketenangriff nach dem Telefonat mit Putin zeigt: Russland eskaliert, während Scholz und Plötner immer noch glauben, man könne durch gutes Zureden ein radikal-revisionistisches Regime dazu bringen, den völkerrechtswidrigen Angriffskrieg zu beenden /2 theguardian.com/world/2024/nov…
Bei unfairen Handelspraktiken Chinas sieht es nicht besser aus. Anstatt die Automobil-Lobbyisten in Berlin zu ignorieren kuscht @Bundeskanzler Scholz was Schutzzölle auf E-Autos angeht vor Peking. Auch hier lautet das Motto: bloß keine Eskalation /3 wiwo.de/politik/europa…