#cretwit has talked ad nauseum about the beauty of CRE due to it's simplicity (we aren't that smart) relative to other assets. It's true & part of my heart goes out to that, BUT

I'm a structure/finance guy by neurosis, a 🧵 on common mistakes I see that cost owners MILLIONS💰💵
1) Not understanding financing alternatives

Some common mistakes I see here are amongst build to suite developers and groups doing value-add projects

On the BTS side, right now there's plenty of financing alternatives for 95-100% LTC financing. If you're a merchant builder
doing STNL deals for a 100-200bps spread, not using this financing and paying an equity promote can dramatically up your cost of capital.

An example on a 1-year hold and $3mm project.

Traditional Financing at 75% LTC and a 4% interest rate I/O:

Loan Proceeds: 2,250,000
Equity required: 750,000

Let's assume no pref and a 30/70 gp/lp equity split and 150 bps of spread from stable yield on cost to exit cap rate. We'll assume we stabilize at a 7.50 cap.

Sale price at 6 cap: 3,750,000
Outstanding debt + int: 2,340,000
Profit 1,410,000
you owe your LP 750,000 of original capital so there's 660,000 left to split.

GP: 198,000
LP: 462,000

In a 100% LTC financing scenario at 6% rate using same exit assumptions and hold period:

Sale price at 6 cap: 3,750,000
outstanding debt + int: 2,385,000
GP profit-1,365,000
Lot's more leverage, but you're trading a bond proxy and making 6.89x the same amount you would if you use a traditional LP structure for the same amount of work. Maybe you don't like leverage but it's worth considering.
Next is:

Tenant Improvement and Leasing Commission Facilities. At a simple level, if you're repositioning buildings, lot's of lenders will finance part or all of the improvement budgets at whatever your leverage rate is.

Simply said, if your debt is 3.5-5% and your cost of
equity is 12%+, financing the turn around of an asset can be highly accretive given the much lower cost of capital.

I'm floored by how many sponsors pay tenant improvement money (which means you have a tenant and are adding accretive cash flow) out of equity, when their cost of
equity is 3-4x debt.

Another big mistake:

Not matching debt or asset management with the asset strategy.

You know what isn't free and is sneakily costly? REFINANCING YOUR ASSET.

Take that 3 year loan on your value add project with no options and you want to hold for another
2 to 3 years for whatever reason. On your refi you're likely to incur:

Loan origination fees, legal fees, recording fees, title. By want of example, on a 4.3mm refi, we incurred roughly 60,000 in costs.

These add up over time and can be more costly depending on the who and
where involved in the deal.

Often the above can be mitigated by better front end planning. This also includes asking for prenegotiated earn-outs on heavy lift value-add / development projects.

Asset managing to your business plan.

AM is different if you're a forever holder
vs a turn-around specialist. If you're adding value, keeping face rent as high as possible is the holy grail. As many have mentioned every dollar added can be $10-$20 in terminal value on a sale.

Where I see people go wrong? Caving on base rent near the end of a hold period
instead of other form of inducements. What can these inducements look like?

-more TI
-reduced rent
-free rent

A couple months of free rent to preserve the face rate can be a 2-3x payoff on exit.

This is just the intro level, but there's tons of structure nuance as you move up
in project size and throughout the capital stack. There isn't a one size fits all answer, but I've found many are dogmatic in their approach because "they've always done it that way," which in some cases costs millions.

Other interest things are forward funding/take outs
or programmatic jv's.

Good news on all the above is a great capital markets advisor or savvy asset manager can help you
through the above!

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More from @MattLasky

20 Jul
As someone who sits as both a GP/LP in a number of real estate investments, below are some questions that I ask in lieu of their common counter parts. We'll have fun and do broke (b) versus woke (w) in homage to the internet meme gods.

Time for a short🧵:
(B): What's your track record?
(W): Tell me about how often you hit your NOI projections/business plan/operational goals and when you deviate, are there any common themes

^highly applicable to managers that invest across risk/return continuums.
(B): What are some of your best deals?
(W): What were your worst deals, what occurred, how did you respond, how did you inform investors, and what did you learn?

(B): Where do you see interest rates going?
(W): How are you underwriting/investing with historically low cap rates?
Read 5 tweets
13 Jan
A thread on learning in CRE investment management-

First some context:

We sit in a unique spot spot in the industry where we're bigger than mom n pop operator's, but not quite an institution. Given we're usually around ~$500mm in AUM we're regularly straddling the institutional
world and "friend's and family" / "country club" money. We've done deals where JV'd with recognizable wall street or PE names and also passed the hat around the country club. As such I've been fortunate to gain perspective from both "sides of the aisle" and I think there's a lot
to be learned from each group.

Entrepreneurial operator's:

The best in these groups tend to be innovative & clever in their approach. The way I've seen some of these guys set up automated prospecting approach to find off-market deals and create alpha is pretty mind blowing.
Read 7 tweets
24 Dec 20
Constantly hear how retail is dead. The convo needs to be bifurcated by malls, power centers, grocery anchored centers, and single tenant. I'm in agreement we're largely over malled and that some will continue to suffer.

A data guy at heart some ways that I dig deeper.
Let's start by looking at Brixmor, a leader in grocery anchored retail with 70% of their portfolio being grocery anchored.

-3Q20 net effective rent for NEW leases near all time highs
-92% collection (2% being deferrals) and 97% of tenancy open
-91.2% leased compared with 92.4%
this time last year

s1.q4cdn.com/531584854/file…
Read 6 tweets
22 Aug 20
What's to follow is absolutely not investment advice, but a look into how I allocate our personal assets today and likely into the future. This is highly unconventional, but works for us.

At a high level we're between 30-40% of our invested assets in an algorthymetically traded
portfolio that I manage. The remainder is in commercial real estate. I say invested capital b/c I'm somewhat of a "fiscal prepper" and keep about 1.5+ years worth of living expenses in cash at all times.

The algo portfolio trades primarily futures these days and is built on
multiple durations to scale in and out of positions (mainly hourly and daily). The goal here is to really create high prop trading like returns and re-balance them into cash flowing assets annually. Psychology I view this a bit like a VC / swing for the fences bucket. I focus on
Read 8 tweets
21 Apr 20
In an effort to bring more transparency to CRE, a deal from the trenches:

We bought a half leased medical office building for 55/sf (~1/4th replacement cost) in a prestigious suburb of a declining MSA. Normally we want growth tailwinds but this suburb had been growing and is a
frequent “best places to live” with great schools.

Why’d we buy-
-Able to structure long term sale leaseback from seller (hospital system)
-Huge lot, building had excess land and a great exterior
-Priced as if building was 48k sf when we knew it was 54k sf.

Deal execution-
-Re-parceled land and sold out parcel paying down debt & reducing our basis ~10%
-remodeled lobby to modernize building
-attracted two tenants, one of which full floor user bringing us to 95% occupancy via huge ti package we budgeted in on the front end

Financing-
Read 5 tweets
13 Apr 20
1/n) Below is tweet storm of my journey into public market investing/trading, how I learned, and a thank you to those who have helped (direct & indirect) along the way:

It was 3 years ago just before Easter we were on our way to Amsterdam for 10 days (it was a work trip for my
2/n) wife, I invited myself). During the days while she had work and I was working remote, I began my quest to learn about public market investing. Reason is, majority of net worth at the time had been tied up in Commercial Real Estate (co-investing in our investments for my “day
3/n) job”). I felt valuations were beginning to get frothy and wanted diversification/liquidity for the next real estate cycle. Enter reading Security Analysis. Value intuitively made sense. This led me to @PrestonPysh @stig_brodersen , which led me to @Greenbackd work in Deep
Read 21 tweets

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