Adam Rae Voge Profile picture
Jul 31, 2021 12 tweets 4 min read Read on X
Who is Lautaro Martinez? Here's a breakdown of his numbers at Inter, and how he compares to other notable strikers linked with the club this summer. (1/x)
Put it simply: The 23-year-old Argentine is good. Lautaro played a key role ending Juventus' reign this season and leading Inter to the Scudetto, with 17 G and 6 A for a club that also included Romelu Lukaku and his 35 G/A. He was key in their run to the UEL finals last year.
A couple of solid comps for Lautaro: Alvaro Morata and Gabriel Jesus. They all finished at around the same skill level last season, all put solid pressure on the ball, Lautaro lags a bit as a playmaker/creator.
One of Lautaro's strengths is his 1-on-1 play. I like him on the ball, a scrappy type with the ability to beat his man. Here's how he stacks up statistically with his comps (Morata/Jesus) and Arsenal's current talent. You can see he too prone to miscontrolling the ball.
One of Lautaro's strengths is his ability to press the ball like a machine. Here you can see he would be an upgrade on Auba in this area. Arsenal do already have a great pressing striker in Lacazette.
I don't have a statistic for this, but I could see Lautaro as a good fit for the Ben White style of long pass, running in behind the defense early in the attack.
I do think Lautaro's passing could be better, but he'd be an upgrade over Auba or Laca. Key Passes, shots created both better than Arsenal's current strikers. Devil's advocate in me wonders how not having Lukaku around would change things. 3 of his 6 A were to the big fella.
The other thing I'd say: I think he could be a better finisher. He scores some spectacular goals, but he misses some relatively easy ones, too. In about 2.5 seasons at Inter, he's a slightly-below-average finisher, mathematically speaking. 38% shots on target, Auba is 44% career
Here's an important comparison in my book. Tammy Abraham's numbers from 19-20 were remarkable in terms of being a pure scorer. Lautaro brings a bit more creativity and defensive mettle. Of course, this is Premier League vs. Serie A, so digest responsibly.
Is the above difference worth £25 million or more? That's a big decision to make. The other thing that bugs me, besides the massive cost in the face of other needs: Why would Lautaro sign for Arsenal? It's a huge club, but he's played huge European games the past two yrs.
I also wonder what this move would mean for Aubameyang short term, with two years left at huge wages. Would he play off the left? Would he play together with Lautaro, a la Lukaku at Inter? I really don't know how (or if) they fit. Of couse, Laca would have to go.
Perhaps it really is just about making the most money possible. In which case, Arsenal could be a good move for him. But this is one of those (very exciting) links that should be read with a healthy grain of salt until we've see the (leaked) signing photo.

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More from @adamvoge

Oct 31, 2022
Only a handful of games separate Arsenal from the World Cup, and all of us from spending six weeks guessing what kind of reinforcements Arsenal might bring in. Who's looking especially good out there these days? Let's take a look (thread) Image
Before we get started, my customary disclaimer: This thread has been carefully compiled based only on statistical performance, as tracked by the parties named below. I always recommend a healthy dose of the eye test to balance stats. I'll try to add context I'm aware of.
Now, methodology: This thread explores potential depth/future starters at Arsenal's defensive midfield position, currently occupied by Thomas Partey, and also known as the No. 6 role. THESE PLAYERS ARE NOT ALL 6s RIGHT NOW, but their statistics provide hope they could be.
Read 35 tweets
Aug 22, 2022
Pedro Neto could be Arsenal's myster winger! What would the young Portuguese international bring to the carpet? Let's take a look below (1/x)...
Neto came through the Braga system in Portugal. He made his senior debut at just 16, but ended up playing only about an hour of senior football for his first club, which included a goal. Image
Neto was loaned to Lazio for two seasons (and then purchased by Lazio), but he again figured very little in the senior club, making five appearances totaling 60 minutes. Image
Read 11 tweets
Jul 12, 2022
Arsenal are seemingly interested in Lucas Paqueta, with links popping up from increasingly credible sources each day. So what's this guy's deal, and what would he bring to Arsenal? Let's run down some facts on him (1/x)...
First thing: I'm firmly in the bag for Paqueta and have been for some time. So, you know, keep that in mind. I'll try to be unflinchingly honest, though.
One of the first things you'll hear anyone talk about with Paqueta is his position. Is he a winger? midfielder? 10? false nine? The easiest answer is "yes," as he's played all over the place. Going back to his teenage breakout season in Brazil, though, he was a left CM.
Read 17 tweets
Jul 9, 2022
Not that I actually expect it to happen, but no to €65m for Paqueta, just no.
Read 4 tweets
Jun 29, 2022
The transfer window is dead! Long live the transfer window! With dreams of Raphinha seemingly gone, whom else could Arsenal target? I analyzed the numbers of 44 big-five-leagues wide players, and I'm gonna shoot 'em at ya rapid-fire. Image
My disclaimer: This is 100% based on stats. I'm a proponent of the eye test and recommend you watch (full games, not comps) these guys before forming your opinions.

My criteria: High output, great ball control, creativity. Weighted for league and age. Ideal=25 +PL experienced.
Because Raphinha was the target, I tailored my formula to elevate him in the rankings, meaning similar profiles would rise as well. I'm also going with all tier-one career numbers to weed out inconsistent performers.
Read 29 tweets
Jun 28, 2022
If Arsenal lose out on Raphinha, which kind of seems like it's happening, it would be tough to replicate the day-one impact. That said, here are some names to consider from my March thread on the position:
Obviously. With the wage bill likely an issue, it may be a good idea not to get too invested in this one, no pun intended.
Luis Sinisterra is my favorite winger who's not in the larger leagues.
Read 12 tweets

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