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Adam Rae Voge Profile picture
Adam Rae Voge
@adamvoge
One half of @cannonstats, your blog for all things Arsenal and numbers. I won’t rest until people understand the transfer market.
Oct 31, 2022 • 35 tweets • 12 min read
Only a handful of games separate Arsenal from the World Cup, and all of us from spending six weeks guessing what kind of reinforcements Arsenal might bring in. Who's looking especially good out there these days? Let's take a look (thread) Image Before we get started, my customary disclaimer: This thread has been carefully compiled based only on statistical performance, as tracked by the parties named below. I always recommend a healthy dose of the eye test to balance stats. I'll try to add context I'm aware of.
Aug 22, 2022 • 11 tweets • 4 min read
Pedro Neto could be Arsenal's myster winger! What would the young Portuguese international bring to the carpet? Let's take a look below (1/x)... Neto came through the Braga system in Portugal. He made his senior debut at just 16, but ended up playing only about an hour of senior football for his first club, which included a goal. Image
Jul 12, 2022 • 17 tweets • 6 min read
Arsenal are seemingly interested in Lucas Paqueta, with links popping up from increasingly credible sources each day. So what's this guy's deal, and what would he bring to Arsenal? Let's run down some facts on him (1/x)... First thing: I'm firmly in the bag for Paqueta and have been for some time. So, you know, keep that in mind. I'll try to be unflinchingly honest, though.
Jul 9, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
Ahem More on Paqueta here
Jun 29, 2022 • 29 tweets • 10 min read
The transfer window is dead! Long live the transfer window! With dreams of Raphinha seemingly gone, whom else could Arsenal target? I analyzed the numbers of 44 big-five-leagues wide players, and I'm gonna shoot 'em at ya rapid-fire. Image My disclaimer: This is 100% based on stats. I'm a proponent of the eye test and recommend you watch (full games, not comps) these guys before forming your opinions.

My criteria: High output, great ball control, creativity. Weighted for league and age. Ideal=25 +PL experienced.
Jun 28, 2022 • 12 tweets • 4 min read
If Arsenal lose out on Raphinha, which kind of seems like it's happening, it would be tough to replicate the day-one impact. That said, here are some names to consider from my March thread on the position: Obviously. With the wage bill likely an issue, it may be a good idea not to get too invested in this one, no pun intended.
May 30, 2022 • 17 tweets • 7 min read
Season's over. Arsenal's kids ended up fifth in the Premier League, securing a Europa League return and setting up for a key summer. Looking around the squad, how did everyone (except CBs and GKs) do in individual stats? A thread... (1/x) Starting at striker, Alexandre Lacazette put in some real shifts this season, but his legs betrayed him around the three-quarter pole. Even at his best, Laca was missing an important skill: scoring, ending up with his worst finishing performance in London. Verdict: Let him walk.
May 28, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
By all means, Spurs, keep moving the wrong direction on the age curve This doesn’t mean that I don’t think older players are worth signing, but when your entire squad is built around two players nearing the downward slope of their careers, maybe reduce the number of needs you’ll have all at once
May 5, 2022 • 47 tweets • 17 min read
Winger, wide forward...whatever terminology you use, it seems Arsenal are in the market for a player to attack from wide positions (bonus for those who can spend time central). With the season nearly at its end, which wide players are worth a shout? Let's look around... (1/x) NOW: Before we get into it, a few notes to consider. This ranking is based 100% on statistics. As always, use the eye test responsibly to evaluate these guys before stanning them.

Also - this is based on positions these players occupy on the pitch. Not all play the same role.
May 3, 2022 • 4 tweets • 1 min read
My guy’s shots per game, shots on target per game, shot on target percentage have all gone up since joining Juve, distance from the goal has gone down, while the quality per chance is largely unmoved Anyone wanna guess what’s disappeared? I’ll give you a hint: he scored 11/12 of them his last two seasons at Fiorentina…
May 3, 2022 • 6 tweets • 2 min read
New dataviz test! This doesn't have all permutations bc this template limited my number of columns, but here's how I'll represent possible outcomes after this weekend. Filled box = Arsenal on top, empty box = Spurs. For now I'm giving Spurs the lead on equal pts. Thoughts? Image Image
Mar 24, 2022 • 45 tweets • 17 min read
The international break has brought a new round of striker rumours for Arsenal. With only a couple of months left to play, how are actual and possible Arsenal transfer links performing? Scroll through for the latest: (1/x) First my standard disclaimer: These ranks are based 100% on statistics. I've created and stuck to a formula and ranked the players on their output, with modifiers for trait importance, league strength and more. Please, as always, also utilize the eye test before forming opinions.
Feb 22, 2022 • 41 tweets • 15 min read
15 cup finals remain in Arsenal's campaign, with Alexandre Lacazette and Eddie Nketiah covering most minutes at centre forward. With the club surely moving on once summer hits, how are potential targets around the world performing? Let's check in on some common links (🧵)... Notes/disclaimers:
1) You may be familiar with my previous striker threads, but this is an all-new formula for me. What's different? I've calibrated in an effort to put more focus on certain elements of striker play and reduce the reward for all-around play.
Feb 15, 2022 • 47 tweets • 17 min read
Arsenal are pushing for Champions League qualification. Wherever they end up, it's clear that the central midfield will see an overhaul in the summer. So, who's out that that could be a real possibility for the Gunners? Let's check around Europe's top leagues... (🧵) Image A few notes before we get started!
1) I have overhauled my formula to go for a more holistic, less targeted picture.
2) I have added adjustment by league. Better league = more pts.
3) Unfortunately I don't have strong data for all leagues, so we're playing in 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿🇫🇷🇪🇸🇩🇪🇮🇹 today.
Jan 6, 2022 • 25 tweets • 10 min read
Arsenal's striker group is in flux, with a move possible this month and seemingly unavoidable by summer at the very least. With Twitter factions starting to form and rumours swirling, which bright young talents are performing the best? Let's take a look... (🧵) First: This ranking is based on statistics. Better stats get you a better spot, with certain stats getting greater weight. Scores are also based off the past two seasons. I've done my best to add context here, but if you feel like I'm missing something, feel free to chime in!
Dec 28, 2021 • 40 tweets • 15 min read
Who's even available in Arsenal's midfield anymore? With the window opening in just a couple of days, and January looking increasingly like Xhaka-Sambi time, could Arsenal bring in another CM for depth? Here's an update on my watchlist of transfer targets... 🧵 Image If you're new here, this ranking is based on gross statistics only. Everything courtesy @fbref, @WhoScored and @SofaScoreINT. I do my best to research context, but if I'm missing something, let me know in the comments!
Oct 6, 2021 • 32 tweets • 12 min read
A long-term injury to Granit Xhaka has underscored Arsenal's need for more quality depth in central midfield. As we hit this international break, how are the names on my CM watchlist performing so far? Here, I'll break down several of the notables from a long list (1/x)... First off: Please remember that this is stat-driven. I gather all the information I can. If I've missed some context, please feel free to let me know! Also: please keep in mind 1) small samples and how they could change and 2) quality of different leagues.
Oct 1, 2021 • 23 tweets • 9 min read
This summer I published a thread of potentially obtainable strikers as #Arsenal look to transition from Aubameyang and Lacazette to the next generation and progress toward the top 4. With most clubs having 5 or more games under their belts, here's where things stand... (1/x) Image First, disclaimer: I do this with the information I have available. If I'm missing some context, please let me know! I do my best to remain up-to-date on everyone.

Also: These numbers include only domestic league play, but I'll note relevant cup performances where I'm able.
Sep 14, 2021 • 29 tweets • 11 min read
Recent reports put a striker and a midfielder at the top of Arsenal's to-do list as the club plots its return path to European football. With specifically a defensive-oriented midfielder rumoured to be the priority, here's my watchlist for the 21-22 season (1/x)... Same disclaimer as always in mind, I set out to find midfielders who fit a few criteria:
-They're young. Pre-prime as a general definition, with 25 generally my upper boundary. Lower leagues had lower age limits.
-They're not promised or strongly linked to another huge club.
Sep 12, 2021 • 11 tweets • 2 min read
Through four weeks, your thread of relevant #Arsenal statistics (not including LFC, LUFC, Burnley and Everton)... Expected Goal Differential:
City +8.9
Liverpool +4.7 (through 3)
Wolves +3.2
...
Spurs -2.5
Watford -2.7
🔴⚪️Arsenal -3.7
LCFC -4.4
NUFC -4.8
Norwich -5.3

Arsenal were -6.3 against City and CFC.
Sep 10, 2021 • 26 tweets • 10 min read
Arsenal are facing change at striker, with their two main options on the wrong side of 30 and (pretty likely) leaving for free. Now's a great time to scan the market for replacement. So who should the club be watching? I'm tracking 50 strikers; here are some highlights (1/x) First, a disclaimer: This analysis is built on the data available to me. I try to learn about these players and their clubs, but don't know everything. Also: just because they don't or haven't done something, doesn't mean they can't! The eye test is important, too.