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Jul 31, 2021 13 tweets 5 min read Read on X
What is liquidity and why does it matter for $OHM holders?

A thread for Ohmies wondering how liquidity fits into the overall equation and how to interpret results on dashboard. Image
1. Liquidity is ability to turn an asset into cash.

If you try to sell your house at 30% below market value you will find plenty of buyers.

Try selling at a 30% premium and you won’t find as many.

Point being: liquidity depends on selling price and asset quality.
2. Asset quality depends on an asset’s ability to generate cash flow.

Or command a premium in case of art.

$OHM has strong cash flows. A $23 mm cash balance growing at $500k/day.

If $OHM was a typical Series A start up, there would be NO liquidity for its tokens btw.
3. So how’s $OHM liquidity?

We hit $50 mm market value of liquidity 6 days ago.

We’ve seen a lot of sell pressure. But liquidity didn’t go down.

Why?

Because of Liquidity Pool (LP) bonds or LP bonds that add about $1.2 mm / day to $OHM liquidity. Image
4. Wtf are LP bonds?

$OHM has two types of bonds 1) reserve bonds and 2) LP bonds.

Reserve bonds mostly grow our treasury and LP bonds mostly grow our liquidity.

The policy team uses the Bond Control Variable to direct find flow.

On 7/15 we decided to prioritize liquidity. Image
5. Is there enough exit liquidity for all?

Obviously not. If all shareholders sell any given stock, the stock will tank. But many stockholders don’t sell and are in it for the long term?

Why?

Because of predictable cash flows that show a promising growth rate. Image
5. Simply put investors chases predictable cash flows.

In $OHM’s case, we see this represented by %age of $OHM staked.

Now obviously some Ohmies will sell and take a profit.

If they do that and staking % goes down, you know what happens then to remaining stakers right? Image
6. Their APY shoots up. This APY that was about 15,000% last week is now 17,000%.

Why?

Well staking rewards are only paid to stakers.

This self healing nature is the power of $OHM and why it commands a premium over its Risk Free Value. Image
7. $OHM makes money when you buy OHM, sell $OHM, and it doesn’t matter whether it trades above or below $1.

This is the whole point of making protocols that try to own the whole stack of where value accrues to token holders. Image
8. If you are new to $OHM, my humble submission is this:

Don’t look at a few data points in isolation. Study the whole system. Join our discord. Ask questions. Put the equations in a spreadsheet. Ask for help if you don’t get it. Get involved.

Don’t just ape in.
9. Some people say our liquidity / market cap is low. We agree. That’s why we changed the BCVs.

But at the same time can you point me one more company or project that owns 100% of its liquidity?

Can you even calculate liquidity / market cap for another project? Image
10. The answer is no because liquidity depends on selling price of an asset.

Selling price depends on asset quality.

Asset quality depends on cash flows.

Cash flows depend on incentive structure.

$OHM incentive structure is next level awesome.

#OHMISBACKED. Image
@sayinshallah thanks for the nudge to put this out there.

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More from @asfoooooom

Mar 15, 2022
What is @BeanstalkFarms creating and why does it matter?
- How to ape
- Protocol design
- Founder due diligence
1. Look I get it. You’re here to ape. But I want to be clear.

This. Is. A. Fucking. Experiment.

But there is an interesting deal in it offering a 70x return. It’s called buying “pods” when there is “soil”

Here’s what it means in plain English….
2. When soil is available (rarely these days) you can buy pods. Interest rate on those pods is called “weather”. Currently 7,000%.

That’s where the 70x comes from.

But here’s the thing: you only realize this 70x when supply grows to ~1.387 bn $BEAN (currently at 43 million)
Read 22 tweets
Mar 13, 2022
There’s a computer program that is trying to keep the value of a bean as close to $1 as possible.

These beans are not real beans but more like records in a database that everyone can see, all the time.

When the value of this bean is above $1, this program prints more beans and
Distributes these beans to people who give money to this computer program.

When people give money to the program they receive more bean, but this only happens when price of 1 bean is above $1.

When price of bean is less than $1, this program tries to attract buyers by…
Offering them a good deal. This good deal means new buyers can get many more beans over time than they purchased.

This program is an experiment and has been running for 7 months. It’s working well so far.

But big questions remain related to the deals offered to people…
Read 5 tweets
Feb 20, 2022
What is @OlympusDAO creating and why does it matter?
- Money vs Currency
- Reserve Currency Traits
- 11 month Performance
- Olympus bonds
- Staking and APY
- Bank-run scenario
- Bonds deep dive
- Non-bond revenue
- Community strength
- Why $OHM matters
1. OlympusDAO is creating a decentralized reserve currency that is backed by a community governed treasury.

Money and currency are used interchangeably but are different as illustrated in this graphic made by @MessariCrypto.

Gold, $ETH, $BTC are money, the USD is a currency.
2. Defi today relies on dollar pegged coins to settle transactions and provide liquidity.

Challenge with this dependence is shown in the Impossibility Trinity which says all 3 can't co-exist but 2 can:
1) Fixed Exchange Rate
2) Free Capital Flow
3) Sovereign Monetary Policy
Read 34 tweets
Jan 19, 2022
Some analysis about $OHM for you if you bought the top:

On November 23 2021:
Mcap: $4.3 bn
$OHM price: $906
Index: 37
Risk Free Value / $OHM: $37 + some $ETH, $CVX et al

> You spent $906 to get a minimum $37 claim on Olympus Treasury.

56 days later here’s where you are at.
January 18 2022:
Mcap: $946 mm
$OHM price: $110
Index: 67
Risk Free Value / $OHM: $25

> You now have 1.81 $OHM (Index today / Index on purchase date) and a $45 claim (1.81*$25) on Olympus treasury

Your claim grew by 22.3% during a migration and ugly market conditions.
You may say that this rising $ value claim on Olympus treasury is meaningless because there is no redemption option.

I find measuring progress through rising claim on treasury as a better KPI than market cap because mcap is always going to be volatile for such an asset.
Read 18 tweets
Dec 23, 2021
@KlimaDAO is primed for a mega bull run in 2022. In this thread I’m going to review $KLIMA fundamentals and speculate on what to expect next quarter.

🧵 🪡 it’s threadoooor time Klimates.
1. The undistributed claim on $KLIMA treasury stands at 82.23%.

Since Risk Free Value is 6.1 million BCT, this implies that minimum 5 million BCT worth of value remains undistributed.

What’s that worth? Depends on price of BCT.
2. At current prices that’s an undistributed risk free claim of about $30 million.

Taking the all time low of $2.5/BCT, we get a risk free undistributed claim $12.5 million.

This is the value a staker gets for just staying staked assuming zero revenues come in from today.
Read 12 tweets
Dec 22, 2021
Web3 can’t be explained, it has to be experienced.

People in developing countries like Pakistan couldn’t invest in Web2 companies even if they wanted to, but can do so in Web3 initiatives.

Why is this a big deal?
Web3 aligns incentives of a global talent pool that was previously not possible.

$OHM and $KLIMA holders in different countries are actively collaborating to make these protocols succeed. Investors and customers of Tesla and Twitter aren’t doing that.
Web3 gives people in developing countries access to a reliable legal system whereas Web2 powers were mainly accessible to folks living in the developed world.

With Ethereum, my niece and nephew in Pakistan can launch an NFT project and “know” their rights will be protected.
Read 5 tweets

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