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Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
@RobletoFire
Aug 3, 2021 • 13 tweets • 6 min read • Read on X
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Very early numbers starting to come in from #OH11 via NYT Image
1% reporting, Brown off to a nearly 4000 vote lead on Turner. #OH11 Image
5.7% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown up roughly 3,700 votes on Nina Turner in #OH11 via WaPo. Image
13.9% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown maintaining a roughly 3,600 vote lead on Nina Turner in #OH11 via AP. Image
19.5% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown currently leads Nina Turner by just over 3,500 votes (10 pts) in #OH11 (via AP) Image
25.2% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown still up approximately 3,600 votes on Nina Turner in #OH11 (via WaPo) Image
27.6% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown leads by 3,700 over Nina Turner in #OH11 (via WaPo) Image
35.5% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown leads Nina Turner by roughly 3,500 votes in #OH11 via WaPo. Image
41.5% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown keeping up an approximate 3,600 vote lead over Nina Turner in #OH11 (via WaPo). Image
53.8% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown holding onto a roughly 3,300 vote lead over Nina Turner in #OH11 (via WaPo) Image
62.2% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown maintains a lead of just under 3,200 votes on Nina Turner in #OH11 (via AP) Image
75.7% precincts reporting, Shontel Brown keeps a 3,000 vote lead on Nina Turner. (via AP)

I haven't seen an official call yet, but I'd imagine that's about it. Image
My mistake, AP called it quite a bit ago.

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More from @RobletoFire

Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
Oct 27, 2021
I broke Soros' donation to Sunrise Movement’s PAC over a year ago—and even though the @FreeBeacon is acting like they just found it, their article is massively incomplete.

It doesn't even mention that Soros @OpenSociety gave $500K to @sunrisemvmt in 2019, and $1M in 2020.
Though this article was written a week or so before I broke news of Soros' $1M 2020 donation, if you want the most in-depth look at Sunrise Movement's billionaire donors, you can read my report here:
jaeger.substack.com/p/billionaire-…
Receipts on the $1M:
Read 5 tweets
Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
Oct 8, 2021
Last August, Colonial Pipeline spilled into the Oehler Nature Preserve outside or Huntersville, NC.

Colonial revised their volume estimates 3 times (growing exponentially every time) until deciding their last estimate of 1.2M gals was too low.
medium.com/@RobletoFire/t…
After being pressed for an updated volume estimate by state and local officials, Colonial Pipeline said they couldn't give one.

And even if they did, the estimate would be "open to interpretation". Meaning, they have no idea how much spilled.
medium.com/@RobletoFire/c…
While researching this historic spill, I discovered that Colonial Pipeline had at most inspected only 45% of their 5,500mi line in 2019—and had been cited by federal regulators for numerous procedural violations.

That trend would continue in 2020.
medium.com/@RobletoFire/c…
Read 7 tweets
Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
Jul 17, 2021
Key points not in the story that are worth mentioning:

1. Donor data for DMFI PAC beyond 01/25/21 (GA Special Election) isnt yet public.

2. As of 01/25, DMFI had $101K cash on hand—yet they've spent $660K against Turner, so there is new money (which Schusterman could still be).
There's a reason why I haven't reported this yet, even though these numbers have been available since February.

Nearly all the money Schusterman gave DMFI was spent BEFORE their recent blitz against Turner—so we can't say for sure she's the donor behind it, though she may be.
Assuming DMFI is a semi-annual filer with the FEC, we'll know for sure who funded their recent blitz on Nina Turner on 07/30.
Read 4 tweets
Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
Feb 23, 2021
Lately I've been trying to just ignore all of the so called "in-fighting", keep my head in the research, and focus on what's important: the work.

But my patience has worn out.

If you come at me or my colleagues with bad faith attacks or outright lies, I will expose you.
It's so easy to sit around and creep @nikoCSFB or @Fiorella_im's timeline and disparage their work.

It's much more difficult to do some work of your own.

"Those who can't talk about those who can".
Challenge my reporting if you want but I don't report without receipts. I pride myself on it.

I don't need an entire team of researchers to write a "breaking" story about something that's been known for years, and I don't take credit for scoops that I didn't report first.

IYKYK
Read 9 tweets
Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
Feb 23, 2021
The mainstream media is going to keep Trump in the spotlight as long as they can—because he made them stars pulling record ratings.

You wont see the same veracity of reporting on Biden, because criticism of Democratic politicians in those circles will get you blacklisted.
Eventually, they'll have no choice but to put Biden in the spotlight. When that happens, much like with Obama, it will be milquetoast puff pieces full of softball questions.

Then their ratings will bottom out. Why? Because it's boring.

Then they'll invent their next boogeyman.
Don't forget the media's hubris helped push Trump to the forefront of politics, though their coverage was overwhelmingly negative—"Any press is good press".

Plus, he was good for business!

They'll repeat the cycle when they soon become attention starved from his absence.
Read 4 tweets
Robbie Jaeger 🔎 Profile picture
Jan 28, 2021
BIDEN CABINET FINANCIALS MASTER THREAD:

This will be a catalog of the incoming Biden administration's financial disclosures and relevant data/stories—several of which were first reported by us here @McscNetwork.

Thread begins below👇
1. ANTONY BLINKEN, SECRETARY OF STATE

Blinken's most prominent business ventures came from @WEAdvisors, a consulting firm he co-founded, which paid him $1.2M+ to consult for:
@McKinsey
@Microsoft
@blackstone
@boeing
@GileadSciences
@ATT
@RBC
@SoftBank
@Uber
@FedEx
Blinken also started a venture capital firm focused primarily on defense contractors—Pine Island Capital Partners—with Michéle Flournoy (future Defense Sec. Austin sat on the board).

Pine Island has pledged to capitalize on their newfound access. access
dailyposter.com/p/breaking-pot…
Read 22 tweets

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