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More from @ncdave4life

Oct 10
1/8》Doc wrote, "You’re not going to change my mind."

Please do not be impervious to evidence, like trillionofcells. That would make me sad.Image
2/8》Doc wrote, "Wasn’t Gleick cleared of any wrongdoing?"

No, he was not cleared. That was disinformation from The Grauniad:
x.com/ncdave4life/st…

In fact, Gleick eventually admitted the identity theft, and disseminating the forgery & the stolen documents (though only after he was caught & publicly identified).

I can see that you didn't read my article about it. You should:
sealevel.info/Peter_Gleick_D…
3/8》Gleick never admitted being the forger, but there can be no doubt of that, either.

It was the incongruous appearance of his name in the document, with the strangely flattering description of him as a "high-profile climate scientist," in a document which said NOTHING positive about ANY other climate activists, which first drew Steve Mosher's attention to Gleick. But it was the idiosyncrasies of Gleick's own writing style, found in the forged document, which Mosher mostly discussed, when explaining why he believed Gleick wrote it.

Mosher explained it, at length, in a series of blog comments, beginning here:
rankexploits.com/musings/2012/t…

Note that that was all BEFORE Gleick confessed to being the person who had impersonated the Heartland Board Member to steal the other documents. THAT iced it: there's no question that Gleick was the forger.

(BTW, Mosher used to be with Berkeley Earth.)
Read 9 tweets
Oct 2
1/8. The IPCC authors expect  a worsening trend. No such trend is actually detectable, so far.

In fact, here's a paper about the downward  trend in hurricane destructiveness, tho I suspect the decrease might be a fluctuation rather than a durable trend.
nature.com/articles/ncomm…
2/8. The IPCC authors are sly. They know hurricanes & other tropical cyclones aren't worse, but they dodge & weave to avoid admitting it. Here's a tricky quote from AR6:

"It is likely that the global proportion of Category 3–5 tropical cyclone instances has increased over the past four decades."

ref: ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1…
3/8. That's a textbook illustration of Chesterton's point:

"Falsehood is never so false as when it is very nearly true."

It's "spin." It is calculated deception without QUITE lying.

Look at that graph again:

(Updated version: )climatlas.com/tropical/globa…Image
Read 9 tweets
Aug 14
@JamesFaris_ & @BusinessInsider, here's reality:

Hurricanes and other tropical cyclones:


tl;dr: Hurricanes are not worsening.

sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
climatlas.com/tropical/globa…Image
Tornadoes:


tl;dr: Tornadoes are not worsening.

sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
climateataglance.com/wp-content/upl…Image
Droughts & floods:


tl;dr: Droughts & floods are not worsening.



sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
ncei.noaa.gov/access/monitor…
sealevel.info/US_percentage_…Image
Read 7 tweets
Aug 11
1/5. I trust that it is obvious to you that the most important effects of climate change are on agriculture. Right?

So if you really want to read the best relevant scholarly literature, you should start with agronomy papers. Agronomy is a much older, more rigorous, and less politicized field than "climate science," and it's the field which studies the effects of CO2 and climate change on agriculture.



Here are "cereal crops" (wheat, corn, rice, etc.), averaged:
ourworldindata.org/crop-yields
sealevel.info/ourworldindata…Image
@JDubbs1982 @Bidenisafacist @ChrisMartzWX 2/5. For instance, here's a paper about wheat:

Fitzgerald GJ, et al. (2016) Elevated atmospheric CO2 can dramatically increase wheat yields in semi-arid environments and buffer against heat waves. Glob Chang Biol. 22(6):2269-84. doi:10.1111/gcb.13263.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…
@JDubbs1982 @Bidenisafacist @ChrisMartzWX 3/5. That doesn't even take into account the direct benefits of fossil fuels.

Read 6 tweets
Jul 10
1/7. Christopher wrote, "Energy balances, not heat, not a flux."

Flux just means flow or movement. "Energy flux" is synonymous with "movement of energy."

Inbound solar radiation is a flux. So is outbound LW IR.

Definitions:
1.
2. ahdictionary.com/word/search.ht…
scienceworld.wolfram.com/physics/Flux.h…
@CDCollins5269 @Willard1951 @jpgcrowley @AdrianC47C @ShroedingerBird @ChrisBBacon3 @Mark_A_Lunn @Rosie45703313 @PvtMcAuslan @EthonRaptor @Anvndarnamn5 @DaleGribble_666 @priscian @Then__And__Now @tim_dunkerton @AristotleMrs @FD2you @BradPKeyes @KCTaz @0Sundance @TheDisproof @BointonGiles @Climatehope2 @Jaisans @S_D_Mannix @TWTThisIsNow @paulp1232 @MartinJBern @Data79504085 @ammocrypta @B_Bolshevik100 @Robert76907841 @EricWil06256732 @ProfMickWilson @FillmoreWhite @TommyLambertOKC @JohnDublin10 @NoTricksZone 2/7. If you call incoming fluxes positive and outgoing fluxes negative, then an "energy imbalance" simply means incoming plus outgoing fluxes do not sum to zero.

Persistent energy imbalance causes temperature change. That gives us clues to estimate EEI.
sealevel.info/radiative_imba…
3/7. Willard wrote, "The what matter's is the Earth's overall energy imbalance (EEI)"

If it REALLY mattered to Willard, he wouldn't play make-believe with it.
Read 8 tweets
Jul 9
1/15≫ Dr. Belch (why oh why isn't she a gastroenterologist?) seems not to recognize the significance of the story.

Climate activists predicted that if Earth's average temperature got to 1.5°C above the pre-industrial (late Little Ice Age) baseline it would be a disaster. But they did, and nothing bad happened.

The significance of that is that it means the climate activists were completely wrong.
2/15≫ In case you're wondering, the 4 known factors which caused 2023 to be so mild were:

1. A strong El Niño spike. And

2. IMO 2020 shipping regulations drastically reduced sulfate aerosol air pollution (The IMO says they resulted in "an estimated 46% decrease in ship-emitted aerosols," which equates to a sudden 10% decrease in total global SO2 emissions, which is a large improvement in a short time, with a significant warming effect). And

3. The unusual 2022 Hunga Tonga eruption, which humidified the stratosphere. And

4. Also a little bit of warming from the ongoing slow rise in atmospheric CO2 levels (though only about 25 ppmv/decade).

It's all good, though (unfortunately) #1 & #3 are temporary.
3/15≫
Q: And what was the result of all that warmth?

A: Nothing. Nothing bad, anyhow.

We still get storms, but they're no worse than in the past.
sealevel.info/learnmore.html…
Read 16 tweets

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