Thomas Chua Profile picture
Aug 7, 2021 18 tweets 9 min read Read on X
Shopee is number 1 despite being the youngest eCommerce player in Southeast Asia.

As someone from the region who spends way too much 💰💰💰 on Shopee, here is a thread on everything you need to know about Sea Limited: Shopee $SE

Let's get started! 👇👇
From day one, Shopee adopted a mobile-first approach.

Its competitors were focused on their websites as the key battlefield.

In this region with high smartphone penetration rate but a low PC penetration rate due to affordability.

Shopee's strategy paid off handsomely.
As user attention span gets shorter, Shopee has to get creative.

Shopee gamified its shopping experience and kept users logging in routinely throughout the day for quests and events.

This drastically raised the engagement rate on the platform!
Take Shopee Farm, for example, players receive a reward when they water their plants routinely.

Friends can water each other's plants, which encourages users to rope their friends onto the platform for help!

This social element greatly increases the stickiness of the platform.
Shopping in Asia is a highly social event.

This involves finding out more info or haggling with merchants!

Shopee Live Chat enables direct conversations bw buyers & sellers!

In a region that has multiple languages (>6), it offers highly accurate real-time translation 🤯
Shopee hyperlocalized, unlike Lazada who had an app across the entire Southeast Asia region, Shopee had an app for each country!

Every app UX is slightly different based on cultural differences and consumers' preferences.

Shopee uses data to drive hyperlocalization efforts!
Shopee works closely with their merchants and I often hear them praising Shopee as the most helpful platform.

Shopee holds strategic planning workshops with sellers.

It also provides loyalty program such as Brand Membership Program for sellers to boost buyers' loyalty.
Shopee was the first to use celebrities endorsement.

Its competitors favoured growth ideas around quantifiable performance such as social media ads due to mgt incentive structure.

Celebrities endorsement became a massive success for Shopee at raising brand awareness!
Buying something online is new for many in Southeast Asia.

Building trust is key for consumers.

Shopee launched Shopee Guarantee, where consumers only released payment when orders are fulfilled.
Garena's Free Fire provided Shopee with deep pockets!

When its competitors were under pressure to show short-term profitability, Shopee spent heavily on brand awareness and free shipping!

(Check out my comprehensive thread on Garena!)

This strengthened Shopee's eCommerce flywheel.

The secret sauce to building an eCommerce platform: growth and scale!

Nick Sleep explained it best with his letters, check out my thread on this!

Recently, Shopee has ventured into food delivery, a high-frequency service that complements its eCommerce offerings!

Buyers are now able to buy movie tickets, hotel vouchers and much more on Shopee!

Shopee is becoming a Super App for Southeast Asia.
Its digital wallet, ShopeePay has also become the region's top e-wallet based on transaction values!

ShopeePay is used for both online and offline transactions, where users can pay offline merchants by scanning their QR codes.
Shopee has also recently ventured into Brazil and is executing at a world-class level.

Hitting top of the Brazilian app rankings!

2 key risks that stand out:

(1) Intense competition, in Southeast Asia, Tokopedia (eCommerce) and Gojek (ride-hailing and more) have merged to form GoTo

(2) Regulatory risk, $SE operates across multiple tricky regulatory environments
Thank you for reading my thread on Shopee $SE. If you like this, do consider liking, RTing and following me @SteadyCompound!

I will be doing a comprehensive thread on SeaMoney next.
Check my blog post on Shopee's Secret Playbook for more!

steadycompounding.com/investing/what…

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More from @SteadyCompound

Dec 14
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5 market calls in 50 years. $218 billion under management. Zero blowups.

Here's what separates him from everyone else: 🧵 Image
2/ The dinner that changed everything:

In 1990, a pension fund manager told Marks his portfolio stayed in the 27th-47th percentile for 14 straight years.

Sounds mediocre.

But over 14 years total? 4th percentile.

How? He never blew up while everyone else occasionally did.
3/ This became Oaktree's motto:

"If you can avoid the losers, the winners will take care of themselves."

Most investors shoot for the stars and occasionally shoot themselves in the foot.

Once you have a big loss, it takes years to recover. The math is brutal.
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It's one of the most insight-dense conversations on AI infrastructure economics I've encountered.

Key insights that matter for investors 🧵 Image
First, the big one: Gemini 3 confirmed pre-training scaling laws are still intact.

This matters because no one actually knows why scaling laws work. It's an empirical observation, not a theoretical guarantee.

Every confirmation that it still holds changes forward projections. Image
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Between mid-2024 and now, there was no way to push pre-training forward. You can't get more than ~200,000 Hoppers coherent, and Blackwell was delayed.

Reasoning models bridged an 18-month gap where progress would have otherwise stalled. Image
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Dec 9
Everyone's blaming Chipotle's 44% decline on Slop Bowls.

The real threat? Casual dining.

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Chili's: $21

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That $3 gap with casual dining has nearly disappeared. Image
On Cava: Management points to Cava's slowdown as proof it's an industry problem.

"See, it's not us, it's the industry."

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Nov 26
Fundsmith is on track for its 5th year of underperformance.

In a recent interview, Terry Smith explains the reasons why—and what he thinks is wrong with the market today.

Key insights: 🧵 Image
Smith breaks down the underperformance into distinct phases:

2022-23: Interest rates rose from 0% to 5%
2023: Magnificent Seven concentration
2024: AI boom/hype
Throughout: Passive fund flows

He claims each one is a headwind for quality investors. Image
On interest rates:

Quality companies trade at higher valuations because more cash flows are in the future. When rates rise, they behave like long-dated bonds—they get hit harder.

"When rates go up, our type of companies suffer in share price terms and companies which we wouldn't own which are very cyclical or not very good actually relatively benefit."Image
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Nov 23
Eric Seufert and Ben Thompson just released an interview that reframes AI monetization strategy.

Why affiliate links fail, why "agentic commerce" won't happen, the Netflix lesson OpenAI is ignoring, and Meta's first real bear case in years.

What stood out: 🧵
Context: Everyone assumes ChatGPT will monetize through affiliate links (Walmart, Etsy partnerships).

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1. It only monetizes queries with commercial intent

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This is what happens when you answer the "tell me about your weakness" question too honestly.

PayPal CEO Alex Chriss at Citi's FinTech Conference laid out the challenges so clearly it spooked the market.

Here's what he said: 🧵 Image
1/ Consumer spending deteriorated suddenly mid-September and it's persisting into Q4.

Chriss: "We started to see a slowdown on consumers, particularly around discretionary spending, retail and really in middle to low income brackets, which play a significant role in PayPal."

The weakness is concentrated: "If we look at some of our cohorts of higher income spenders, they're still spending. But we are seeing pressure for middle to lower income."

Q4 branded checkout expected to grow slower than Q3 as a result.
2/ The branded checkout rollout is taking much longer than expected.

Only 20% complete after significant time. Chriss admitted: "That's probably the piece I underestimated the most in terms of just how long it would take to get that experience out to customers."

The timeline? "We're just going to have to go through the hard work over the next few quarters and maybe even a couple of years to get through our backlog of merchants."

Years, not quarters. That's a meaningful delay.

Why so slow? Technical debt worse than realized.

Chriss: "We have 15-plus years of really bespoke integrations across our merchant base. This was something I personally didn't appreciate when I got here of just how many different integration patterns there have been."
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