Thomas Chua Profile picture
Filling my stock portfolio with steady compounders and sharing my analysis at https://t.co/mV9yIz9m4m
Charan Reddy Profile picture poco mongs Profile picture Eric Attias Profile picture Mehul Patel Profile picture DenysThorez Profile picture 28 subscribed
Apr 10 11 tweets 4 min read
Meet Allan Mecham.

At 22, he dropped out of college to start his fund, Arlington Value.

And achieved a staggering 30% CAGR from 2008-2016.

He reveals his investing secret in his letters.

Here's the framework he used (that you can too): Image 1. Adopt a mindset for longevity

He focuses on variables that affect a business' durability.

Stuff like valuation doesn't matter if the business quality is misjudged.

Since a company's value is determined by its future cash flows...

Hence evaluating its future is key Image
Apr 1 13 tweets 4 min read
The Marathon Asset letters offer a masterclass in investing through the capital cycle.

If you invest in the stock market...

Here are 11 capital cycle patterns you need to know: Image 1/ Periods of high profitability leads to reckless investments.

When profits are high:

-Boost CAPEX with little regard for ROIC
-Competitors will follow suit to avoid losing market share
-CEO's incentives aren't aligned with shareholders

It's a race to the bottom. Image
Mar 16 15 tweets 5 min read
Since inception, Terry Smith has generated an annualized return of 15.4%, outperforming the MSCI world index by 390 basis points.

On Fundsmith's annual meeting 2024, he shared his views on his stocks, AI, and recent underperformance for 90 minutes.

Here're my key takeaways: Image Most of the time, the best stocks can only be bought when they are most heavily criticized.

It happened with Meta and Microsoft when Fundsmith first bought it.

Microsoft has appeared as a top performer for the eighth time. It speaks volumes about letting winners run. Image
Jan 6 16 tweets 3 min read
14 lessons from Warren Buffett over 46 years of Berkshire Hathaway letters: Image 1. Fundamental pillars of investing

• Invest in companies with wide moats
• Know your circle of competence
• Think like a business owner
• Focus on future cash flows
• Macro is a waste of time
• Ignore volatility
Dec 8, 2023 19 tweets 7 min read
Charlie Munger & John Collison podcast.

It's bittersweet listening to one of Charlie's final interviews.

His words of wisdom were always simple and straightforward.

Here're my 15 takeaways: 1. Create a huge advantage in life by:

Avoid selling anything that you wouldn't like to be on the receiving end.

Work with people you admire & trust.

Pay attention during math. Image
Nov 26, 2023 17 tweets 3 min read
One of the best fund managers you've never heard of:

Tony Deden.

My key lessons from the Chairman of Edelweiss Holdings: Image 1. Respect the capital

The capital entrusted to him was a lifetime's worth of savings.

It's tough enough to protect the capital from externalities such as inflation, taxation or unforeseen events.

A fund manager can't compound the error by internal factors such as imprudence.
Nov 25, 2023 12 tweets 3 min read
Charlie Munger said:

Show me the incentive and I will show you the outcome.

Judge management by how they're incentivized.

And proxy statements reveal management incentives.

How to analyze the proxy statement in under 10 minutes: Image Proxy statements provide insights not found in annual reports.

It includes the following information:

Notice of annual meeting of shareholders
Board structure
Election of directors
Board of directors compensation
Executive compensation

Let's dive into what to look out for:
Sep 16, 2023 13 tweets 4 min read
There are 63,105 stocks in the investing universe.

But only 947 firms drove ~100% of the returns.

That's less than 1.5% of the entire investing universe.

Without a screener, it is like finding a needle in a haystack.

Here are the top 5 screeners to hunt for winners: Here's a quick rundown:

1. Revenue growth > 10%
2. Gross profitability ratio > 20%
3. Debt to EBITDA ratio < 3
4. Interest coverage ratio > 3.5
5. PEG < 1.2

Bonus: List of FREE screening tools at the end.
Sep 13, 2023 13 tweets 3 min read
Peter Attia is a leading authority on longevity medicine.

As you age, quality of life is as important as living longer.

This is an important read if your goal is to age well while maintaining the abilities of your youth.

Here are my notes from the book: Outlive Image The 4 Horsemen

These are the 4 leading causes of death:

1. Heart disease
2. Cancer
3. Neurological disease
4. Diabetes

Peter provides a lot of information to mitigate the risks of these 4 Horsemen, which will be covered below.

But a major one is—cutting out fructose.
Aug 12, 2023 12 tweets 5 min read
Everything I've learned from Howard Marks' letters and interviews.

Risks, returns and market cycles.

These are the 10 most important lessons: Image 1. Risk Management

Investment isn't about avoiding risk altogether.

Risk-free investments will usually bring risk-free returns (mediocre).

Rather, we should think about managing risk instead using tools such as:

Diversification, rebalancing, long time horizon, etc. Image
Aug 6, 2023 10 tweets 3 min read
Warren Buffett believes Munger has the best 30-second mind in the world.

He sees the essence of everything before you even finish the sentence.

That’s because Munger has a robust latticework of mental models in his mind.

Here are 8 indispensable mental models: Image 1. Occam's Razor

It states that “it is futile to do with more what can be done with fewer”.

The simplest explanation is most likely the right one.

Similar to Peter Lynch's 2-min drill:

If truly understood, the thesis could be summed up in 2-min. Image
Aug 4, 2023 20 tweets 7 min read
Devoured 46 years of Warren Buffett's wisdom through his letters from 1977 to 2022.

My eyes are tired, but my mind is richer!

It taught me more about investing than any business school ever could.

Here's what I learned: Image 1. Moat is NEVER stagnant

A company's competitive position either grows stronger or weaker each day.

Widening the moat must always take precedence over short-term targets. Image
Jul 26, 2023 12 tweets 3 min read
10 Investing Gems from Peter Lynch.

This legend inherited a $20 million fund and grew it to $14 billion.

Delivering a 29.2% annual return between 1977 and 1990.

Here is how he did it: Image 1. Hold on to your winners tightly.

Great businesses defy mean reversion.

Cut lousy businesses out.

The quote was so good that Warren Buffett cited it in his shareholder letter.

“Selling your winners and holding your losers is like cutting the flowers and watering the weeds.”
Jul 8, 2023 7 tweets 2 min read
Before, the only way to learn from investing legends was to get into Columbia Business School.

It featured greats such as Ben Graham, Joel Greenblatt & Bruce Greenwald.

Today, the internet has made education available to all for FREE!

The top 5 'lectures' by fund managers: 1. Joel Greenblatt of Gotham Capital

A playlist of Joel's lecture at Columbia.

Available for free!

Learn about valuation, special situations, case studies and options.

Jun 19, 2023 11 tweets 3 min read
1/ Home Depot is one of the largest and most successful retailers in the world.

With over 2,000 stores in the US.

A deep-dive into this successful retail powerhouse: Image 2/ Founders Bernie Marcus and Arthur Blank saw a gap in the market in the late 1970s.

The prevalent fragmented system of small hardware stores was inefficient.

They envisioned a one-stop-shop model, revolutionizing the home improvement industry.
Jun 17, 2023 11 tweets 3 min read
1/ The HealthSouth scandal, a classic case of corporate fraud, can teach valuable lessons to investors about spotting financial red flags early.

This story involves the inflated earnings of an ambitious healthcare company, a brazen CEO, and a web of deception. Image 2/ HealthSouth, once among the largest US healthcare providers, fell from grace following an accounting scandal spanning 1996-2002.

CEO Richard Scrushy manipulated the company's accounts to boost earnings by a staggering $1.4 billion.
Jun 16, 2023 8 tweets 2 min read
Platforms like Amazon, Apple, Google, & Microsoft lower transaction costs, reduce search costs, and optimize trade efficiency.

But their value lies not in assets or software but in network and connectivity.

This is a complete breakdown of the platform business model: In the digital platform economy, every new user enhances the experience of another, and platforms grow exponentially after their 'inflection point'.

The snowball effect makes each new user a step towards greater platform value. Image
Jun 10, 2023 10 tweets 2 min read
1/ Just had a deep-dive into an enlightening podcast with Aswath Damodaran, the 'Dean of Valuation.'

Sharing some key takeaways from his insights on business valuation and personal investing strategies.

🧵 Image 2/ The 5 key variables of business valuation, according to Damodaran:

1) Revenue growth,
2) profitability,
3) reinvestment efficiency,
4) discount rate, and
5) failure risk.

Growth, he says, only adds value when achieved efficiently.
Jun 1, 2023 25 tweets 10 min read
First time seeing Buffett and Munger LIVE.

This meeting was amazing & I took away a lot.

In this thread, I will share my key lessons from the shareholders meeting

+ How to make the most of your Omaha trip
+ Complete list of events happening
+ What I wish I had done differently Image The duo spoke extensively about the current banking crisis.

Even though the FDIC limit is $250k.

The U.S. government is unlikely to let depositors lose money.

Sure, the stockholders and debt holders would lose money.

But the government will cover beyond $250k. Image
May 3, 2023 8 tweets 3 min read
Charlie Munger only invests in 3 holdings:

Berkshire, Costco, and Li Lu's fund.

He entrusted a portion of his investments to Li Lu and called him a genius.

Here's what Li Lu says about defining your Circle of Competence: Image First, let's define the term Circle of Competence.

Your COC is based on your knowledge, specialization & experiences.

Know the boundaries & invest within your circle.

A 1996 letter from Buffett explains what it means to operate within your own COC: Image
Apr 17, 2023 17 tweets 7 min read
Buffett is arguably the best investor in banks.

He explains:

- Why he sold most of his bank holdings
- What caused this banking crisis
- Who's losing their pants

Plus, he talked about Berkshire's recent portfolio moves & more.

Here're my notes from this 160 min interview: Image What caused this banking crisis?

Occasionally, banks do dumb things.

This time, they've mismatch assets in a big way.

They could've covered the risks, but did not. Image