I think this zeros in on a narrow category ("scapegoating"), that is a member of a larger class of phenomena.
In a conversation that with semantic content about anything important, there are two "layers" that are unfolding in parallel:

There's abstracted, literal modeling of a situation.

And there's social-political effects of the speech acts.
Being a "high decoupler" means that you're focused more on the first thing. Being a "low decoupler" means that you focus more on that second thing.
The social-political effects include:
* Implications an interlocutor might draw from a literal statement.
* Implications that ONLOOKERS might draw from an literal statement and actions those implications that motivate (or be used to justify).
* Implications that onlookers or interlocutors don't make themselves, but that they are concerned that OTHERS will make. [This is a big deal.]
* Some tribe being supported by my speech act, and some tribe being criticized, and the associated reactions (defensive/ triggered, smug, proud) in both interlocutor and onlooker.
* The directions in which a speech act shifts the local overton window.
* The bucket errors you might make YOURSELF, if you accept some point which seems correct but also seems suspicious somehow.

lesswrong.com/posts/EEv9JeuY…
There's a kind of nerd who is denigrating of "all that tribal stuff". They read that arguments are soldiers, thought that that was obviously stupid, it just gets in the way of effective truth-seeking, and they were not going to do that.

lesswrong.com/tag/arguments-…
(This is often the default attitude of young, somewhat naive, nerds. But there are also some more sophisticated folks who endorse some some version of this policy.
@robinhanson seems to me to be a sophisticated exemplar of something like this attitude.
@robinhanson For instance, his "Against Disclaimers" explicitly endorses a policy of not bothering with or attempting to make accommodations fro (at least some of) social political effects.
overcomingbias.com/2008/06/agains…
@robinhanson I don't know him as well, but I think that @zackmdavis's deal is repeatedly standing up for something like "God Damn it, let's just say what's true, independently of the social-political connotations.")
@robinhanson @zackmdavis There is absolutely something admirable about the that attitude.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis For one thing, it seems strongly connected, somehow, with ability to reason. Everyone I know who can think is a default high-decoupler, and the people who are the most impressive thinkers tend to be even more extremely so.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis (I can think of one example of a person who's ability to think is impressive, and who seems to be only a medium-high decoupler.

And I admit the possibility that the correlation between decoupling and ability-to-think is mostly a artifact of my filter bubble.)
@robinhanson @zackmdavis But also, I think the nerd who denigrates "all that tribal stuff", is failing to take the problem seriously enough. But also, I think the nerd who denigrates "all that tribal stuff", is failing to take the problem seriously enough.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis It isn't like "that tribal stuff" is epiphenomenal. There are actual cultural-political battles being waged, with actual stakes. Who wins what battles actually impacts people's lives.

(At least some of the time.) Image
@robinhanson @zackmdavis I think the straw-LessWronger is imagining that everyone else is treating arguments as soldiers because they're irrational.

But it's closer to "everyone else is treating arguments like soldiers BECAUSE they're instrumentally rational.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis They have interests and their speech acts have consequences for their interests.

Ignoring those consequences is the weird and crazy thing.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis And you can't escape from the fact that your speech acts have consequences by asserting that playing social political games is bad collective epistemology.

It really IS bad epistemology. But you have to track that ignoring those games is deciding to eat a big cost.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis (At least for most people. For nerds the costs might be lower.

But, I think in general, nerds are nerds not because they don't care about the social-political stuff (though they're often bad at it), but because they care about other things MORE.)

paulgraham.com/nerds.html Image
@robinhanson @zackmdavis I think it is not just psychologically unrealistic to ignore the social-political level of our discourse.

It's pragmatically unrealistic.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis I'm not sure if, on net, you get worse results this way. Truth-tracking is just really powerful.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis But, at minimum, I know that you'll be a less effective communicator if you ignore this level, because most everyone you talk to, including other nerds, will be responding to you at least in part on the social-political level.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis My contention: if you attend to the social-political level, it increases your ability to think, individually and collectively, at the literal semantic level.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis You don't have to ignore the social political effects of speech. You can, at least in some contexts, factor it out.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis Language has a lot of expressive power. Much (maybe most?) of the time, it is possible to make nuanced statements, and be attentiveness to people's interests in such a way that you can model a situation on the literal level without "leaking" meaning on the social-political level.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis You can skillfully say X in a way that doesn't trigger a hyper-vigilant reaction from one of the interests of the other parties involved.
@robinhanson @zackmdavis If all of the pressing concerns are held, then you can all, creatively work to understand the situation and figure out how to meet everyone's needs.

You side-step the political battle.

musingsandroughdrafts.wordpress.com/2018/12/24/usi…
@robinhanson @zackmdavis (By the way, I'm quite impressed with these people, and this process, for doing exactly that. convergentfacilitation.org)
@robinhanson @zackmdavis The part that @diviacaroline liked of the conversation that I had with Jack last year is a good example of this.

@robinhanson @zackmdavis @diviacaroline The problem is that anything like this requires extremely high bandwidth.

And we're living in a low bandwidth world.

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More from @EpistemicHope

13 Aug
I want to add some clarification here, because the way I phrased this makes it sound like I'm insisting on ambition in a partner, which is not quite right.
The main thing is that a causal outsider might think "there must be lots of EA women who are like, and who might want to date, Eli."

And there's a mistake here, which is reading most EAs as doing pretty much the same thing as me.

Which is not how I conceptualize it at all.
There is a foundational thing that I share with EA culture, which is something like a desire to help + basic quantitative reasoning + the idea that we should check that our "helping" actually helps.
Read 53 tweets
12 Aug
I was talking with someone about why most EAs are not a good romantic match for me, and I said "well, for one thing, most of them are not ambitious enough."

I had to clarify that when I said "ambitious", I didn't mean "aiming to get a prestigious high paying, conventional job."
It was disheartening to me to realize that what most people mean by the world "ambitious" is something that I consider somewhere between boring and pathetic, because I had been previously thinking that it was a key-word that filters for part of what I care about.
The thing I care about is something more like "in whatever you're trying to do, refusing to be satisfied with the level of success that is typical, or that others of expect of you."
Read 10 tweets
8 Aug
If you’re calling it “overthinking”, then you’re doing it wrong.
I have some annoyance at people who assume that thinking A LOT, about something simple, means that you’re overthinking it.

It seems to me, that this could equally mean that THEY’re bad at thinking, and so can’t imagine how doing more of it would help.
OK. So this tweet was coming from a place of annoyance, But phrasing it like that, I feel compassion for people that don’t know how to think well enough for it to be a useful thing to do.
Read 5 tweets
8 Aug
Yeah, exactly this.

The Powers That Be actually DO regularly lie to us “for our own good”. I’m very sympathetic to not trusting them, because I don’t, and I think one mostly shouldn’t.
The vaccines appear to be genuinely super great (+1 humanity!).

But unless you can read the stats (which apparently most people can’t), all you have to go on is whether or not you trust the Powers That Be and what your friends are doing.

3
Read 5 tweets
6 Aug
People in my circles sometimes talk about "civilizational collapse" or "civilizational decay" or "decay of societal fabric".

It sure seems like there's a real thing here, but when people use those words, I usually don't know what they mean.
As a starting point for discussion, what are some concrete indicators of more or less severe decay?

Some that occur to me [in no particular order]:
- No “sophisticated” [operationalize] international supply chains.
- The US government/society can’t respond effectively to COVID.
- The US government can’t keep law and order. To the extent that people are safe from crime, it’s because they pay tribute to gangs.
- Some largish percentage of the population considers the US government to be illegitimate.
Read 9 tweets
5 Aug
Hm. This was a bit eye-opening.

My personal experience of Berkeley is not this.

There has been a notable increase in homeless people on the streets this year, but they don't bother me, so far at least.
I've talked with some of them, and they seem like non-threatening, moderately interesting, people.

Not exactly "normal", but not threatening.

Like a guy with a dog, who has a hobby of making jewelry, who sleeps in a tent on the sidewalk. He seems chill.
I don't feel worried about crime.

I was minorly baffled to read Scott make a joke about how in SF crime is legal, in ACX, today. I guess this is what he was talking about?

But this is news to me. (Not surprising since, as noted recently, I don't read news.)
Read 10 tweets

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