Bjorn Lomborg Profile picture
Aug 8, 2021 8 tweets 5 min read Read on X
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:

In 1972, half a century ago, Maurice Strong, first UN Environment Programme director warned that

the world had just 10 years to avoid catastrophe

arkivet.dn.se/sok/?searchTer… Image
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:

In 1982, Tolba, head of UN Environment Programme told the world that it had just 18 years before

an environmental catastrophe as irreversible as any nuclear holocaust

timesmachine.nytimes.com/timesmachine/1… Image
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:

In 1989, a senior UN official warns Associated Press that we have to fix climate change by 1999

or climate change goes beyond human control

web.archive.org/web/2020111300… Image
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:

In 1990, Tolba, head of UN Environment Programme told the world must fix global warming before 1995

— Otherwise, we'd lose the climate struggle

Earth Island Journal; Summer 1991, Vol. 6 Issue 3, p38 Image
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:

In 2019, all the greats of the UN met to tell us that we have just 11 years to fix climate

un.org/press/en/2019/… Image
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe

In 2007, head of UN Climate Panel:

If there is no action before 2012, that’s too late

What we do in the next 2-3 years will determine our future. This is the defining moment”

nytimes.com/2007/11/17/sci… Image
Reading many of the answers, it seems depressingly necessary to state that so far we've not been headed towards catastrophe, with ever-higher life expectancy, less poverty, and more education

And we actually die less and less in climate-related disasters
facebook.com/bjornlomborg/p… Image
One more prediction of just ten years left from 53 years ago:

1969, from Secretary-General of the UN, U Thant

from the book Limits to Growth 1972, p17 (let me know if anyone has a link to the original speech) Image

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Bjorn Lomborg

Bjorn Lomborg Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @BjornLomborg

May 12
Dementia risk down by two-thirds over past 40 years

In 1984, nearly 1 in 3 people in their late 80s had dementia

By 2024, it’s down to just 1 in 10

Data for US, but similar in Sweden, the Netherlands, the UK, and France

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…, free: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12…Image
Dementia risk down by two-thirds over past 40 years

Possible explanations, smoking⬇️ and education⬆️, along with better nutrition and better management of hypertension, cholesterol, and depression

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…, free: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12…Image
Dementia risk down by two-thirds over past 40 years

— with no slowdown at the end of the 40-year period

So when you hear that the future will bring a tsunami of dementia because there will be many more old people, it ignores that each person will likely be less at-risk

(A bit like the 1970s worried about a tsunami of cancer, but age-adjusted death risks are down)

jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/…, free: pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC12…Image
Read 4 tweets
May 2
Textbook climate deception:

Lancet report blames climate for tens of thousands of European heat deaths

But hides that increase almost entirely due to an aging population

And ignores cold deaths, which are down much, much more

Refs and documentation in 🧵Image
Textbook climate deception:

Lancet report blames climate for tens of thousands of European heat deaths

But the increase is almost entirely due to an aging population

thelancet.com/journals/lanpu… ihmeuw.org/7jat, population.un.org/wppImage
Textbook climate deception:

Lancet report blames climate for 39,000 European heat deaths

But increase almost entirely due to an aging population

Real scientists show you the age-adjusted risk

(unlike scare-mongering campaigners)

thelancet.com/journals/lanpu…, ihmeuw.org/7jagImage
Read 7 tweets
Oct 30, 2025
Climate professor Michael Mann claims “There is no greater threat to developing nations than the climate crisis”

His claim is wrong in many ways

1) Intuitively wrong. Poor parents across the world worry about hunger, poverty, disease, insecurity, bad education. When your kid could die tonight from an easily curable disease, your priority is not a 0.1°C temperature reduction in a century

Mann quote: edition.cnn.com/2025/10/28/bus…Image
WRONG: Climate professor Michael Mann claims “There is no greater threat to developing nations than the climate crisis”

2) Leaders in low- and middle-income countries find education, employment, peace, and health are at the top of their development priorities, with climate at 12th of 16 issues

docs.aiddata.org/ad4/pdfs/Liste…Image
WRONG: Climate professor Michael Mann claims “There is no greater threat to developing nations than the climate crisis”

3) World Bank’s own surveys show that climate is not high on most countries’ agenda

On average, less than 6% of countries have climate in their top 3 priorities
Image
Read 5 tweets
Sep 2, 2025
The world is burning less, not more

That's contrary to the climate narrative

2025 has seen dramatically less fire in Africa, the Americas, Asia, and Europe

On this trajectory, 2025 could become the lowest-burn year in the 21st century

Did you see this reported anywhere?

Data: from satellites circling the planet 24/7 (MODIS), modis.gsfc.nasa.gov/data/dataprod/…

2025 data from Jan 1-Sept 2 shows 80% as much burned area as normally for same period 2012-24 from Global Wildfire Information System, gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.stat…

Light blue data shows extrapolation on current trajectory to full 2025Image
In 2025, the world is burning less, not more

That's contrary to the climate narrative

2025 has seen extraordinarily little fire in Africa, much less than average, and even less than the minimum, from 2012-24

Did you see this reported anywhere?

Data from Global Wildfire Information System gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.stat…Image
In 2025, the world is burning less, not more

That's contrary to the climate narrative

2025 has seen extraordinarily little fire in the Americas, much less than average, and even less than the minimum, from 2012-24

Did you see this reported anywhere?

Data from Global Wildfire Information System gwis.jrc.ec.europa.eu/apps/gwis.stat…Image
Read 7 tweets
Jun 30, 2025
Awful climate scare

New Nature study claims climate means less food, “like everyone giving up breakfast."

Media even spins "mass starvation"

No, study's small print reveals ever more food, tempered slightly by climate

+ many other issues

The scare is the point

🧵Image
New study claims climate leads to much less food

Reality? "Reduction" is merely a deviation from increasing baseline yields

So, not less food overall, but slightly less of much more food

Still, the researchers tell the "less food" story to the public

nature.com/articles/s4158…Image
New study claims climate means food loss like giving up breakfast

Only true IF agricultural innovation halts today

Preposterous to assume progress stops — global yields up 8% since 2015, 1%+ annually since 1961

The researchers don't believe it, but they tell journalists Image
Read 9 tweets
May 4, 2025
The cheap green lie

You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind just makes electricity more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

iea.org/data-and-stati…Image
The cheap green lie

You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind makes power more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

True for both 2023 and 2019, before Covid and Ukraine

iea.org/data-and-stati…Image
There are no high-solar&wind, low-cost nations

You are told that solar and wind are cheap

But cramming in more solar and wind just makes electricity more and more costly

because solar and wind are worthless when not sunny and windy

iea.org/data-and-stati…Image
Read 4 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(