COVID HOSPITALISATIONS IN THE YOUING
Repeated claims recently suggest more young people are becoming hospitalised with Covid than was the case in Jan 2021. However England's empirical data show otherwise: new hospitalisations in the young reached similar levels in July & Jan. 1/
The BBC, for example, reported recently that, in England, “levels of young adults being admitted to hospital was four times higher than the peak last winter.”
Without additional explanation, this is likely to be misinterpreted by many people. bbc.co.uk/news/health-58… 2/
ONS Covid Insights, 6 Aug '21, shows charts of new hospital admissions by age, pointing out that "Hospital admission rates in those aged under 25 years were at similar level to rates during the peak in January 2021". ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulati… 3/
Data show that hospital admissions 'with Coronavirus' in the young did reach similar levels in July to those in the January 2021 peak. They remain, however - & especially in children - far lower than in older age groups; so much so that one has to zoom in to see them. 4/
What was different in July was that new hospitalisations in older people were far lower than in January.
Admissions in the young were not higher in absolute terms than they were in January. They were higher only as a % of a far lower total. Important to understand that. 5/
The risk of hospitalisation with Covid varies enormously with age. Charts here show weekly rates per 100,000 people for England. Again, the risk to young people (& especially children) is extremely low; so much so that, as before, one has zoom in to see it. 6/
While no one suggests that the risk of hospitalisation with Covid is zero, England data (as at w/e 1 Aug 2021) show that: 1) The risk to young people was not higher in July than in the January 2021 peak. 2) The risk to young people - & particularly children - remains very low. 7/
[Analysis, opinions & errors my own.]
8/
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unvaccinated = no vaccination or vaccinated less than 21 days ago.
Oh dear.
As we saw in March'20 & many times since, no matter how impressive a model looks, if the fundamental assumptions & parameters are wrong, then the results will be WRONG - perhaps catastrophically wrong...
"Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status and uncertain effectiveness of Covid-19 vaccination"
Our paper here discusses the issue of miscategorisation, along with other aspects:
This thread discusses the healthy vaccinee effect, a commonly claimed reason for one of the vaccine's more 'magical' properties, in which, put simply, unvaccinated people appear to die more when other people get vaccinated...
Despite living through the greatest lesson in recent history on the dangers of tyranny, centralisation, hubris, technocracy, over-reliance on 'experts',...
...We not only continue the same mistakes but aspire to make far (far) bigger ones!
❓What is really going on here? 3/4
"Official mortality data for England suggest systematic miscategorisation of vaccine status &uncertain effectiveness of C19 vaccination"
Our paper now includes the 'healthy vaccinee' effect, which we find does not explain the non-Covid mortality anomalies. dx.doi.org/10.13140/RG.2.…
Logically, whether the healthy vaccinee hypothesis is incorrect or correct, the implications are the same: Something is causing significant anomalies in the data. Claims made on the basis of those data are therefore highly questionable.
Dramatic increases in non-Covid mortality are observed in the unvaccinated population following dose 1 rollout & in dose 1 recipients following dose 2 rollout.
In plain English, the mortality of people who are not vaccinated appears to increase when other people are vaccinated.
NSW Australia "Rules for people who are not fully vaccinated" 15 October 2021
"If you are over the age of 16 years and are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit another person’s place of residence, except in limited circumstances." 1/
"If you are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit a gym or indoor recreation facility." 2/
"If you are not fully vaccinated you cannot visit a recreation facility." 3/
__ONS England & Wales Covid Deaths by Age as % of total Covid deaths, from Jan 2020 to 10 September 2021__
Stacked in this way, only older age groups are visible. This is because the vast majority of Covid deaths occurred in older people.
59% were aged 80+
93% were aged 60+ 1/
Zooming in 10x, the chart now shows age groups which, in total, account for ~10% of all Covid deaths. (Older groups have been greyed out for clarity.)
4.3% of deaths were in people aged under 55.
1.3% were in people under 45 years old. 2/
At 100x zoom, the visible age groups, combined, make up only ~1% of total covid deaths.
0.74% of deaths were in people aged under 40.
0.19% were in people under 30 years old. 3/
Israel Minister of Health explains to Minister of the Interior that the green pass in some places is required only so as to put pressure on the unvaccinated to get vaccinated.
(clip: Israel Channel 12)
English translation in thread below. 1/
Translation:
HER: I suspect that for outdoor restaurants you can remove the green pass.
HIM: I'll tell you, in swimming pools and also restaurants. Epidemiologically it's correct.
HER: Correct.
2/
HIM: The issue is - and I'm telling it to you - our problem is people who don't get vaccinated. We need a bit so that they...
HER: To put pressure on them.
HIM: Otherwise... We won't get out of this.
3/