Tomas Pueyo Profile picture
Aug 9, 2021 18 tweets 6 min read Read on X
If you, like me, are tired of shallow and short-term reporting on China, and need to zoom out, I'd like to tell you a story. It's about an ancient, hidden force influencing its policies today, from Xinjiang to the Pacific, from Tibet to Beijing.
This is the map of China's ethnicities. The main ones are:
Han in the east (brown)
Mongolian in the north (dark pink)
Turkic in the west (light pink)
Tibetan in the south-west (orange)
Thai in the south (yellow)
But most of the people are in the east! In the Han area.
This is so stark that the line that divides the lightly and densely populated areas has a name: it's the Hu line
The area east of the Hu Line represents 43% of the land but hosts 94% of the population.
And the Han represent more than 95% of the population in those populated areas. That's why, overall, the Han account for 94% of the Chinese population!
But why is the area in the east so populated compared to the rest?
Because it's the flattest area, which means it's easy to farm and trade.
It's also the area that has the most rain. The white line here is the line that receives 15 inches of water a year. It divides the west, super dry, and the east, which receives much more than 15 inches
Of all the east, the most fertile area is that flat land to the northeast. It's called the North China Plain, and it receives not one but two rivers born in the Himalayas and Tibetan Plateau.
Unsurprisingly, it's the most fertile area in China.
This is where the Han come from.
More flatlands, rain, and rivers means more people and trade, which means they can conquer the rest of the areas around it over 3000 years.
But why does the rain fall where it falls?
Because winds at that latitude blow from the east, so they take with them all the water from the Pacific. The mountains stop the clouds, sucks all the water, and east of it there's a rain shadow effect and no rain.
So the mountains in the west and the latitude cause the rivers and the rain. But why are there mountains in the west in the first place? Because the Indian plate hits the Eurasian plate
The hit creates the Himalayas closest to India and the Tibetan plateau behind it.
Ok so now we understand why the mountains, but why do they stop so suddenly and the east is so flat?

Because of the Pacific plate! It's going below the Eurasian plate and all the area it has reached is flat on the surface!
How far in does the Pacific plate go? All the way to the... Hu Line!

(This limit is called the North-South Gravity Lineament, and separates from the Hu Line in the south).
So the Indian, Eurasian, and Pacific plate create China's mountains in the west & flatlands in the east
The latitude brings winds, which bring water
The relationship of both create rivers, rain, and flatlands
Those create fertile lands
The most fertile of which was the Han's
That's why the Hans were the most powerful, and why they spread.

So a better way to understand China is as the geologically-blessed Han country, defending itself by building non-Han buffers around it. For Beijing, China is the brown area, and the other colors are its defenses.
How did this drive China's history? Their current policies? Their future?

Much more in this week's article.

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More from @tomaspueyo

May 1
Two shocking events from last week unmasked eco-terrorists disguised as environmentalists:

1. The Philippines banned golden rice, condemning thousands of children to blindness and death
2. German Greens lied to closed nuclear plants

This is what happened and how to reverse it: Image
1. Golden Rice Ban
Golden Rice has added vitamin A over 100,000 children every year and turns blind over 100,000 more

Golden Rice has additional vitamin A, and eliminates that problem Image
But Greenpeace got a Filipino court to ban it. Why?
The court says "there's not enough evidence". But there is, proven by safety tests from countries like the US, Canada, and NZ. It is just like rice, except with more Vit A

So why do they say that?

reason.com/2024/04/25/gre…
Read 13 tweets
Apr 27
You think housing prices will keep going up because you've seen it all your life. But this is a historic anomaly that is likely to reverse soon: Prices might start shrinking in many places.

This thread is the case against investing in housing: Image
Our perception of real estate prices is extremely biased.
Most ppl alive today have only experienced them since WW2, but that's a completely anomalous period!

Prices before did not grow as much. Here are real prices for 14 countries
What happened?

Supply and demand
The last 80 years have seen a growth of housing demand never seen before. At the same time, supply has been shrinking consistently. These trends are all reverting now. Let's look at them in detail:
Read 24 tweets
Apr 23
Why do Jamaicans speak English, when most of its neighboring countries don’t?
Why was the pirate capital there?
Why is it underwater now?
Why did pirates drink rum?
Why are most Jamaicans black?

This map of shipping lanes today gives you a hint:
Jamaica is in the middle of all these shipping lanes, but isn't a major shipping hub today

This is not new: Back in Spanish colonial times, Jamaica was not in the main trade routes either Image
Spain's main goods were silver from Mexico and Peru and luxury goods from China
Spaniards gathered them in Panama, Portobello, Cartagena, and Veracruz
Ships arrived from Spain to Puerto Rico and left via Habana (Cuba)
Jamaica was not a main port
Why? Image
Read 28 tweets
Apr 3
This machine makes fuel from thin air
It's carbon neutral
And it does this at record-low costs
Energy and the environment will look completely different in 10 years
Here's why: 🧵 Image
The problem with fossil fuels today is not that we burn them, it's where they come from: They had been locked in the ground for millions of years and now they're back in the atmosphere. The pbm is the "fossil", not the "fuels"

If we make fuels out of thin air, we can burn them Image
How can we do it?

Natural gas is mostly methane (CH4)
You just need some energy to force some carbon (C) to bing to hydrogen (H)

Carbon can come from air (CO2)
Hydrogen can come from water (H2O)
The energy can come from the sun (solar panels)

That's what @TerraformIndies does Image
Read 11 tweets
Apr 1
This video of the Rock of Gibraltar gives an intuition for why some areas of the world have deserts next to rainforests

What's happening here?
How can you use that to predict where there will be deserts or rainforests?🧵
Look at the map below: In some places, deserts and lush forests are side by side. Why?

The mountain chains between them Image
The effect is called the Rain Shadow:
• Air comes wet from the sea
• As it hits mountains, it goes up
• Higher altitudes are cooler, so the air cools
• That condenses water (like the droplets on you Coke glass)
• Rain falls
• Air is dry past the mountains Image
Read 21 tweets
Mar 8
Egyptian pyramids are not where they're supposed to be. Why?
Why is Cairo, the biggest African city, where it is today?
Alexandria?
Why do over 100M Egyptians live so densely clustered?
These questions all have the same answer. Look:
1st map: population density
2nd map: satellite
The "flower" is the inhabited part of Egypt, which is basically the NileImage
Image
It makes sense: outside of the Nile, Egypt is like the rest of the Sahara desert, an inhospitable hell for humans Image
Read 24 tweets

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