Giulio Mattioli Profile picture
Aug 10, 2021 14 tweets 4 min read Read on X
If you know Germany you know that it's pretty common, almost 'common sense', to claim that Germany is doing better than other countries re: climate & environment.

Journalist here calls it an "undisputed climate leader"

But how much truth there is to it?

THREAD with figures
I use figures from EEA for greenhouse gas emissions per capita in various sectors for 2019

I compare DE with other large EU countries + UK, as well as the EU+UK average

I use per capita figures because DE is larger than other countries
eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/…
I use data for 2019, and not relative reduction data because if:

- your emissions were very high
- you have reduced them more than others (in relative terms)
- but they're still higher than others in absolute terms

to me you're not a *leader*, you're just converging
Total emissions (including aviation): higher in Germany than in all other countries considered here except Poland.

Look at the difference with France!
Now sector by sector.

ENERGY INDUSTRIES: again, second behind Poland. And look at the difference with France.
IRON AND STEEL

Germany has by far the highest emissions of all countries considered. More than twice their values.
TRANSPORT

Here the differences between countries are less pronounced (everyone sucks at transport & climate) but Germany still wins. As in: highest per capita emissions of the bunch.
OTHER (ENERGY) SECTORS (commercial/institutional, residential, agricultural/forestry/fishing. Highest emissions for Germany.
'OTHER OTHER' (ENERGY) SECTORS

Germany is middle of the pack
INDUSTRIAL PROCESSES AND PRODUCT USE

Germany has the highest emissions per capita.
AGRICULTURE

Germany is middle of the pack - France does much worse.
WASTE MANAGEMENT

That's where Germany does much better than other countries - half or less than half their emissions.
So to sum up:

- Germany has higher total emissions per capita than other major European countries
- in 4 sectors, it's got the highest emissions
- it's got the lowest emissions in just 1 sector (waste management)
So Germany be proud of your waste management (and other things you've done right) but don't let it go to your head.

The case for Germany being a "climate leader" *on the whole* is weak at best.

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More from @giulio_mattioli

May 14
To me the most striking thing in this chart is how much the Italian saving rate has *declined* over time: from nearly three times as much as the UK in 2000 to less than the UK today
And if you know the Italian social system, you know how much of it is based on household savings. Middle-class parents save their whole life to buy a dwelling for their children one day. Young people stay home & save for said dwelling rather than renting, etc.
Parents (and sometimes grandparents) use their savings to support children & grandchildren who find themselves unemployed - because no, many/most of them have no right to unemployment benefits or minimum guaranteed income.
Read 6 tweets
Apr 16
So the German government has now officially agreed to ditch sectoral emission reduction goals.

Does this mean that transport is now off the hook?

In the short term, maybe, in the long term I believe the opposite will happen (THREAD)
In Germany as in the rest of Europe, we are reducing emissions in other sectors while not reducing them (and sometimes even increasing them) in the transport sector.

So each year transport accounts for a higher share of total emissions ⬇️
I think this means that the climate debate and the transport debate will progressively become *conflated*. Most of the climate debate will be about cars and planes.

Excuses such as "Let's pick some other low-hanging fruit!" or "Let's do nuclear instead!" won't cut it.
Read 5 tweets
Feb 14
Fascinating from last week

#Dortmund Police tweets that elderly woman died after being ran over twice on pedestrian crossing

Gets asked if they intend to introduce more controls / cameras

The reply is something out of a textbook on car dependence. Or on how not to do PR Image
You can see the exchange for yourselves here
It gets worse: when asked whether they intend to implement measures to prevent such deaths from happening in the future, this is the police's reply. Note that the woman died *on a pedestrian crossing*
Image
Read 7 tweets
Nov 8, 2023
The astonishingly rapid rightward & xenophobic lurch of the German political debate over the last few weeks

A THREAD to which I am afraid I will keep adding

1) 20.10.23
2) 22.10.23

The leader of the Conservatives (first in the polls) Image
3) 05.11.23

A Liberal MP proposes to drastically reduce the rights to political participation, right of assembly / freedom of association for non-EU foreign residents
Read 5 tweets
Sep 20, 2023
Every time car fuel prices go up - whether for taxes or wars - everyone seems to know exactly who suffers the most.

But which areas of Germany are most vulnerable to fuel price increases?

THREAD on my contribution to the Agora Verkehrswende & DLR report on transport poverty Image
(the report is available here) agora-verkehrswende.de/veroeffentlich…
We built on an established approach that sees vulnerability to fuel price increases as the product of:

1⃣ (high) exposure = high car use
2⃣ (high) sensitivity = low income
3⃣ (low) adaptive capacity = lack of alternatives to car use, car dependence
Read 14 tweets
Jun 20, 2023
Incredibly ill-informed take on car dependence & inequality by "the leading progressive political and cultural magazine in the United Kingdom"

DEBUNKING THREAD
[disclaimer: the full article is behind paywall so I am commenting on what's in the thread. There's more than enough wrong stuff there already though]
Are low-income and ethnic minority groups more car dependent than others?

This argument would be misguided for most countries, but it's *particularly wrong for the UK*. Let's see why
Read 20 tweets

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