Josh Wolfe Profile picture
Aug 10, 2021 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
1/ A few select excerpts from Lux Q2 letter to LPs…

“The best hedge against running out of cash—is raising it”
2/
-“Question your teaspoon”

-“While many talk of discouraging ‘conflicts of interest’
few appreciate and encourage ‘interest in conflicts’

-The Binary (dichotomous, stark contrasts)
-The Blur (dialectic, smooth continnum)
3/ “We don’t mistake for genius what is partly attributable to central banks buying …driving rates low…and raising asset prices”

“Means may move (upward) but a reversion to the mean (downward) may move away people’s means….
4/
“Eventually the proverbial bath water will turn from TAINTED to TOXIC
& babies may not just be thrown out with the bathwater––but forcibly hurled”

The effect will eventually be the cause of low returns

We know that eventually “eventually” will arrive—but not when “when” will
5/ Lux is increasingly backing entrepreneurs hailing from—or building—overseas…

London, Dublinm Berlin…

The sun hits first and the day starts ahead in Europe—as do many trends from hairstlyes (via soccer stars) to regulatory watchdog decrees (from GDPR to new AI regs)…
6/ Decentralizing + Recentralizing
-Mechanical fans moved off our computers and en masse into server farms
indentured servitude of machines of loving grace

on China v US
-Dependence demands concessions + compromises
-Independence supplies indifference + comprises self-reliance

• • •

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More from @wolfejosh

Nov 23
1/ New Lux quarterly letter to LPs...

Our theme? Tech, venture, global markets told in...

...Four parables of Four brothers
1 Prometheus
2 Menoetius
3 Epimetheus
4 AtlasImage
2/ The The Prometheus Promise––is Extending Human Limits what we call extensionalism

technology is not just augmenting our natural senses, but fundamentally extending and transforming them inImage
Image
3/ From sight, sound, touch, hearing and now…smell.

Technology extends our senses (“extensionalism”) with many Lux family co’ leading the way from

@physical_int + CTRL-Labs + Auris Surgical Robotics (touch)
@EikonTX + @Matterport (sight)
Chromatic (hearing)
@Osmo_Labs (smell)Image
Read 17 tweets
Nov 18
1/ 🏦 America needs an experienced wise and smarter than other global finance heads so he can outsmart them––a Treasury Secretary who puts 🇺🇸 first.

A leader who gets tariffs, trade, & turning the tide back in our favor.

SCOTT BESSENT is definitely THAT guy.

Here’s why: 🧵
2/ Scott understands tariffs aren’t just a policy—they’re a POWER MOVE.

While others talk, Scott will make sure unfair trade practices PAY UP.

He’s about winning for American workers and businesses.
3/ His America First agenda isn’t just talk

Scott’s built relationships across the globe, not to placate but to DOMINATE

He knows our adversaries + allies––they respect him.

He knows how to leverage deals to bring foreign $$ into the U.S. & keep it flowing into OUR economy💪
Read 9 tweets
Nov 17
1/ 🛡️ The FUTURE of WARFARE isn’t a “revolution” but an evolution—a mix of drones, AI, and smart strategy. What’s the playbook for Taiwan, Ukraine, and beyond?

A quick high-level dive📡Image
2/ 🛰️ The Gulf War heralded stealth, precision, & GPS.

Today, uncrewed systems (drones) + AI define the battlefield. But there are limits. Attrition wars teach hard lessons. Image
3/ 🔥 UKRAINE's lessons for TAIWAN:

Drones disrupt but aren’t invincible.

Customized kamikaze drones carry ~5kg payloads, fly ~19km + force adversaries to spend $$$ on defense.

Cheap beats fancy (sometimes). Image
Read 12 tweets
Jun 25
Some (first in history) news tomorrow…
2/ More than 3.5 billion years ago, life on Earth emerged from chemical reactions.

Nature invented RNA, proteins, and DNA, the core molecules of life, and created the ribosome, a molecular factory that builds proteins from instructions in the genome.
3/ Proteins are wondrous dynamic molecules with incredible FUNCTIONS

-molecular engines powering motion
-photosynthetic machines capturing and converting to energy
-scaffolding building skeletons of cells
-complex sensors interacting with environment
-information processing systems running the programming operating system of life
Read 22 tweets
May 21
1/ Quick thread 🧵important new paper 📜from @sfiscience on the THERMODYNAMICS of COMPUTATION...

Ever wondered why your gadgets get warm after using them for a while? As with cells🧫, brains🧠 and laptops💻––it's all about energy use and heat🔥.... Image
2/ The key is "stopping times". In biology a cell might stop making a protein once it triggers a reaction from another cell. In simulations like a coin-flipping it may be once it reaches a set number of flips...Image
3/ Estimates are that computers use 5-9% of global energy (AI will only increase this📈). Biological systems on the other hand are 100,000x more energy-efficient...
Read 6 tweets
May 19
1/ NEW–– just released.

Lux Q1 2024 Letter to LPs… Image
2/ Themes:

1. Riskgaming
2. Possible adjacencies + the ADJACENT POSSIBLE
3. Build your cash position for tuck-in M&A
4. Prepare for rising cost of capital (and a lot less of it)…
5. Moravec Paradox––what’s easy is hard and what’s hard is easy Image
3/ Lux family companies including @anduriltech , @SakanaAILabs, @togethercompute, @VardaSpace, @AppliedInt have raised war chest balance sheets…

watch for rising cost of capital, more powerful labor unions… Image
Read 8 tweets

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