1/ A few select excerpts from Lux Q2 letter to LPs…
“The best hedge against running out of cash—is raising it”
2/
-“Question your teaspoon”
-“While many talk of discouraging ‘conflicts of interest’
few appreciate and encourage ‘interest in conflicts’
-The Binary (dichotomous, stark contrasts)
-The Blur (dialectic, smooth continnum)
3/ “We don’t mistake for genius what is partly attributable to central banks buying …driving rates low…and raising asset prices”
“Means may move (upward) but a reversion to the mean (downward) may move away people’s means….
4/ “Eventually the proverbial bath water will turn from TAINTED to TOXIC
& babies may not just be thrown out with the bathwater––but forcibly hurled”
The effect will eventually be the cause of low returns
We know that eventually “eventually” will arrive—but not when “when” will
5/ Lux is increasingly backing entrepreneurs hailing from—or building—overseas…
London, Dublinm Berlin…
The sun hits first and the day starts ahead in Europe—as do many trends from hairstlyes (via soccer stars) to regulatory watchdog decrees (from GDPR to new AI regs)…
6/ Decentralizing + Recentralizing
-Mechanical fans moved off our computers and en masse into server farms
indentured servitude of machines of loving grace
on China v US
-Dependence demands concessions + compromises
-Independence supplies indifference + comprises self-reliance
• • •
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1/ 🛡️ The FUTURE of WARFARE isn’t a “revolution” but an evolution—a mix of drones, AI, and smart strategy. What’s the playbook for Taiwan, Ukraine, and beyond?
A quick high-level dive📡
2/ 🛰️ The Gulf War heralded stealth, precision, & GPS.
Today, uncrewed systems (drones) + AI define the battlefield. But there are limits. Attrition wars teach hard lessons.
3/ 🔥 UKRAINE's lessons for TAIWAN:
Drones disrupt but aren’t invincible.
Customized kamikaze drones carry ~5kg payloads, fly ~19km + force adversaries to spend $$$ on defense.
2/ More than 3.5 billion years ago, life on Earth emerged from chemical reactions.
Nature invented RNA, proteins, and DNA, the core molecules of life, and created the ribosome, a molecular factory that builds proteins from instructions in the genome.
3/ Proteins are wondrous dynamic molecules with incredible FUNCTIONS
-molecular engines powering motion
-photosynthetic machines capturing and converting to energy
-scaffolding building skeletons of cells
-complex sensors interacting with environment
-information processing systems running the programming operating system of life
1/ Quick thread 🧵important new paper 📜from @sfiscience on the THERMODYNAMICS of COMPUTATION...
Ever wondered why your gadgets get warm after using them for a while? As with cells🧫, brains🧠 and laptops💻––it's all about energy use and heat🔥....
2/ The key is "stopping times". In biology a cell might stop making a protein once it triggers a reaction from another cell. In simulations like a coin-flipping it may be once it reaches a set number of flips...
3/ Estimates are that computers use 5-9% of global energy (AI will only increase this📈). Biological systems on the other hand are 100,000x more energy-efficient...
1. Riskgaming 2. Possible adjacencies + the ADJACENT POSSIBLE 3. Build your cash position for tuck-in M&A 4. Prepare for rising cost of capital (and a lot less of it)… 5. Moravec Paradox––what’s easy is hard and what’s hard is easy
3/ Lux family companies including @anduriltech , @SakanaAILabs, @togethercompute, @VardaSpace, @AppliedInt have raised war chest balance sheets…
watch for rising cost of capital, more powerful labor unions…