EVs are representing increasingly more of passenger vehicle sales in the 3 largest auto markets: China, US, and Europe. China & Europe EV markets are growing much faster than in the US.
2/ Focusing on those leading markets, how is Tesla's market share fairing? Well, since $TSLA opened its factory in Shanghai, it has overall been losing market share in the growing Chinese NEV market.
3/ Now, many would be quick to point out that may be caused by Tesla exporting vehicles from China to Europe this year. However, Tesla isn't gaining market share in that market, either. It's fair to say Tesla is maintaining ~5% share in the European NEV market.
4/ To smooth things out, when you look at Tesla's share in the European & Chinese NEV markets on a quarterly basis, Tesla is losing market share in both.
5/ Some may argue that a dominant player in a rapidly growing market would maintain or lose market share as competitors flood the space. The thing is, the largest NEV maker in China is GAINING market share. $BYDDF $BYDDY
6/ How? In 2021 alone, BYD has unveiled 10 new EVs and deliveries of 6 have already started. This isn't to say BYD has superior tech and stronger brand recognition in China, but it does offer a full lineup of EVs, whereas Tesla is only in the 235k-380k RMB market.
7/ As @Real_Jack_Shea said earlier this year, Tesla needs more models in its lineup, especially as the Chinese and European markets are becoming increasingly saturated with multiple new models from EV startups and legacy automakers.
Another DeepSeek moment. This is the world’s first actual smart phone. It’s an engineering prototype of ZTE’s Nubia M153 running ByteDance’s Doubao AI agent fused into Android at the OS level. It has complete control over the phone. It can see the UI, choose/download apps, tap/type, call, and run multi-step task chains.
Here I just say (in English) “find someone to wait in line for me” (something you can do in China), and it picks which app to open, configures the job, and hands me one confirm screen. I wouldn’t otherwise know how to do this, and here the phone just did it in a matter of seconds.
This isn’t a chat overlay, it’s a true multimodal agent. It has the brand-new Snapdragon 8 Elite Gen 5 with 16GB RAM, so it can push a lot of the agentic workload on-device. Here I take a picture of a NIO battery swap station and ask, “What is this thing?” It’s running ByteDance’s Doubao model (>175M users in China): a massive, sparse MoE model with full text+vision support. It recognizes the infrastructure from the photo, grounds it to NIO’s network, and explains what it does.
Here you see the cloud + on-device split very cleanly. Doubao handles the semantics: from a single hotel entrance photo it figures out which hotel this is, that I want to book tonight, and that it will need to check the hotel’s pet policy.
Then ZTE’s 7B Nebula-GUI model (a vision model trained to understand screens) running locally on the Snapdragon 8 Elite drives the UI like a human: it picks Ctrip app, opens it, fills in dates, finds cheapest rate, reads the hotel policy on pets, and informs me I can bring a dog.
I’m at the Bay Area Semiconductor Expo in Shenzhen. A company called Qiyunfang, a subsidiary of 新凯来 (SiCarrier), just unveiled two fully domestic EDA software platforms: one for schematic and one for PCB design. Yet another Made in China 2025 success.
For context, EDA (electronic design automation) is the software backbone of chip and circuit design. Trump 2.0 tried to cut China off from it in March, forcing Cadence, Synopsys, and Siemens to halt China sales. But just weeks later, Washington quietly reversed course and lifted the ban. Then last week, Trump said the U.S. will impose export controls on “any and all critical software,” so assume EDA again. Turns out a secret team in Shenzhen had already created a solution: every core component, every bit of IP, all built domestically.
The theory in Washington was simple: if China can’t use U.S. EDA tools, it can’t design competitive chips or even advanced boards. It was meant to be another choke point on China’s entire hardware ecosystem.
Ok I can now tweet about it, the most advanced car in history is about to be unveiled. Live thread below.
This car is a really big deal for Wang. It packs so many innovations, many of his personal long-term dreams. Yangwang U7 (prototypes) has been his personal daily driver for the last year, so he is really excited. He sounds sick, probably nervous! He has had a busy month!
Here are some of the crazy examples of the tech this car is debuting
BYD just unveiled its DiSus-Z Intelligent Suspension System, debuting on the Yangwang U7. Here are five crazy examples.
1. Negative roll test maintains stability through corners
2. Active defense test
DiSus-Z is a fully electric, next-gen suspension system that replaces traditional hydraulic dampers with four highly integrated suspension motors. It can preempt side collisions by milliseconds, rapidly lifting the chassis on the impacted side to protect passengers
3. Rough terrain test
DiSus-Z can maintain remarkable stability over rough terrain, minimizing body shake and making bumpy roads feel smooth. By eliminating hydraulic fluid and directly actuating each wheel, DiSus-Z drastically reduces energy transmission losses.
I’m headed to Huawei’s Mate 70 launch event in Shenzhen (yes, Shenzhen Metro has business class). This phone/chip/OS/event is a really big deal for Chinese tech, and has big implications for US-China relations. Here’s some background.
In May 2019, the US Dept. of Commerce added Huawei and its affiliates to the Entity List, which restricted US companies (and allies) from exporting tech to Huawei. They expected this to cripple Huawei, because it wouldn't be able to acquire any semiconductors made with US tech.
The US govt assumed that by restricting Huawei’s access to cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing equipment, particularly Extreme Ultraviolet (EUV) lithography machines from ASML, the company would be unable to produce cutting-edge chips at process nodes smaller than 10 nm. EUV lithography is crucial for efficiently manufacturing chips at 7 nm and below, utilizing light with a wavelength of 13.5 nm, which enables finer feature resolution with fewer patterning steps.
Here's the most recent satellite image, taken a few days ago. That new structure in the middle (汽车专用作业区) will connect the factory to the Zhengzhou International Land Port, which will be 50km², roughly the size of Manhattan.
The bottom right corner of the image is land being cleared for the Port's rail yard, so you can see how BYD's factory literally attaches to this massive port that will send cars to Europe, from the middle of China. BYD's factory is already way ahead of the port itself.