#CSS AU suspect the rolling panic in Aussie (see bbc.co.uk/news/world-aus… - definition of madness?) hinders share price progress. Story is asset turns improve via more distribution channels & mix (>frozen <fresh) I think it’s an opportunity. Adding - particularly post m&a in space
Biggest beef farmer in Brazil acquires salmon farm is all about a move away from carbon, methane, deforestation into sustainable aquaculture abc.net.au/news/2021-08-0… Skate to where the puck will be. Buy
wcsecure.weblink.com.au/pdf/CSS/024002… this explains why the Aussie line trades at a 12 cent discount to Norway at 57 odd cents. Suspect it bounces strongly. + Sensible move (and flagged at the capital raise) given cost of the convertible
Excellent update wcsecure.weblink.com.au/pdf/CSS/024386… more fish sold at much higher prices equals much much more free cash flow generation. & lifts the hood re growth plans (scale / speed off) Core long - very very cheap. Need to do the work. Very pleased
Stock is #CSS AU - net cash forecast at time of raise (to fund working capital needed for expansion) was $14.7m ….to contextualise degree of best the net cash reported is $24.6m. That’s a helluva off a beat. Will the market get it. Who knows. Patience will out. It’s very cheap
Lots like hunting with the crowd “momentum” some like hunting in the weeds. Am more of the later. Looking for less bad where you need to do the homework, accept your either wrong or just early into an explosive move up as market understand the “change”. I note 1 bulletin board
comment on Hot Copper post the update, nought on Twitter. It is what it is. I think this generates year 2 $35m free cash flow off an EV of $75m. Norwegian peers trade 20* ebitda. Structural growth with ESG kicker / angle.
Ebitda $45m. 20* is $900m. Hair cut by 50% and it’s a 5 bagger from here - for context The Kingfish company quoted Norway trades 3* market cap for 1/15 of production & same growth trajectory. Bonkers 😛 Well worth some homework. Compare and contrast etc

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More from @here_there

11 Oct
I like buying stocks where the valuation is a huge outlier to the sector, sentiment is rock bottom, management have skin in the game (have bought recently) and where the 1st derivative changes (normally less bad) - it’s not full proof and I can be wrong but if you get it correct
then you get multiple expansion and upgrades. #GFRD at 70p was a case in point: I have added to #GETB. First tranche 33p, doubled up 66/67p. Why? It’s on 2* ARR for 12% ARR growth with scope (I think for beats) - it’s a clear standout valuation outlier given all SaaS, management
buy and it’s hated by all. Why? Beyond me but the bear is can they self finance growth. I suggest they can. Cash dynamics of SaaS, investment in own hands and new product where investors (from their armchairs?) have decided they destroy value a) this is how existing 2 businesses
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