The new census results coming out today will reveal an incomplete picture of race and ethnicity in the United States.
I wrote about why the 2020 census, like every earlier count, is producing flawed data: npr.org/2021/08/12/101…
2. While the Census Bureau says the new data is "high quality" & "fit to use for redistricting," there are many complications baked into these new race/ethnicity statistics that I've been tracking — including the pandemic and interference by former President Donald Trump's admin.
3. Here's the backstory you need to know about the new race/ethnicity data the Census Bureau's releasing today:
People of color were likely undercounted in the 2020 census
4. Many households left the race and "Hispanic origin" questions on 2020 census forms unanswered
5. Data about Latinos may be skewed because many people were confused by how the 2020 census forms asked about race/ethnicity
6. Middle Eastern and North African (MENA) origins will be hidden in the race/ethnicity data the Census Bureau's releasing today
7. The racial/ethnic demographics of rural communities and small geographic areas may be obscured by the new privacy protections the Census Bureau's applying to 2020 census redistricting data.
8. A person's racial/ethnic identity can change from census to census & some groups may be "bigger than you would actually see" in one census, @UMNSociology's Carolyn Liebler says (paper by Liebler, Sonya Porter, Leticia Fernandez, James Noon, Sharon Ennis read.dukeupress.edu/demography/art…
@UMNSociology 9. Write-in responses about race and ethnicity in 2020 were categorized differently than in 2010 — and that could increase the number of people recorded in the 2020 results as identifying with more than one racial group
@UMNSociology 10. There are a lot of guesses based on estimates/projections about what the 2020 census data will show about changes to the white population in the U.S.
The thing to keep in mind is it depends a lot on how you define "white"
@UMNSociology 11. Why is all of this flawed race/ethnicity data from the 2020 census important?
For better or worse, it's used to redraw voting districts, enforce antidiscrimination laws, and inform research and policymaking for the next decade.
@UMNSociology 12. Census data — like all other data — does not just appear out in the world waiting to be gathered. It's produced through a series of decisions. And it looks like we're going to have to live with the choices baked into this new race/ethnicity data until after the 2030 census.
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A controversial Census Bureau proposal could shrink the rate of disability in the U.S. by about 40%. Public comments on this potential change are due Tuesday, Dec. 19, but NPR has confirmed there will be another opportunity to give feedback in the spring… npr.org/2023/12/18/121…
2. Public comments on these proposed changes to the disability questions on the American Community Survey can be emailed to acso.pra@census.gov. The bureau tells NPR they are set to be published here before the next public comment period in the spring: regulations.gov/document/USBC-…
3. The bureau says the proposed changes are part of a years-long effort to improve the quality of its disability data and standardize the statistics so they're comparable to other countries' numbers npr.org/2023/12/18/121…
The Supreme Court could upend how federal elections are run across the U.S. if it adopts even a limited version of a once-fringe idea called the "independent state legislature theory."
I wrote about what could happen after SCOTUS rules on Moore v. Harper: npr.org/2023/01/22/114…
A Supreme Court ruling that adopts some version of the “independent state legislature theory” could lead to more lawsuits and bring uncertainty to upcoming elections npr.org/2023/01/22/114…
A Supreme Court ruling that adopts some version of the “independent state legislature theory” could make it easier for state lawmakers to ignore voting rights protected under state law npr.org/2023/01/22/114…
I wrote about a push for the U.S. Supreme Court to change who counts as Black in redistricting.
Republican officials in Louisiana want a narrower definition of Blackness that excludes some Black people & could minimize Black voting power around the U.S. npr.org/2022/10/18/112…
2. A 2003 ruling by SCOTUS after the 2000 census — the first U.S. head count that allowed people to identify with more than one race — set a standard definition of "Black" for voting rights cases focused exclusively on the voting power of Black people. npr.org/2022/10/18/112…
3. That definition of "Black" has included everyone who identifies as Black for the census — including people who mark the boxes for Black and any other racial/ethnic category such as white, Asian & Hispanic/Latino, which federal gov't says is an ethnicity npr.org/2022/10/18/112…
SCOOP: Former President Donald Trump's payroll tax delay last year left a $7 million accounting mess for the Census Bureau, which has been trying to get ~28K former census workers to pay off their debt after giving up trying to collect from ~148K others npr.org/2021/11/05/104…
2. I deleted this earlier tweet that misstated the number of former 2020 census workers from whom the Census Bureau has decided to stop trying to collect unpaid payroll taxes. That number is 147,619 former workers (not ~178K):
3. The Census Bureau was one of many fed agencies the Trump admin directed last year to stop collecting some employees' share of a payroll tax that helps fund Social Security. Trump said it would get "bigger paychecks for working families.” But it’s also an accounting challenge.
I asked the office of Sen. Rick Scott, R-Fla. — who blocked an attempt to confirm Census Bureau director nominee Robert Santos by unanimous consent in October — why Scott said he's concerned Santos will “politicize" the bureau & not serve "in a fair and unbiased fashion"...
2. So far, Scott's office has not provided any evidence that would suggest Santos would “politicize” the Census Bureau and “not perform his duties in a fair and unbiased fashion."
Instead, Scott's communications director, McKinley Lewis, gave this statement by email:
3. I am waiting for any direct response to this follow-up question:
Does Sen. Rick Scott consider Robert Santos not qualified or competent to serve as Census Bureau director? If so, why?
NEW: The 2020 census likely undercounted people of color at rates higher than those of the last count, an @urbaninstitute study finds. That could translate into inequities in political representation & federal funding across the U.S. for the next 10 years npr.org/2021/11/02/104…
@urbaninstitute 2. Important to note: This @urbaninstitute study is *not* an analysis of 2020 census results & doesn't show actual over/undercounts. The estimates are based on a *simulated* census & a method for measuring accuracy that's different from the Census Bureau's urban.org/research/publi…
@urbaninstitute 3. Let's also keep in mind: When people of color are undercounted in the census, it's not just "some" groups who miss out on federal funding and political representation — it's *everyone* living in the local communities and states where there are people of color.