Rules on MREL (minimum requirement for eligible liabilities – eligible = the bond will be screwed if something bad happens) are so complicated, it’s comical.

I won’t go in the details of this nice equation and just mention the farcical situation of UK leverage requirements.
In the UK you have a leverage requirement – like everywhere else. But unlike in the EU (CRR) UK doesn’t count central bank cash in denominator (i.e. exposures). However, the UK MREL also includes a leverage requirement. This is basically 2x the 3.25% leverage requirement + CBR.
But because the UK also implemented the TLAC term sheet, UK banks also have to meet a *second* MREL leverage requirement which is 6.75%+CBR... BUT using CRR (i.e. EU) definitions of leverage, i.e. WITH central bank balances included!
Confused?

This is where it gets really funny.

Because of Covid, central bank balances were temporarily excluded from the leverage ratio in the EU / CRR – but that’s not applied In the UK !

So now the UK has to apply a EU rule… that has been temporarily suspended in the EU!
Santander UK had a nice chart explaining it but I’m fairly confident no one read it 😊 The bit in yellow I underlined is the glorious EU add-on.

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More from @jeuasommenulle

9 Jul
Some people were a bit surprised by those kind of headlines... Well, let me explain. Another ESG thread, not the most cheerful one.

reuters.com/business/susta…
True story, on a no name basis for obv reason.

1. Big asset manager has very successful equity fund.

2. Marketing want to add an ESG label to it, to raise even more money.

3. ESG manager says "no, it would change investment process too much, no go."
4. Marketing has none of it. Let's hire a big 4 consultant.

5. Big 4 looks at fund. Produces a report : if u change universe and use this one instead & if you take this data vendor and not the other one, then your fund is ESG compatible Art 8 SFDR with no investment change
Read 4 tweets
9 Jul
There was something extremely important in ING’s otherwise rather boring pre-close call yesterday.

They said they would lose 120—200m€ m because of…. Greensill! Why is it important? A quick thread.
ING isn’t even remotely connected to Greensill or Gupta.

They didn’t lend any money, nor invest in a fund, nothing.

No, all ING did was to have a 2.5%-ish market share in Germany. So why did they take a hit?
Simply because Greensill Bank (allegedly) did all sort of frauds and went bust.

But, you argue, ING didn’t lend any money to them!

Sure, but Greensill used one of those new “online deposit gatherers” which optimize the deposit guarantee schemes in the EU.
Read 11 tweets
30 Jun
Even if the @EBA_News headlines tries its best, it’s hard to find bad news in their latest risk dashboard on European banks: capital is up, NPLs are down, profitability jumped sharply…
@EBA_News When you think about it, it’s crazy how the Covid fears were exaggerated (more on why below.) I mean, look at this: even the most affected sector only saw a very modest rise in NPLs. A 25% scenario would not have been absurd! We're barely at 9% vs 8% in Q1 2020.
@EBA_News Payment holidays on loans are in freefall, with meaningful # only remaining in Spain, Italy or Portugal.
Read 8 tweets
25 Jun
Long overdue, the thread I promised about ESG investing – mostly personal experience and thoughts.

Remember I mostly invest in fins – but not only.
For many years, the conversation was going like this:

Allocator: do you guys do ESG investing?

Me: Dude, banks have paid 500bn$ in fines since the GFC, so yeah, we kind of look at all the shit they do!
Also me: some banks have gone bust because of dodgy accounting (Alexandria..), because of money laundering, because of bribery, because they lent tens of M€ to the head of their audit committee, etc. So if you don’t do ESG investing with banks, you might as well pick another job
Read 28 tweets
28 May
The Bloomberg story about Credit Suisse & Gupta is insane. A recap. 1/n

A group of commodity trade finance experts (presumably because they had actually read @BondHack) at CS told management Gupta was doing dodgy deals and blacklisted it.
When you know commodity trade finance, the bar for "dodgy deals" is VERY HIGH. E.g. recently ABN disclosed that 100% of its fraud loss experience was in trade finance. It's almost a normal cost of business.
Despite that, CS continued to lend money to Greensill which fund Gupta. This in itself is already crazy. But it doesn't stop there.
Read 8 tweets
24 May
About the odious Belarus scheme to arrest political opponents, I'm intrigued. Was it really illegal? I'm not 100% sure. Maybe @piris_jc
, a real expert on this, has a view?
persee.fr/doc/afdi_0066-…
And before you jump on me:
- not it's not obvious it's illegal because they didn't endanger the plane - and this is what Chicago convention explicitly prohibits.
(Imagine the same story but traveling in a bus - would it be illegal ? No. Sovereignty is a tricky concept...)
- yes it's important to know if it's illegal, because if it's not, then the treaty might need some changes !
Read 4 tweets

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