BDW Profile picture
Aug 12, 2021 11 tweets 4 min read Read on X
We're all likely to get COVID -- vaccinated or not -- and the resulting natural immunity is key to getting this pandemic under control.

These are just a few takeaways from this remarkable, brutally honest, and well-sourced essay.

Let's break it down.

nymag.com/intelligencer/…
Harvard epidemiologist Michael Mina makes the compelling case that we're all going to be exposed to COVID -- regardless of vaccination status.
As he reminds us, the vaccines weren't intended to stop transmission of the virus.

In other words, the "Stop the Spread!" campaign was -- and remains -- a farce.
So, the virus will spread. Including amongst the vaccinated.

But wait. We were told "breakthrough cases" are suppose to be rare. And when they do happen, mild or asymptomatic.

But with Delta, breakthroughs are not rare. And the CDC is lying to "stay on message" & avoid panic.
The epidemiologist shared a story to illustrate the point: his healthy, young, vaccinated brother is very sick.

That's not supposed to happen with the vaccinated, not on the scale he's seeing.
So what comes next if virtually everyone will get COVID?

Good news for the young and middle aged who aren't obese: Severe disease will be rare.
Better news: The resulting natural immunity after infection will build up a "cushion of immunity," for you and the country.

Translation: Our immune systems will do what they're supposed to do.
Bad news: For the elderly & obese -- including those vaccinated -- there will be more sickness. Vaccine efficacy appears to falter at six months post-jab.

(Vaccine boosters are one option, but not the only.)

That could lead to a dangerous winter / fall for this group.
In other words, short term herd immunity is a ways off. A year or two more of suffering.

All because of a virus that originated in China.
UPSHOT: This virus can't be eliminated.

You want to be angry about that? Fine. But don't throw mud at your fellow Americans, vaccinated or otherwise.

Direct your anger where it belongs: the Chinese Government.
My advice:

Keep calm, get active, lose weight, get some sunshine, and carry on.

You want to get vaccinated? Fine. You don't? Fine.

You want to wear a mask? Ok. You don't? Ok.

We'll get through this either way.

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More from @BryanDeanWright

Apr 22
As Washington DC votes to send Ukraine billions more in war aid, let’s talk about what they’re not telling you:

The War is Lost.

Here’s what we know. 🧵
Corruption remains endemic in Ukraine.

Consider this from Zelenskyy’s office last winter: Image
But even if the war materiel doesn’t get stolen or aid taken, there’s a bigger problem:

The US weapons won’t matter because there are too few Ukrainian troops to use them.

The rural men have already been largely slaughtered and urban men are hiding / have fled to Europe. Image
Read 14 tweets
Dec 19, 2022
If you've been vaccinated for COVID, here's some news:

You are 2x / 3x more likely to get infected with COVID than someone who's unvaccinated with natural immunity.

That's a finding from a study of 260K+ people in Indiana, out last Wednesday.
If your child is vaccinated, their immunity from COVID is "considerably less" than kids with natural immunity.
Despite this, the researchers suggest that everyone get vaccinated.

Why? Well, the data allegedly show that vaccinated people end up in the hospital / ER less than the unvaccinated. Ah, but not for COVID-related issues. "All-cause health events," they say.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 10, 2022
At the WH today, Jen Psaki again crowed that the West has crushed the Russian economy.

"Hooray!" you might say.

But if that's your only response, you don't understand the gravity of this moment.

We have declared war on Russia. Are we ready for that?

No. Let me explain.
Whether you think sanctions against Russia are good or bad is irrelevant.

What matters is what Putin thinks. And how he'll respond.
Last Saturday (and again Tuesday), Putin and his regime said clearly that they consider the West's sanctions as a declaration of war.

And that's true. They are. We have.
Read 15 tweets
Mar 4, 2022
No, America should not bomb the Russian convoy approaching Kyiv.

The reason? Spies. In DC.

Let me explain.
To blow up the convoy, America obviously cannot use an overt approach — eg: firing up some A10s listening to Kenny Loggins as they light up some Russians.

That would be a declaration of war. Obviously.
So POTUS would have to lean on the spies and clandestine military operators for a secret operation.

But can they keep that secret?

What are the chances that Russia or their allies — namely China — find out?

Because if they do, it’s WWIII.
Read 7 tweets
Mar 1, 2022
Former CIA guy here.

I’m seeing lots of reports saying “US intelligence says,” and related frothy assessments on Ukraine & Russia.

Here’s why you should be skeptical, and ask questions.
First, where’s the raw intel from?

If human (HUMINT), is it just one person? Multiple people? When did they get the info? Where? How? Have they been vetted? If so, to what extent?

Don’t just assume the CIA / IC knows all this.

Look up “CURVEBALL” and you’ll understand why.
If signals (SIGINT), is it one stream (email) or many (phone, text, etc)? Did native speakers do the translation? Has the info been corroborated by other sources of intel?

Are the targets aware they’re likely being monitored?

Disinformation must be ruled out.
Read 7 tweets
Feb 27, 2022
We’re a few days into the Russia / Ukraine war.

Here’s what I see.
Putin’s fundamental calculus hasn’t changed:

The West is weak — mil & economically. Europe desperately needs his oil & gas. That won’t change for years.

Sanctions are uncomfortable but bearable. He saw more coming, and planned for it.

Ukraine is (still) ripe for the taking.
Putin’s most critical partner — China — remains on board.

The West’s pressure campaign on Beijing is a joke. Biden & Co are corrupt & have little leverage.

Xi will continue to watch, and look for ways to benefit.

Taking Taiwan is tantalizing. But premature as of now.
Read 13 tweets

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