Mozambique
Advisory Note: #SADC do not be held captive with prevailing hype, photo of weapons and arms fades taking into consideration actual capabilities and an occasion of official visits. I
Advisory Note: #SADC do not be held captive with prevailing hype, photo of weapons and arms fades taking into consideration actual capabilities and an occasion of official visits. I
Insurgents are relying on their grandest ally: time. Leaders disclosed nothing new and there are several not mentioned.
Step back and just answer one question: does current "stroll in the park" victories accompanied by skirmishes correlate with what we know about their capabilities and capacities?
Media statements serve a purpose beyond intelligence. Factual detail on actual movements and locations is of utmost importance. For now insurgents have already showed an ability to find a simple escape from tight situations. This is a red-flag.
Pres Nyusi reference to a complex situation in maintaining sustained control is not only a reflection on own capabilities but a heads up for a sustained presence beyond 3 months - irrespective of the rain season drawing nearer.
We all wish for the insurgents wiped out - but we cannot crush four years of unopposed presence in several weeks.
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