Latest Twitter Threads by @Jasminechic00 on Thread Reader App

Oct 11, 2021 • 7 tweets • 3 min read

Mozambique
1) Dear followers, allow me to provide broader context on questions pertaining to funding for SANDF deployment in Cabo Delgado. SAMIM is operational in a vast area with about 1000 soldiers - Macomia, Muidumbe, Mueda, Nangade, and Quissanga.

2) Rwanda deployed in a smaller area, focused on MdP and Palma. Taking the above into account the small numbers of deployments, I cannot see how clearance operations will be completed by January 2022.

Sep 27, 2021 • 10 tweets • 3 min read

Mozambique (Quick Take-Aways on signification trends in Cabo Delgado)
1) Insurgents are reverting to 2017/2018 tactics, with one concerning difference: they are better trained, more sophisticated weapons, and access to FADM planning, allowing pre-emptive planning. The MdP legacy.

2) Assessing the last two months, insurgents are yet again expanding the operational theatre (From Nangade to Quissanga), forcing SAMIM deployments into a battlefield of expansive deployments way beyond capabilities.

Aug 12, 2021 • 6 tweets • 3 min read

Mozambique
Advisory Note: #SADC do not be held captive with prevailing hype, photo of weapons and arms fades taking into consideration actual capabilities and an occasion of official visits. I

Insurgents are relying on their grandest ally: time. Leaders disclosed nothing new and there are several not mentioned.

Aug 12, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read

USA Public Notice 11497:
"Designation of Bonomade Machude Omar as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist".

govinfo.gov/content/pkg/FR…

Jul 21, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read

South Africa
1) Why the need for intelligence? The following is a concise but excellent summary:

2) The next phase, specifically for provincial offices, is to enable accountable operational and analysis environments determining processes at play with concerning indications of intentional securitization and support for such calls.

Jul 19, 2021 • 4 tweets • 2 min read

Securitization of piracy in the Mozambique Channel. A justified narrative or fear mongering?. @GI_TOC evaluates insurgents' "maritime capacity" concluding with risk appraisal.
Map Credit: CIMSEC

Flashbacks to:
1) 25 Dec 2010 - Taiwanese fishing vessel pirated off Madagascar
seanews.com.tr/taiwanese-fish…

Apr 7, 2021 • 6 tweets • 2 min read

Mozambique: Children being recruited, trained by insurgents in north
clubofmozambique.com/news/mozambiqu… July 2020, five girls who had been abducted by insurgents during the attack on Mocimboa da Praia town fled from the camp where they were being held. Once free, they told of men and boys being given military training by the insurgents.
Photo by Laura Monahan

Apr 6, 2021 • 4 tweets • 1 min read

Highly recommended read:
"The messianic promise of a social order, combined with the distribution of concrete benefits, has a seductive effect on vulnerable populations." Note the evolution of a social identity.
omrmz.org/omrweb/publica… Insurgents divide individuals into different functions, ranging from attack and defense activities, reconnaissance, filming and telecommunications, mechanics and nursing or logistics

Nov 25, 2020 • 5 tweets • 2 min read

Mozambique/Tanzania
Will Tanzania and Mozambique’s joint efforts stamp out Islamist insurgents?
theafricareport.com/51870/will-tan… Cooperation between the governments is of crucial importance. Borders provide ideal retreat, safe havens and training opportunities for insurgent.

Nov 24, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read

Mozambique
1) Two conflicting narratives, but a concern, Muidumbe Sede not finally cleared from insurgents;
Narrative 1: Insurgents regained occupation, which raises some questions to which I do not have answers for now; and

Narrative 2: People in nearby areas reported heavy shooting from the direction of Muidumbe Sede - which implies insurgent presence and persistent clashes.

Nov 23, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read

Mozambique
Zimbabwe stocking fires of terrorism as it dares to support Mozambique in fending off terrorists
aa.com.tr/en/africa/zimb… Treating the Cabo Delgado insurgency as just a “terrorist” threat, and responding only with force, risks feeding the insurgents’ propaganda – and is likely to be counterproductive.

Oct 31, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read

Last 24 hours insurgents active in both Tanzania and Mozambique
Three villages in Tanzania's Mtwara province attacked - arson against government facilities: villages of Nanyamba, Lilombe and Tandahimba in the Michanjale district
Unverified - but police barracks also raided Mozambique: Four villages Nchinga, Miteda, Namacande as well as Pundanhar - Locals spotted insurgents in Muambula and Muatide, in Muidumbe district.
I take no credit for map as this was kindly shared with me.

Oct 30, 2020 • 4 tweets • 1 min read

Mozambique
A deep dive into Cabo Delgado extremism this is not as portrayed in the headline, but more a discussion on contextual realities
businesslive.co.za/fm/features/af… Always amazed how western perspectives view Africa conflict from an ethnic lens. Ethnicity cannot be ignored as a contextual reality in Cabo Delgado but it is not the only aspect that defines identity and engagement.

Dec 15, 2019 • 9 tweets • 2 min read

Mozambique thread

Dec 8, 2019 • 10 tweets • 4 min read

Islamic State Central Africa Photo Report: Attack on the Mozambique FADM barracks in Malali village, Mocimboa De Praia, Cabo Delgado,

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