Expect massive churn at #MCLS given size of raise but board bought, market looks backwards & I think it’s a buy. Now got capital to accelerate facia rollout - IF next 100 stores show same lfl uplift as first 65 (3 year payback) then mkt will rerate in anticipation of same
cash per store uplift from targeted 800 off 1150 in estate. @research_tree carries good notes. My maths (dyor) is eps 11p to give pe 1.7 - lots like #GMS (I am long too) but on execution of day rates it’s still levered (very) has refinancing risk & is
Middle East ! This is U.K., would be modestly levered by that stage - 800 stores revamped. Should it be cheap - for sure but Tesco trades 12* leases / debt but leader so why not 4 * pe here. Worth doing the home work here. At some stage the low pe rocket brigade will arrive 😂
#MCLS RNS just released. Would seem to be most encouraging - ahead re rollout & presumably therefore ebit as more stores converted quicker 6 stores a week. Upto 100 now. Payback 2 - 3 years. MRW CEO endorses. Would seem transformational to me……join the dots….Cheap

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More from @here_there

11 Oct
I like buying stocks where the valuation is a huge outlier to the sector, sentiment is rock bottom, management have skin in the game (have bought recently) and where the 1st derivative changes (normally less bad) - it’s not full proof and I can be wrong but if you get it correct
then you get multiple expansion and upgrades. #GFRD at 70p was a case in point: I have added to #GETB. First tranche 33p, doubled up 66/67p. Why? It’s on 2* ARR for 12% ARR growth with scope (I think for beats) - it’s a clear standout valuation outlier given all SaaS, management
buy and it’s hated by all. Why? Beyond me but the bear is can they self finance growth. I suggest they can. Cash dynamics of SaaS, investment in own hands and new product where investors (from their armchairs?) have decided they destroy value a) this is how existing 2 businesses
Read 5 tweets
12 Aug
#CSS AU suspect the rolling panic in Aussie (see bbc.co.uk/news/world-aus… - definition of madness?) hinders share price progress. Story is asset turns improve via more distribution channels & mix (>frozen <fresh) I think it’s an opportunity. Adding - particularly post m&a in space
Biggest beef farmer in Brazil acquires salmon farm is all about a move away from carbon, methane, deforestation into sustainable aquaculture abc.net.au/news/2021-08-0… Skate to where the puck will be. Buy
wcsecure.weblink.com.au/pdf/CSS/024002… this explains why the Aussie line trades at a 12 cent discount to Norway at 57 odd cents. Suspect it bounces strongly. + Sensible move (and flagged at the capital raise) given cost of the convertible
Read 8 tweets

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