People keep saying that when this pandemic is over, we have to make sure our contact tracing capacity is strengthened to cope with future threats. This reflects a misunderstanding of what contact tracing is. Contact tracing involves talking to a case and finding out who…..
…they’ve been in touch with. This is really important stuff, but that data is then used by specialists in outbreak control to assess and manage those contacts. Ultimately, public health teams need to use data from many sources to make a plan to control the disease. This is….
…complex work and requires years of training. Our contact tracers are superb, but people can be trained to contact trace in a short space of time. That function can be ramped up pretty quickly when required. What we need before the next pandemic are enough outbreak control…
….specialists in public health units. Very few people, even now, understand how a covid cluster or outbreak is controlled in the real world. Ironically, covid control teams are becoming exhausted worldwide and people are quitting. It’s ironic that most public health systems…..
…are in danger of having less public health doctors than before covid, due to burnout. My real hope at the end of this thing is that public health units will be as important to the public and politicians as EDs and cath labs. I suspect we’ll quickly fall off the radar though.

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More from @NICU_doc_salone

8 Aug
When reporting on Covid in Australia, the world’s media is keen to report on a perceived inability to control the virus as time goes on. But context is important. This is a country that’s the size of a continent….
Most cases are in New South Wales, with less than 25 cases being reported today outside that state.
A lot of people were chuffed to report that Brisbane went into lockdown last week. That ended today, with all cases in South East Queensland in recent days linked to other known cases. That’s a great result in the public health world, though we’re DEFINITELY not out of the woods
Read 8 tweets
22 Jan
I’ve been delighted to see the sudden surge in support for mandatory hotel quarantine (MHQ) in Ireland, with the aim of achieving zero covid. While it is, on balance, the best option, I fear that some commentators have underestimated the challenges. Here are some examples....
...1) MHQ is frequently framed as a temporising measure, with the aim of establishing quarantine-free travel bubbles with other zero covid regions. Not many countries have achieved zero community transmission. But in those that have, travel bubbles have been vanishingly rare...
...2) MHQ is super strict. The point of it is that it would allow Ireland to open up society again. If you miss cases in that context, you let infectious people into a country where socialising is the norm. The result is explosive outbreaks. In countries that have MHQ, you...
Read 10 tweets
20 Jan
Getting the whole world vaccinated against covid MUST be a priority. It’s unconscionable that close to zero people in low-income countries have been vaccinated so far. This is important to absolutely everybody for three reasons...
...1) The ethics of only vaccinating a quarter of the planet should be unthinkable to us. 2) For many reasons, we will have vulnerable people who are not protected by the vaccine, now and in the future. These people will be at risk on an ongoing basis from imported cases if...
...the virus continues to circulate globally. 3) The longer the virus thrives, the higher the chance of mutations, which could make any vaccine less effective or ineffective....
Read 11 tweets
29 Nov 20
My favourite thing about this week is that the Irish government went to outbreak school 😂 Naturally, the department of finance and Ernst&Young led the teaching. Public health weren’t needed because they had “data guys” instead.....
...The department of finance led with this cracker. Their advanced data mining revealed the presence a link between health, economics and society....
.....This graph has since been used to estimate the ideal number of deaths in a population. Hat tip to @conorsmith .....
Read 8 tweets
30 Oct 20
I know a thread on a contractual issue is never going to be one of the greats. But my Irish colleagues might take industrial action and it’s important to tell people why, before inevitable political mudslinging starts. This issue is about pandemic safety, so I’ll try to explain..
....in Ireland, when you finish medical school, you can go on and do specialty training. It takes years and there are lots of awful exams, but you get there in the end and you qualify as a consultant. And then the @HSE_HR give you a consultant contract. Except for public health..
....Decades ago, someone in the dept of health decided that public health doctors were so useless as to require unique treatment and an individual contract. This was called a “specialist” contract, and was generally just a crappy version of a consultant contract. It meant you...
Read 18 tweets
21 Oct 20
The pandemic response in Ireland has understandably led to quite a bit of confusion and things are changing rapidly, from lockdowns to school closures. So I thought I’d write a thread on what might, and might not, work well in a country like Ireland with over 1000 cases per day..
..Recurring lockdowns don’t work. Well, it depends on what you mean by “work”. They’re v good at getting cases numbers low. But they don’t change any of the underlying conditions that allowed the virus to multiply in the first place. So, once society opens up, cases go up again..
..I’m slightly concerned that people are being fed a narrative that reads “if we do this lockdown right, we can stop this virus”. It may well get us low cases for Xmas, but I’d anticipate another lockdown around Easter, though I hope I’m wrong about that...
Read 31 tweets

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