Jason Furman Profile picture
Aug 15, 2021 6 tweets 3 min read Read on X
I am beyond thrilled the President Biden is taking the long overdue step to adjust the Thrift Food Plan to be in line with the increased cost of healthy food. This is a large advance for poverty reduction, nutrition and opportunity for children.

nytimes.com/2021/08/15/us/…
In a 2015 CEA report we explained why the long-standing practice of updating the Thrifty Food Plan, the basis for the SNAP benefits, by inflation was an inadequate reflection of the increased cost of a nutritious meal. I'll list the reasons in this thread. obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/whitehou…
1. VARIETY & PALATABILITY. The TFP departs sharply from avg food consumption. The TFP assumes consumption of foods like beans, whole wheat pasta, etc. 20X the average American consumption, while assuming near-zero consumption of some healthful foods that Americans eat regularly.
2. PREP TIME. The TFP assumes greater meal prep time than families typically spend preparing meals, btwn 1-2 hours of prep time per day, excluding shopping, but studies of low-income women found that they do not spend as much time on food prep as the TFP assumes
3. VARIATIONS IN COST. The cost of the TFP is not regionally adjusted though food costs vary substantially by location. In addition, low-income households are less likely to have access to large grocery stores that offer lower prices.
4. LAG IN INFLATION ADJUSTMENT. Every year, the TFP is adjusted for inflation. But there is a lag in the inflation adjustment of as much as 16 months by the following September. If food prices are rising over that 16 month period, the value of SNAP benefits are eroding.

• • •

Missing some Tweet in this thread? You can try to force a refresh
 

Keep Current with Jason Furman

Jason Furman Profile picture

Stay in touch and get notified when new unrolls are available from this author!

Read all threads

This Thread may be Removed Anytime!

PDF

Twitter may remove this content at anytime! Save it as PDF for later use!

Try unrolling a thread yourself!

how to unroll video
  1. Follow @ThreadReaderApp to mention us!

  2. From a Twitter thread mention us with a keyword "unroll"
@threadreaderapp unroll

Practice here first or read more on our help page!

More from @jasonfurman

Feb 6
I will be enthusiastically supporting faculty legislation to cap the number of A's at Harvard at 20% (plus a bit). The collective action problem that has driven grades higher & higher over time is increasingly problematic. I hope other institutions consider similar steps. Image
I've talked to numerous colleagues & students about grade inflation. Almost all of them see it as a a problem. I've also heard about as many different ideas for solutions as I've had conversations. I would tweak this proposal in various ways. But would support it over nothing.
One place the current system fails--and it's not the only place--is honors. I'm on the Committee to recommend honors in the economics department. It's increasingly hard to distinguish excellence with so many A's. I believe that now even two A-'s makes you ineligible for Summa.
Read 7 tweets
Jan 13
Core CPI came in a smidge lower than expected but is still consistent with inflation above the Fed's target. Annual rates:

1 month: 2.9%
3 months: 1.6%
6 months: 2.6%
12 months: 2.6% Image
Here are the full set of numbers. Image
Shelter inflation was high in December. It had been unusually low in Oct/Nov but this isn't bounce back , won't get that until April. Image
Read 7 tweets
Jan 9
December was a new normal jobs month--for a world with low net migration.

50K jobs added (37K in private sector)
3 month averages: -22K total and +29K

Unemployment rate down to 4.4%

Avg hrs down & avg wages up. Image
Private sector job growth is a better read of the underlying economic signal. Image
Because Federal employment has shifted so dramatically. Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 23, 2025
Depending on how you look at it growth in Q3 was very very strong or very strong or just possibly merely strong. Annual rates:

GDP: 4.3%
Real final sales to domestic purchasers: 2.9%
Average of GDP & GDI: 3.4%
GDI: 2.4% Image
A big part of the story was consumer spending up at a 3.5% annual rate. Started the year looking weak but new data and revisions have made consumers very strong. Image
Business fixed investment a bit weaker but also very heterogenous. Equipment investment and IPP up but non-residential structures down for the seventh straight quarter. Image
Read 8 tweets
Dec 5, 2025
Core PCE inflation. Annual rates:

1 month: 2.4%
3 months: 2.7%
6 months: 2.7%
12 months 2.8% Image
Full set of numbers. Image
What leaps out is how low housing inflation was in September, something we already saw in the CPI. I wouldn't expect that to last. Image
Read 8 tweets
Nov 17, 2025
Several thoughts on that piece by @nealemahoney & @BharatRamamurti in @nytopinion. Image
1. They claim price controls are good politically. I'm very open to this being true, I'm under no illusion that what I think is good policy is particularly well correlated with good politics. But I am genuinely interested in more evidence beyond the brief observations they make. Image
2. They claim that even if you think price controls are a bad idea they can help you pass supply-increasing legislation that is on balance good. Once again, I'm open to this. And in government I've often done 3rd, 7th or 12th best policies because of constraints. Image
Read 13 tweets

Did Thread Reader help you today?

Support us! We are indie developers!


This site is made by just two indie developers on a laptop doing marketing, support and development! Read more about the story.

Become a Premium Member ($3/month or $30/year) and get exclusive features!

Become Premium

Don't want to be a Premium member but still want to support us?

Make a small donation by buying us coffee ($5) or help with server cost ($10)

Donate via Paypal

Or Donate anonymously using crypto!

Ethereum

0xfe58350B80634f60Fa6Dc149a72b4DFbc17D341E copy

Bitcoin

3ATGMxNzCUFzxpMCHL5sWSt4DVtS8UqXpi copy

Thank you for your support!

Follow Us!

:(