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Aug 16, 2021 20 tweets 7 min read Read on X
Another Potpourri COVID Thread
1/20

1. A reminder that the people who brought us "lockdowns" are not our friends and do not share our values. This should have been obvious from Day 1.
2. Los Angeles reinstated its indoor mask mandate on July 18 and, as usual, is trying to credit it for the decline in case growth. As with every "successful" intervention, however, it came well AFTER the R had already peaked on Jul 3
3. Lockdowns caused NYC rents to decrease for the first time since 1958. In Boise, Idaho, where people burned their masks at the State Capitol, rents are up 40% since Mar 2020 - the largest increase in the nation.
4. Remember when Asia conquered COVID via universal mask wearing and obedience? Me neither.
5. To those suggesting masks do not inhibit learning (remarkably including the AAP), consider that a teacher in the UK lost her job for wearing a niqab while teaching English to kids. It was decided that being unable to see her face prevented children from learning effectively.
6. With regard to the eviction moratorium, keep in mind that the vast majority of landlords are individuals that own 1 or a few properties, not "Wall Street"
7. These kind of surveys illustrate a major problem w the pandemic, which is seeking someone to blame & overall moralization of illness. Perhaps, as always before, shit happens and life goes on. If anything, where is the option to blame the CCP?
8. One overlooked aspect of vax mandates for govt jobs is the degree to which this will produce an even more ideologically homogenous workforce comprising our administrative state.

While I may or may not agree w their personal risk calculus, I respect diversity of perspective.
9. Periodic reminder that Delta already came and went in most of the world without everyone losing their damn mind and forcing masks on children.
10. Leisure & hospitality is the only sector that has seen an increase in real wages & quit rate is at all time highs because (rightly) no one wants to work in an industry where the govt can take away your job/business whenever they feel like it. Such roles now demand a premium
11. Is anyone ever going to apologize for the outdoor masking, child swing removals, extreme sanitization, school closures, plexiglass and all the other nonsensical theater we have quietly abandoned or are we just going to pretend it was necessary?
12. After a lockdown induced spike, the National Federation of Independent Business (NFIB) survey now shows the % of respondents citing "poor sales" as the most important problem reaching an all time low. This as "cases" soar. The virus did not close the economy...people did.
13. For the first time in history, Gallup's world poll now shows more people saying the economy is getter worse rather than improving. This is what lockdowns do and the damage will continue to be felt for decades.
14. See if you can piece together how these two charts may be related
15. People who are at ~zero risk from COVID will never be able to afford a lifestyle remotely comparable to those who have stolen their futures.
16. "Sometimes I wonder whether the world is being run by smart people who are putting us on or by imbeciles who really mean it" – Laurence Peter
17. As someone with an economics/finance background, I can't help but observe that one of our greatest challenges of escaping "the pandemic" is that the demand for panic-inducing material vastly exceeds its actual supply. This leads to counterfeit product.
18. Per CDC, RSV causes 58k hospitalizations of <5 yr olds every yr. By contrast, this CDC pub analyzed 75% of COVID cases in that age in 2020 & found 4,294, implying 5,725 hospitalizations or about 1/10th RSV. And we know child COVID overcounted by ~40% cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/7…
19. This study found that 35% of ppl who delayed "elective" valve replacement surgery had a "cardiac event" (death or emergency heart surgery) between March 23 and June 6, 2020 (just 2.5 months) jamanetwork.com/journals/jaman…
20. Keep this chart in mind the next time you hear about "remote learning"

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More from @the_brumby

Nov 5, 2021
Let's take a look at a few economic charts as it relates to current policy response:

1. This is a chart of the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, designed to gauge overall US economic activity.

Imagine thinking "the virus closed the economy, not the lockdowns"
2. Nursing Employment: perhaps not what you expected?
3. Share of wealth held by the top 1% (left axis) vs bottom 50% (right axis). Typically upper income wealth drops in proximity to recession; it has exploded upward in unprecedented fashion during "the pandemic" while bottom 50% received no benefit.
Read 8 tweets
Nov 1, 2021
This short 1948 essay excerpt from C.S. Lewis is pretty incredible. I encourage you to read it and substitute "Covid" for "atomic"/"bomb" (and the like) each place it appears.

Thread below too for those whose eyes are as bad as mine:

1/8
"In one way we think a great deal too much of the atomic bomb. “How are we to live in an atomic
age?” I am tempted to reply: “Why, as you would have lived in the sixteenth century when the plague visited London almost every year, or as you would have lived in a Viking age...

2/8
when raiders from Scandinavia might land & cut your throat any night; or indeed, as you are already
living in an age of cancer, an age of syphilis, an age of paralysis, an age of air raids, an age of railway accidents, an age of motor accidents.”
In other words, do not let...
3/8
Read 8 tweets
Sep 29, 2021
It remains unclear to me whether there is a path forward in the big Blue cities out of Covid myopia. Most of these cities have extremely high vaccination rates--certainly anyone that wants one has received it--yet only 20-30% of workers are back in offices.

1/8
New York City has not even recovered half of the ~1.1m jobs lost due to the lockdowns.

2/8
Having spent time in these cities myself over last yr or having friends/family residing there, you could effectively use the below (job losses) as a ranking for Covid monomania (though I think SF worse than NY. DC is Covid crazy but of course has thrived during the madness)

3/8
Read 8 tweets
Sep 10, 2021
Even in the Zerocovid police states of Australia& NZ, pediatricians talk more sense than those in USA regarding child Delta:

"Its important to note that many [child hospitalizations] were for social reasons..so hospitalisation statistics do not provide a good marker of severity"
We "would like to reassure children and their parents that while the COVID delta variant has shown that
children are able to be infected and transmit COVID-19, COVID-19 is and generally remains a
mild infection in children."
"children are affected by...restrictions causing impacts on education and mental health.”

"Although one death has been recorded, the child in question was a 15-year-old boy who
was being treated for pneumococcal meningitis"
Read 5 tweets
Sep 9, 2021
As predicted, nothing in Biden's plan will accomplish anything other than to further & dangerously divide the nation

Interestingly, some data from the UK came out today that refutes everything in his plan (other than increasing treatments which is of course good)

Let's look...
1. "Vaccinating the Unvaccinated" (mandates for workplaces)

Case rates are comparable or higher in vaccinated adults than unvaccinated.

Seems like it should be a personal choice given it clearly doesn't stop transmission.
2. "Protecting the Vaccinated"

Ugh, isn't that what the vaccine is for?

Anyway, the data looks decent, though nothing like what we were promised.

As the prior chart demonstrates, transmission is not stopped by the vaccine anyhow, meaning it offers personal protection only.
Read 7 tweets
Sep 8, 2021
When COVID hit, I began hearing rumblings of a book called Unrestricted Warfare, written by 2 former Chinese Peoples Liberation Army (PLA) senior colonels & published by PLA

In short, it describes what war will look like in a post-nuclear, mutually assured destruction, age
1/17
I read the book cover to cover and I thought you might be interested in some quotes/passages I highlighted, which I encourage you to read w current events in mind.

“the media has become an immediate and integral part of warfare”

2/17
“China can pump propaganda into the American media while restricting American media’s access to the Chinese media landscape”

A non-military attack could “cause the enemy nation to fall into social panic, street riots, and a political crisis”

3/17
Read 17 tweets

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