Top 5 Misinformation on PIA

1. NNPC is being privatized

No, NNPC is not privatized. NNPC is only becoming a limited liability company subject to CAMA, to be named NNPC Ltd (C will also now mean Company, not corporation). The share is still 100% government owned.
A major difference is, prior to PIA, NNPC had its own law: NNPC Act 1977, which guided it. Now, NNPC Ltd will be subject to law guiding other companies in Nigeria. PIA repeals (abolishes in layman's term) the NNPC Act
NNPC Ltd will run like a company with full profit/commercial motive (did it ever have loss motive?). 20% of its profits to be retained for its own growth and 80% remitted to government as its shareholder.
2. 30% frontier exploration fund (FEF) is bigger than 3% host community levy (HCL)

There are two things wrong with this info. First, the bases of computation are different. The base for FEF is profit oil/gas, the base for HCL is prior year operating expenses.
Second, the 30% FEF applies only on NNPC's profit oil/gas, while 3% HCL applies on opex of all upstream companies in Nigeria and there are over 50 of them. So mere comparison of the headline % without regard to bases and # of companies in each bucket, is misinformation.
Noteworthy that I also personally think that that commitment to FEF is too big in light of country's financial situation, dire need of revenue for other things, but the facts stated above need to be corrected.
3. NNPC to contribute 30% of its profits to FEF

This is wrong. There is a difference btw NNPC profits vs NNPC profit oil & profit gas. The former is the corporate accounting profit, as in when all its expenses as a company are deducted from its revenues, what is left.
This is not the profit the PIA is talking about as the base of the 30% of FEF. What PIA is talking about is profit oil and profit gas from NNPC's upstream oil & gas contracts (production sharing, profit sharing & risk sharing contracts). Profit oil/gas is what is left after
royalty, tax and operating cost are deducted from crude oil or crude gas production in any of the contract types above. It's an upstream thing, so it means profits from NNPC subsidiaries like NGC are not part of it. In short, it's not the corporate profit of NNPC as group
4. Frontier Exploration = North

Wished I could avoid mentioning this, but section 9 that establishes FEF actually says the fund will be used for the development of "frontier acreages". The definition sectn says "frontier acreages" would be as defined by a Regulatn by Commission
Effectively, the Commission (ie successor to DPR) will later issue a Regulation to define and say where the "frontier acreages" are. However, it is expected that frontier basins would be part of these frontier acreages and PIA listed Anambra, Dahomey, Bida, Chad & Benue trough
as the basins which would be effectively (but not exhaustively) part of frontier acreages. From that list, 2 of the 5 determined frontier fields are not in the North. So frontier exploratn fund use is not only for the North. Now sounding like I'm defending FG? No, just the law
5. PIA has become effective

No PIA is not yet in force. While the signing by the president means it has become a law, it doesn't mean it became effective on the day it was signed. A gazetted version will be issued that says the date of commencement.
A couple of provisions there will also not start immediately, eg the Minister of Finance will incorporate NNPC Ltd with CAMA within 6 months after effective date.

In short, the date of signing is not necessarily the effective date. And the effective date is not yet public yet.

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More from @Jarushub

14 Sep
From the Brown Roofs of Ogbomoso to the Skyscrapers of Dubai, then to ....

I saw a younger friend of mine Facebook-check into Dubai this evening and I went into our private channel of communication to ask him whether he had taken the job he sought my advice on few months ago.
The answer was in the affirmative. He resumed early this month in a Private Equity (PE) firm in Dubai, one of the top financial centers of the world. For the uninitiated, PE is one of the most lucrative jobs in the world of finance, nay in any field
He had sought my advice in October last year (2019) on whether to choose that Dubai-based PE firm he was talking to or stay where he was (another top finance firm in Nigeria with international capital backing) and move to Canada later this year to resume at a top Canadian
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10 Sep
I have seen this being brandished as proof that NNPC cooked books. Insufficient.

There is nothing wrong with impairment reversal. In accounting, a company is required to test its assets for recoverability at a certain interval or when certain economic activities relevant to
it (eg oil price in the case of an oil company) significantly change.

When the carrying value of the asset is higher than the recoverable value, the difference is booked as an impairment expense (not cash pls) to reduce the value of the asset in the balance sheet.
The corresponding entry is booked into P&L (that statement you're seeing up here) to reduce income.

In other words, when a company books an impairment, it reduces its asset value and reduces its profits (or increases it loss). Expense reduces profit (or increases loss),remember
Read 11 tweets
10 Sep
Summary of VAT decentralization

Law (constitutionality) ✅
Politics (federalism) ✅
Public finance ✅
Economics (ease of doing business) ❎
My recommendation as a pro-business analyst
- Don't decentralize VAT collection
- Amend the constitution to correct the legal oversight
- FG & states should renegotiate VAT revenue sharing eg states that don't allow alcohol consumption should not share in VAT from alcohol
Alternatively, VAT should be canceled and replaced with sales tax and collected at state level. US that operates a federal system like us does not have VAT, rather it has sales tax at state level. UK that has VAT is not a federal state. This problem doesn't arise in the UK.
Read 5 tweets
9 Sep
That is why it is value added tax. The supermarket has added "value" to it, that is why they are not selling at the price they bought it from Nestle. Ultimately, you as final consumer will be the bearer of the tax. This is how it works.

Let's use Milo as example. Nestle imports
cocoa from Cote D'Ivoire and pays import VAT. Let's say the unit cost of purchase is N50, Nestle pays VAT of N3.75 on the raw material purchase. As the consumer (ie user) of the cocoa, it suffered N4 VAT (payable to FGN being import VAT). It processes (adds value to the cocoa)
to become Milo and sells at N70. The buyer of the Milo (say distributor) pays N70 and VAT of N5.25 to Nestle. Nestle recovers the N3.75 VAT it paid on its input from the N5.25 it collects on its output (value added = output value - input value) and pays the N1.75 diff
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9 Sep
I've been inundated with requests to comment on this VAT debacle

Not sure I hav much to add as I have seen enough comments here that exhaustively dealt with it.

The issue has 3 aspects

- Law (constitution vs VAT Act)
- Public finance (fate of states)
- Politics (federalism)
I can't comment on the Law part as I'm not a lawyer but all indications seem to point to invalidity of VAT Act impose VAT. And this is why Rivers keep winning in courts. I don't know what magic FIRS lawyers want to pull to win in higher courts but we wait.
On public finance and politics, many analyses have been flying around which appear to make sense to me. But there is no need to rehash this.

But as a tax professional, I will personally prefer that FIRS continue to handle VAT. I have dealt with states and federal tax
Read 4 tweets
8 Sep
A friend in JP Morgan London sent this to me. You may find it helpful. They had 4 students from Nigeria get offers through the hackathon last year and hoping it could be more this year.

Pls help retweet

👇👇👇
Start your technology career at J.P.Morgan. Apply to attend our virtual Code for Good hackathon. You and your team will develop a technology solution for a nonprofit organization while working alongside our expert JPMorgan technologist.

lnkd.in/eamTBxtE
In addition, the CFG events can lead to internships or FT positions within the firm as you will have the opportunity to meet our recruiting teams.

Learn more: jpmorgan.com/codeforgood
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